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Cyprus’ Financing Programme On Track Amidst Economic Optimism

Cyprus is advancing its annual financing programme efficiently, aligning closely with its fiscal targets for 2024. The approved borrowing ceiling stands at €1.3 billion, predominantly sourced from European Medium-Term Notes (EMTN). So far, Cyprus has successfully raised nearly €1.2 billion, including a recent €1 billion, seven-year fixed-rate bond issued in June.

The financing strategy also includes public treasury bills and domestic bonds aimed at individual investors. To date, €87.5 million of the targeted €120 million in treasury bills and €6.4 million of the intended €40 million in domestic bonds have been issued. Furthermore, Cyprus has secured €92.75 million in loans from supranational organisations, progressing towards the €140 million goal.

Public treasury bills, set to mature in October 2024, offer an annualised yield between 3.65% and 3.75%, presenting an attractive option for non-professional investors and businesses seeking secure liquidity management.

Sophic, a financial platform, plans to acquire a portion of the upcoming treasury bill issuance, replicating its strategy from June where it, alongside Athlos Capital, acquired over 80% of the €21.5 million issuance for client allocation.

Cyprus’ prudent financial management and structured approach towards funding reflect a robust fiscal framework aimed at maintaining economic stability and fostering investor confidence. This meticulous execution of the financing programme underscores Cyprus’ commitment to strategic fiscal governance and economic resilience, which are vital for sustaining long-term growth.

The ongoing success of Cyprus’ financing programme highlights the nation’s proactive fiscal planning and the effectiveness of its public debt management office. By securing diverse funding sources and maintaining investor engagement, Cyprus continues to bolster its financial stability and economic prospects.

As Cyprus progresses with its financing activities, the focus remains on sustaining fiscal discipline while leveraging favourable market conditions to optimise funding costs. This approach not only ensures the fulfilment of immediate financing needs but also lays a solid foundation for future economic resilience.

Citigroup Raises Eurobank Target Price Following Strong Q1 Results

Revised Target Price Reflects Strengthened Outlook

Citigroup raised its target price for Eurobank to €5.00 from €4.70 while maintaining a buy recommendation following the bank’s first-quarter results and upgraded medium-term profitability outlook. Based on Eurobank’s reference share price of €3.72 on May 15, 2026, Citigroup’s revised target implies upside potential of 34.4%, rising to 38.5% when the estimated dividend yield of 4.1% is included.

Enhanced Earnings And Comprehensive Forecasts

The upgraded analysis from Citigroup, as reported by Newmoney, points to bolstered momentum in net interest income and fee generation. The investment bank has revised its normalized earnings per share forecasts upward: 4% for 2026, 9% for 2027, and 14% for 2028, primarily driven by higher expected net interest income and increased commissions.

Scenario Analysis Offers Range Of Outcomes

Citigroup’s bullish scenario values Eurobank shares at €6.10, implying potential upside of 64%. Its downside scenario projects a share price of €3.55, approximately 4.6% below the May 15 reference level. The optimistic case assumes a return on tangible equity one percentage point higher, alongside a 100 basis point reduction in the cost of equity. Meanwhile, the negative scenario assumes a 1.5 percentage point lower return combined with a 200 basis point increase in the cost of equity.

Solid Q1 Results Support Growth Targets

Eurobank reported normalized net profits of €351 million during the first quarter, broadly in line with market expectations. Reported net profit reached €331 million after a €35 million expense linked to a voluntary exit programme involving around 200 employees. The programme is expected to generate annual savings of approximately €14 million. Net interest income increased 3% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding consensus forecasts by 2% and supporting expectations that the bank could surpass its €2.6 billion target for 2026.

Looking Ahead: Ambitious Growth And Profitable Outlook

Organic loan growth reached €1.1 billion during the quarter, supporting management’s target for €3.8 billion in annual organic credit expansion. Fee income also rose 20% year-on-year, outperforming forecasts by 4%. Citigroup projects Eurobank’s net profit will reach €1.45 billion in 2026, with earnings per share of €0.40 and a dividend of €0.20 per share.

By 2028, the bank forecasts net profit of €1.76 billion alongside further improvement in profitability metrics and dividend yield. The revised projections reinforce expectations that Eurobank will continue benefiting from stronger lending activity, resilient fee income and improving operational efficiency.

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