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Cyprus Growth Forecast Boosted By Central Bank’s Revised Projections For 2025

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has adjusted its GDP growth forecast for 2025, elevating it to 3.2%, a slight increase of 0.1% from December 2024 predictions. This revision portrays confidence in Cyprus’s economic resilience despite global uncertainties.

Key Economic Indicators Revised

While the CBC also reduced its unemployment expectations for 2025 to 4.7%, inflation forecasts saw a minor uplift to 2.1%. In line with this, core inflation, excluding volatile components like energy and food, nudged upwards to 2.2%.

Drivers Of Economic Growth

Domestic demand remains a cornerstone of this growth, bolstered by increased private consumption, infrastructure projects, and significant non-residential investments under the Recovery and Resilience Plan.

Meanwhile, the construction sector and net exports are set to further support the economy through export growth, particularly in technology and intellectual properties. Notably, tourism continues to thrive, even amidst regional challenges, preserving demand from markets like Israel and diversifying into high-value segments.

Insights Into Cyprus’s Economic Landscape

The CBC’s assessment resonates with global calls for economic resilience and strategic planning, akin to Europe’s ongoing pursuit of digital sovereignty and market adaptation strategies. This context underscores the importance of adaptability and strategic investment for sustained economic performance.

Cyprus Emerges As A Leading Household Consumer In The European Union

Overview Of Eurostat Findings

A recent Eurostat survey, which adjusts real consumption per capita using purchasing power standards (PPS), has positioned Cyprus among the highest household consumers in the European Union. In 2024, Cyprus recorded a per capita expenditure of 21,879 PPS, a figure that underscores the country’s robust material well-being relative to other member states.

Comparative Consumption Analysis

Luxembourg claimed the top spot with an impressive 28,731 PPS per inhabitant. Trailing closely were Ireland (23,534 PPS), Belgium (23,437 PPS), Germany (23,333 PPS), Austria (23,094 PPS), the Netherlands (22,805 PPS), Denmark (22,078 PPS), and Italy (21,986 PPS), with Cyprus rounding out this elite group at 21,879 PPS. These figures not only highlight the high expenditure across these nations but also reflect differences in purchasing power and living standards across the region.

Contrasting Trends In Household Spending

The survey also shed light on countries with lower household spending levels. Hungary and Bulgaria reported the smallest average expenditures, at 14,621 PPS and 15,025 PPS respectively. Meanwhile, Greece and Portugal recorded 18,752 PPS and 19,328 PPS, respectively. Noteworthy figures from France (20,462 PPS), Finland (20,158 PPS), Lithuania (19,261 PPS), Malta (19,622 PPS), Slovenia (18,269 PPS), Slovakia (17,233 PPS), Latvia (16,461 PPS), Estonia (16,209 PPS), and the Czech Republic (16,757 PPS) further illustrate the disparate economic landscapes within the EU. Spain’s figure, however, was an outlier at 10,899 PPS, suggesting the need for further data clarification.

Growth Trends And Economic Implications

Eurostat’s longitudinal analysis from 2019 to 2024 revealed that Croatia, Bulgaria, and Romania experienced the fastest annual increases in real consumer spending, each growing by at least 3.8%. In contrast, five member states, with the Czech Republic experiencing the largest drop at an average annual decline of 1.3%, indicate a varied economic recovery narrative across the continent.

This comprehensive survey not only provides valuable insights into current household consumption patterns but also offers a robust framework for policymakers and business leaders to understand economic shifts across the EU. Such data is integral for strategic decision-making in markets that are increasingly defined by evolving consumer behavior and regional economic resilience.

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