Cyprus Implements EU-Mandated 15% Tax Rate On Large Multinationals

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

August 27, 2024

Cyprus is set to introduce a 15% minimum tax rate for large multinational corporations, in compliance with the EU directive aimed at harmonising tax policies across member states. The move, endorsed by Cyprus’ Finance Minister Makis Keravnos, is expected to generate over €200 million in additional revenue. This decision, while marking a significant shift from the current 12.5% rate, aligns Cyprus with the broader OECD-led initiative to establish a global minimum tax rate. Despite concerns, Keravnos reassured that the change is unlikely to drive multinationals out of the country, as the directive applies EU-wide.

This adjustment reflects a crucial step in Cyprus’ ongoing efforts to maintain competitiveness while adhering to international tax standards. With the proposal now before the Cabinet and soon to be discussed in Parliament, the nation is poised to balance its attractive tax regime with the demands of a globalised economy.

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The introduction of this tax rate signals Cyprus’ commitment to international cooperation on tax matters, aiming to prevent profit-shifting practices that have historically allowed large corporations to minimise tax liabilities. For Cyprus, a key hub for multinational firms, this move could redefine its positioning in the global business landscape, ensuring it remains a compliant yet competitive destination for international business.

While the increase may seem minor, the 15% rate represents a broader shift in global tax policy, driven by a collective effort to create a more level playing field for taxation. For Cyprus, traditionally seen as a tax-friendly jurisdiction, this could challenge its status, pushing it to leverage other competitive advantages beyond low tax rates, such as a robust legal framework, strategic location, and skilled workforce. The long-term impact on foreign direct investment will be a critical metric to watch as this policy unfolds.

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ECB Launches Geopolitical Stress Tests For 110 Eurozone Banks

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

March 9, 2026

The European Central Bank is preparing a new round of geopolitical stress tests aimed at assessing potential risks to major financial institutions across the euro area. Up to 110 systemic banks, including institutions in Greece and the Bank of Cyprus, will take part in the exercise, which examines how geopolitical events could affect financial stability.

Timeline And Testing Process

Banks are expected to submit initial data on March 16, 2026. Supervisors will review the information in April, while the final results are scheduled to be published in July 2026. The process forms part of the ECB’s broader supervisory work to evaluate financial system resilience under different risk scenarios.

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Geopolitical Shock As The Primary Concern

The stress tests place particular emphasis on geopolitical risks. These may include armed conflicts, economic sanctions, cyberattacks and energy supply disruptions. Such events can affect banks through changes in market conditions, borrower solvency and sector exposure. Lending portfolios linked to regions or industries affected by geopolitical developments may face higher risk levels.

Reverse Stress Testing: A Tailored Approach

Unlike traditional stress tests that apply the same scenario to all institutions, the reverse stress test requires each bank to define a scenario that could significantly affect its capital position. Banks must identify a geopolitical shock that could reduce their Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio by at least 300 basis points. Institutions are also expected to assess potential effects on liquidity, funding conditions and broader economic indicators such as GDP and unemployment.

Customized Risk Assessments And Supervisor Collaboration

This methodology allows banks to submit risk assessments based on their own exposures and operational structures. The approach is intended to help supervisors understand how geopolitical events could affect institutions differently and to support discussions between banks and regulators on risk management and contingency planning.

Differentiated Vulnerabilities Across Countries

A joint report by the ECB and the European Systemic Risk Board indicates that countries respond differently to geopolitical shocks. The Russian invasion of Ukraine led to higher energy prices and inflation across Europe, prompting central banks to raise interest rates. Belgium, Italy, the Netherlands, Greece and Austria experienced increases in borrowing costs and lower investor confidence. Germany, France and Portugal recorded more moderate changes, while Spain, Malta, Latvia and Finland showed intermediate levels of exposure.

Conclusion

The geopolitical stress tests will not immediately lead to additional capital requirements for banks. Their results will feed into the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP). ECB supervisors may use the findings when assessing capital adequacy, risk management practices and operational resilience at individual institutions.

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