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Cyprus Government Unveils Landmark Tax Reform Initiative

The Cyprus Council of Ministers has approved the government’s comprehensive proposal for tax reform, a move deemed an “emblematic project” by Finance Minister Makis Keravnos. Now set for parliamentary debate and approval, this reform marks the first major overhaul in 22 years.

Enhancing Social Equity and Economic Growth

At its core, the reform is structured to redistribute the tax burden more fairly, reinforce the middle class and low-income households, and spur growth among small and medium enterprises, which constitute 98% of the national economy. The package includes six legislative amendments aimed at a broad social impact. Notably, the tax-free allowance will rise from €19,500 to €20,500, placing it among the highest in the European Union.

Targeted Relief for Families and Key Demographics

Designed with a keen social perspective, the reform introduces significant relief measures for families, students, young citizens, and large families. For household incomes below €80,000 (extended to €100,000 for large families), the measures include:

  • An entitlement of €1,000 tax reduction per child.
  • A €2,000 benefit per child for single-parent households.
  • A €1,000 discount for each student.
  • A €1,500 reduction applicable to home loan interest or primary residence rent.
  • A €1,000 credit for energy upgrades or the purchase of an electric vehicle.

According to Minister Keravnos, these adjustments are expected to result in 55% of employees being exempt from taxation, with numerous cases exceeding a tax-free threshold of €24,500.

Reforming Corporate Tax Measures

The reform introduces several pivotal changes that directly affect business operations:

  • The elimination of assessed dividend distribution for profits as of January 1, 2026.
  • A reduction in the extraordinary defense contribution on actual dividend distribution from 17% to 5%.
  • The removal of rental income contributions.
  • An increase in the corporate tax rate from 12.5% to 15%.
  • The introduction of an 8% rate for gains from the disposal of crypto-assets.
  • An extension of loss carryforwards from 5 to 7 years.

Minister Keravnos emphasized that the reform is fiscally neutral and is intended to promote a fair redistribution of resources among employees, businesses, and households.

Refinements Following Stakeholder Consultations

Significant enhancements emerged from discussions with social partners:

  • The allowance for voluntary exemption has surged from €20,000 to €200,000.
  • The proposed property and business levies have been temporarily shelved.
  • For Non-Dom companies, the fee is reduced from €250,000 to €50,000 for a period of five years, maintaining incentives to attract foreign investments.

Strengthening Anti-Evasion Measures

The initiative establishes robust mechanisms to combat tax evasion. Companies identified with irregularities will receive three warnings. Should issues recur within 30 days, cases will be escalated to the judiciary, which may impose temporary closures or other sanctions.

Timeline and Legislative Endorsement

Minister Keravnos has called upon the Parliament to approve the reform before the end of 2025, ensuring implementation by January 1, 2026. “This tax reform will significantly boost the economy and provide relief to hundreds of thousands of workers and households,” he stated, expressing optimism for the package’s timely passage.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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