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Cyprus’ Financing Programme On Track Amidst Economic Optimism

Cyprus is advancing its annual financing programme efficiently, aligning closely with its fiscal targets for 2024. The approved borrowing ceiling stands at €1.3 billion, predominantly sourced from European Medium-Term Notes (EMTN). So far, Cyprus has successfully raised nearly €1.2 billion, including a recent €1 billion, seven-year fixed-rate bond issued in June.

The financing strategy also includes public treasury bills and domestic bonds aimed at individual investors. To date, €87.5 million of the targeted €120 million in treasury bills and €6.4 million of the intended €40 million in domestic bonds have been issued. Furthermore, Cyprus has secured €92.75 million in loans from supranational organisations, progressing towards the €140 million goal.

Public treasury bills, set to mature in October 2024, offer an annualised yield between 3.65% and 3.75%, presenting an attractive option for non-professional investors and businesses seeking secure liquidity management.

Sophic, a financial platform, plans to acquire a portion of the upcoming treasury bill issuance, replicating its strategy from June where it, alongside Athlos Capital, acquired over 80% of the €21.5 million issuance for client allocation.

Cyprus’ prudent financial management and structured approach towards funding reflect a robust fiscal framework aimed at maintaining economic stability and fostering investor confidence. This meticulous execution of the financing programme underscores Cyprus’ commitment to strategic fiscal governance and economic resilience, which are vital for sustaining long-term growth.

The ongoing success of Cyprus’ financing programme highlights the nation’s proactive fiscal planning and the effectiveness of its public debt management office. By securing diverse funding sources and maintaining investor engagement, Cyprus continues to bolster its financial stability and economic prospects.

As Cyprus progresses with its financing activities, the focus remains on sustaining fiscal discipline while leveraging favourable market conditions to optimise funding costs. This approach not only ensures the fulfilment of immediate financing needs but also lays a solid foundation for future economic resilience.

Bank Of England Holds Rates At 3.75% In Split Vote As Inflation Risks Rise

The Bank of England kept its benchmark interest rate at 3.75% on Thursday, but the decision was not unanimous. In a 6-3 vote, the Monetary Policy Committee kept rates unchanged, while three members backed a 25-basis-point increase to 4%. Renewed energy price pressures have added to concerns that inflation could remain elevated.

Inflation Pressures Remain

Policymakers said inflation “is likely to rise further over coming quarters,” citing higher and more volatile crude oil and refined energy prices since the conflict began.

So far, there has been “little evidence” of significant second-round effects, such as broader wage and price increases. Inflation risks, however, are now “tilted to the upside” and have increased since the July Monetary Policy Report.

Energy Prices Add To Inflation Risks

Brent crude has risen 36% since July, reaching $106 a barrel on Sept. 14, while UK wholesale gas prices increased 78% to 207 pence per therm.

Higher energy costs can feed into transport, production and household expenses, raising costs across supply chains. Refinery pressures have also pushed crack spreads, the difference between refined fuel and crude prices, well above pre-conflict levels.

Economy Shows Resilience

Despite the inflation risks, UK economic activity has held up slightly better than the Bank expected. A softer labor market and higher borrowing costs are expected to help reduce inflation over time.

Previous monetary tightening is still working through the economy, according to policymakers. So far, the latest energy shock has not produced clear evidence of a broader wage-price spiral.

Major Central Banks Take Different Paths

The decision comes during a busy period for global monetary policy. The Federal Reserve raised rates Wednesday to 3.75%-4% in its first increase since 2023, while the European Central Bank recently lifted its deposit rate to 2.5%.

The Bank of Japan is due to announce its decision Friday, with markets expecting a rate increase. Thursday’s split vote shows that pressure for tighter policy remains within the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee.

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