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Cyprus Government Fiscal Surplus Remains Steady at 4 Percent of GDP

Overview of Fiscal Health

Preliminary figures released by the Cyprus Statistical Service (Cystat) reveal that for the period from January to August 2025, the general government recorded a fiscal surplus of €1.39 billion, maintaining a robust level at 4 percent of GDP. This represents a modest increase in nominal terms compared to a €1.33 billion surplus reported for the corresponding period in 2024.

Revenue Gains Across Multiple Streams

Government revenue experienced significant growth, rising by €641.10 million (6.80 percent) to reach €10.10 billion. Notably, income and wealth taxes climbed by €178.30 million (7.10 percent) to total €2.70 billion, while social contributions saw an increase of €243.80 million (8.40 percent) to €3.14 billion. Property income nearly doubled, advancing by €57.40 million to €121.80 million compared to the previous year. Additionally, taxes on production and imports, net VAT, the sale of goods and services, and capital transfers all recorded positive increments, illustrating a diversified expansion in revenue sources.

Managed Expenditures Amid Expanding Capital Investments

Expenditures grew by €574.30 million (7.10 percent) to reach €8.71 billion. Key expenditure components—including employee compensation, social benefits, and intermediate consumption—marked their upward trajectory. Additionally, the capital account witnessed a notable surge, increasing by €131.80 million (22.90 percent) to €707 million. This expansion was driven by a rise in gross capital formation and other capital expenditures, although interest payments and certain transfers registered modest declines.

Disparate Performance Within Government Subsectors

An analysis by Cystat indicates a differential fiscal performance across government entities. The central government enjoyed a surplus of €622 million, up from €432.30 million in 2024, reflecting strengthened fiscal discipline. In contrast, the local government moved from a surplus to a deficit, posting a shortfall of €32.70 million compared to a €14.60 million surplus the previous year. Social security funds recorded a decline in their surplus, underscoring potential areas for further review.

Conclusion

Cyprus’ fiscal performance in early 2025 underscores a stable surplus and diversified revenue gains. While overall results indicate fiscal solidity, the variations between central and local government finances may prompt closer scrutiny in the run-up to the full-year assessment. The government’s ability to balance revenue growth with controlled expenditure remains a critical focal point for sustaining economic stability in the coming months.

Copyright Law Struggles To Keep Up With AI Training

Courts Are Still Applying Old Copyright Rules To AI

AI companies train models on enormous amounts of published material, including books, articles and academic research. Whether using that content without authors’ permission violates copyright law remains unresolved.

Much of the debate centres on fair use, which allows copyrighted material to be used without permission in certain circumstances. Courts consider factors such as the purpose of the use, how much material was involved and its impact on the original market.

Anthropic Case Sets An Important Precedent

A major case involving Anthropic and a group of authors provided one of the clearest rulings so far. Judge William Alsup found that using copyrighted books to train AI models was lawful, comparing the process to people reading and studying literature before creating something new.

Anthropic was nevertheless ordered to pay $1.5 billion in a settlement. The penalty concerned books the company had obtained from illegal online libraries rather than the AI training itself.

For AI companies, that distinction could prove significant because it separates studying copyrighted material from directly copying it.

Competition Could Be The Key Issue

A case involving Thomson Reuters and Ross Intelligence offers a different perspective. A court ruled that Ross could not claim fair use after using Reuters’ copyrighted material to develop a competing AI-powered legal research platform.

The decision suggests courts may be less willing to consider AI training fair use when copyrighted content is used to build a product that directly competes with the original.

For authors, an unresolved question is whether AI-generated content should be considered competition for the works used to train these models.

The Law Has Yet To Catch Up

US copyright law predates generative AI by decades, leaving courts to apply old principles to new technology. Questions also remain over copyright protection for AI-generated works. In Thaler v. Perlmutter, a court ruled that material created entirely by AI cannot receive copyright protection.

Major AI companies remain involved in copyright litigation, and different courts could reach different conclusions. For now, there is no universal rule: the legality of AI training will depend on the circumstances of each case and how courts ultimately interpret copyright and fair use.

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