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Cyprus’ Financing Programme On Track Amidst Economic Optimism

Cyprus is advancing its annual financing programme efficiently, aligning closely with its fiscal targets for 2024. The approved borrowing ceiling stands at €1.3 billion, predominantly sourced from European Medium-Term Notes (EMTN). So far, Cyprus has successfully raised nearly €1.2 billion, including a recent €1 billion, seven-year fixed-rate bond issued in June.

The financing strategy also includes public treasury bills and domestic bonds aimed at individual investors. To date, €87.5 million of the targeted €120 million in treasury bills and €6.4 million of the intended €40 million in domestic bonds have been issued. Furthermore, Cyprus has secured €92.75 million in loans from supranational organisations, progressing towards the €140 million goal.

Public treasury bills, set to mature in October 2024, offer an annualised yield between 3.65% and 3.75%, presenting an attractive option for non-professional investors and businesses seeking secure liquidity management.

Sophic, a financial platform, plans to acquire a portion of the upcoming treasury bill issuance, replicating its strategy from June where it, alongside Athlos Capital, acquired over 80% of the €21.5 million issuance for client allocation.

Cyprus’ prudent financial management and structured approach towards funding reflect a robust fiscal framework aimed at maintaining economic stability and fostering investor confidence. This meticulous execution of the financing programme underscores Cyprus’ commitment to strategic fiscal governance and economic resilience, which are vital for sustaining long-term growth.

The ongoing success of Cyprus’ financing programme highlights the nation’s proactive fiscal planning and the effectiveness of its public debt management office. By securing diverse funding sources and maintaining investor engagement, Cyprus continues to bolster its financial stability and economic prospects.

As Cyprus progresses with its financing activities, the focus remains on sustaining fiscal discipline while leveraging favourable market conditions to optimise funding costs. This approach not only ensures the fulfilment of immediate financing needs but also lays a solid foundation for future economic resilience.

ECB Wage Tracker Signals Stable Wage Pressures And Moderate Growth Through 2026

The European Central Bank has published an updated wage tracker showing that negotiated wage pressures remain stable. Based on agreements signed through the end of May 2026, negotiated wage growth is expected to reach around 2.6% by December.

Quarterly And Yearly Dynamics

The headline indicator, which smooths one-off payments to reflect quarterly and monthly developments, points to wage growth of 3.2% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026. For 2026, average growth is estimated at 1.8% in the first quarter and 2.1% in the second quarter before accelerating to 2.6% in the final two quarters of the year.

Mechanical Effects And Forecast Nuances

According to the ECB, annual growth figures are still influenced by one-off payments made in 2024 but not repeated in 2025. Their impact is expected to gradually fade during 2026. Excluding the smoothing effect, the tracker points to negotiated wage growth of 3.0% in 2025 and 2.6% in 2026. Removing one-off payments altogether results in a decline from 3.8% in 2025 to 2.6% in 2026, indicating slower growth in base wages.

Employee Coverage And Forward-Looking Projections

Coverage data currently available for 2026 shows that employees included in the tracker accounted for 46.4% in the first quarter. That share falls to 44.8% in the second quarter, 41.1% in the third quarter, and 40.4% in the final quarter of the year. The current release extends to December 2026. Additional collective agreements included in the July 2026 update are expected to expand the horizon to the first quarter of 2027.

Caveats And Broader Context

The ECB said the tracker is subject to revision and should not be viewed as a formal forecast. Instead, it reflects information available from active collective bargaining agreements. For a broader picture of wage developments across the euro area, the central bank referred to the June 2026 Eurosystem Staff Macroeconomic Projections, which forecast compensation growth per employee of 3.2% in 2026.

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