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Cyprus Growth Forecast Boosted By Central Bank’s Revised Projections For 2025

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has adjusted its GDP growth forecast for 2025, elevating it to 3.2%, a slight increase of 0.1% from December 2024 predictions. This revision portrays confidence in Cyprus’s economic resilience despite global uncertainties.

Key Economic Indicators Revised

While the CBC also reduced its unemployment expectations for 2025 to 4.7%, inflation forecasts saw a minor uplift to 2.1%. In line with this, core inflation, excluding volatile components like energy and food, nudged upwards to 2.2%.

Drivers Of Economic Growth

Domestic demand remains a cornerstone of this growth, bolstered by increased private consumption, infrastructure projects, and significant non-residential investments under the Recovery and Resilience Plan.

Meanwhile, the construction sector and net exports are set to further support the economy through export growth, particularly in technology and intellectual properties. Notably, tourism continues to thrive, even amidst regional challenges, preserving demand from markets like Israel and diversifying into high-value segments.

Insights Into Cyprus’s Economic Landscape

The CBC’s assessment resonates with global calls for economic resilience and strategic planning, akin to Europe’s ongoing pursuit of digital sovereignty and market adaptation strategies. This context underscores the importance of adaptability and strategic investment for sustained economic performance.

Price Shifts: Temu And Shein React To Upcoming Tariffs

The online shopping world experienced a jolt as Temu and Shein, popular e-commerce platforms, recently adjusted their prices due to impending tariff changes. These platforms, known for offering budget-friendly options, have echoed with changes that might surprise many shoppers.

What Sparked the Price Hike?

Effective next week, a significant tariff will impact goods imported from China. This tariff follows the expiration of the “de minimis” exemption on May 2. This exemption previously allowed American shoppers to skip tariffs on items valued under $800. The new tariff demands a 120% fee or a flat $100 per postal item, increasing to $200 come June 1.

For instance, Temu’s two patio chairs jumped from $61.72 to $70.17 overnight, while a bathing suit on Shein saw a 91% surge in price. Yet, the price landscape isn’t consistently upward; a smart ring on Temu dropped by $3.

Implications for Consumers

Due to economic shifts and evolving trade rules, both Shein and Temu emphasized their efforts to maintain quality and affordability despite costlier operational expenses. They advised consumers to shop before April 25 to dodge the upcoming hikes, though it’s uncertain if this timing affects the 120% tariff applicability.

Impact on Lower-Income Households

The discontinuation of the “de minimis” exemption is poised to hit lower-income families hardest. Reports indicate these households spend a higher income proportion on apparel, and this change could burden them further.

Further economic insights highlight how industries adjust to challenges, such as in the face of AI-driven changes, potentially offsetting emissions concerns with economic gains.

For buyers and businesses alike, the shifting sands of trade laws call for adaptability and forethought.

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