Cyprus Growth Forecast Boosted By Central Bank’s Revised Projections For 2025

by News Editor

March 18, 2025

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has adjusted its GDP growth forecast for 2025, elevating it to 3.2%, a slight increase of 0.1% from December 2024 predictions. This revision portrays confidence in Cyprus’s economic resilience despite global uncertainties.

Key Economic Indicators Revised

While the CBC also reduced its unemployment expectations for 2025 to 4.7%, inflation forecasts saw a minor uplift to 2.1%. In line with this, core inflation, excluding volatile components like energy and food, nudged upwards to 2.2%.

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Drivers Of Economic Growth

Domestic demand remains a cornerstone of this growth, bolstered by increased private consumption, infrastructure projects, and significant non-residential investments under the Recovery and Resilience Plan.

Meanwhile, the construction sector and net exports are set to further support the economy through export growth, particularly in technology and intellectual properties. Notably, tourism continues to thrive, even amidst regional challenges, preserving demand from markets like Israel and diversifying into high-value segments.

Insights Into Cyprus’s Economic Landscape

The CBC’s assessment resonates with global calls for economic resilience and strategic planning, akin to Europe’s ongoing pursuit of digital sovereignty and market adaptation strategies. This context underscores the importance of adaptability and strategic investment for sustained economic performance.

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ECB Raises Deposit Facility Rate For First Time In Nearly Two Years

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

June 15, 2026

Economic Shift: ECB Reverses Years Of Declining Rates

The European Central Bank (ECB) confirmed its first interest rate increase in nearly two years, raising the deposit facility rate in response to inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainty. Marking a shift in monetary policy, the move follows a period of rate cuts aimed at supporting economic activity and easing financing conditions.

Reevaluation Of Bank Liquidity Strategies

Although the immediate impact will be felt by only part of the borrowing market, the decision carries broader implications for banks. During the period of lower rates, banks maintained significant amounts of excess liquidity with the ECB as returns on these funds declined alongside deposit rates. With the deposit facility rate increasing by 0.25 percentage points to 2.25% from 2.00%, returns on surplus liquidity are expected to improve.

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Higher interest rates, however, could also increase borrowing costs and influence lending conditions across the banking sector.

Transitioning Investment Approaches And Market Dynamics

Banks had already begun diversifying the use of excess liquidity through investments in bonds and by expanding lending activities.

Successive reductions in the deposit facility rate from 3.00% at the end of 2024 through four consecutive cuts in early 2025 reflected a more accommodative policy stance as inflation pressures moderated.

Sectoral Impact And Future Outlook

Data from the ECB’s 2025 monetary policy report show that liquidity in the Cypriot banking system declined from €19.2 billion at the end of 2024 to €18.6 billion by the close of 2025. Despite the reduction, liquidity levels remained elevated. Outstanding loans increased from €27.6 billion to €31.7 billion, while deposits recorded a slight decline. Customer deposits continued to account for the vast majority of funding. By the fourth quarter of 2025, they represented 95% of total liabilities, highlighting their importance as the banking sector’s primary source of financing.

Changes in ECB rates are expected to influence how banks manage liquidity and allocate capital as monetary conditions evolve.

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