Cyprus Employee Compensation Set To Climb 6.9% In 2025 Amid Fiscal Concerns

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

November 11, 2025

Cyprus is poised to expand its employee compensation expenditure by 6.9% in 2025, reaching an estimated €4.1 billion from €3.9 billion in 2024, according to figures released by the Finance Ministry. This rise in payroll costs, which will elevate public sector wages to 11.8% of GDP, is rooted in a blend of automatic and contractual adjustments already embedded in the state budget.

Drivers Behind The Increase

The draft budgetary programme for 2026, submitted to the European Commission on October 15, outlines key factors behind the escalation. The CoLA provision contributes an estimated 1.87 percentage points, while contracts linked to the state health services organization (Okypy) add approximately 1.1 percentage points. Additional factors include a 1% annual increment and increased spending on tips contributing around 0.8 percentage points. A 1.5% general wage increase introduced in October 2024 is projected to further add an estimated 0.4 percentage points.

Follow THE FUTURE on LinkedIn, Facebook, Instagram, X and Telegram

Outlook And Fiscal Implications

While employee compensation is expected to rise at a slower pace in 2026—estimated at a 4% increase to €4.3 billion—the current figures for 2025 are a cause for concern. The forecast of zero inflation for 2025 leaves the CoLA unchanged, and the absence of a base effect from the previous year’s increase tempers future growth. Notably, the wage bill as a share of GDP is expected to remain broadly stable, reaching 11.8% in 2025 and slightly easing to 11.7% in 2026.

Policy And Market Challenges

Despite the increase, recent figures indicate a significant deviation from the EU’s new fiscal regulations. With primary expenditure anticipated to surge by 7.9% in 2025—overshooting the annual ceiling of 6% by 1.9 percentage points—the outlook diverges sharply from both the Fiscal Council’s recommendations and governmental commitments under the national plan. The situation is further compounded by ongoing discussions regarding the future of CoLA. Unions are pressing for an increased payment rate starting early 2026 with a phased upward adjustment over 18 months. With salaries forming a substantial portion of primary expenditure alongside pensions, subsidies, and public investments, any new agreements would further strain an already considerable payroll.

Expert Perspectives

During a recent commentary, Michalis Persianis, President Of The Fiscal Council, cautioned that “people tend to make mistakes when conditions look comfortable,” highlighting growing concerns about the current fiscal trajectory. His earlier remarks during the opening of the 2026 budget debate likened the CoLA to an “inflationary burden on the economy,” further emphasizing the risks inherent in rising payroll costs without corresponding improvements in public service quality.

Conclusion

As Cyprus navigates the dual challenges of increased employee compensation and rigorous EU fiscal standards, policymakers face the critical task of balancing economic stability with the demands of public sector remuneration. The coming months will prove decisive in shaping the nation’s fiscal framework and ensuring sustainable economic growth.

The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties

Cyprus Income Distribution 2024: An In-Depth Breakdown of Economic Classes

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

December 24, 2025

New findings from the Cyprus Statistical Service offer a comprehensive analysis of the nation’s income stratification in 2024. The report, titled Population By Income Class, provides critical insights into the proportions of the population that fall within the middle, upper, and lower income brackets, as well as those at risk of poverty.

Income Distribution Overview

The data for 2024 show that 64.6% of the population falls within the middle income class – a modest increase from 63% in 2011. However, it is noteworthy that the range for this class begins at a comparatively low threshold of €15,501. Meanwhile, 27.8% of the population continues to reside in the lower income bracket (a figure largely unchanged from 27.7% in 2011), with nearly 14.6% of these individuals identified as at risk of poverty. The upper income class accounted for 7.6% of the population, a slight decline from 9.1% in 2011.

Follow THE FUTURE on LinkedIn, Facebook, Instagram, X and Telegram

Income Brackets And Their Thresholds

According to the report, the median equivalent disposable national income reached €20,666 in 2024. The upper limit of the lower income class was established at €15,500, and the threshold for poverty risk was set at €12,400. The middle income category spans from €15,501 to €41,332, while any household earning over €41,333 is classified in the upper income class. The median equivalents for each group were reported at €12,271 for the lower, €23,517 for the middle, and €51,316 for the upper income classes.

Methodological Insights And Comparative Findings

Employing the methodology recommended by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the report defines the middle income class as households earning between 75% and 200% of the national median income. In contrast, incomes exceeding 200% of the median classify households as upper income, while those earning below 75% fall into the lower income category.

Detailed Findings Across Income Segments

Upper Income Class: Comprising 73,055 individuals (7.6% of the population), this group had a median equivalent disposable income of €51,136. Notably, the share of individuals in this category has contracted since 2011.
Upper Middle Income Segment: This subgroup includes 112,694 people (11.7% of the population) with a median income of €34,961. Combined with the upper income class, they represent 185,749 individuals.
Middle Income Group: Encompassing 30.3% of the population (approximately 294,624 individuals), this segment reports a median disposable income of €24,975.
Lower Middle And Lower Income Classes: The lower middle income category includes 22.2% of the population (211,768 individuals) with a median income of €17,800, while the lower income class accounts for 27.8% (267,557 individuals) with a median income of €12,271.

Payment Behaviors And Economic Implications

The report also examines how income levels influence repayment behavior for primary residence loans or rental payments. Historically, households in the lower income class have experienced the greatest delays. In 2024, 27.0% of those in the lower income bracket were late on payments—a significant improvement from 34.6% in 2011. For the middle income class, late payments were observed in 9.9% of cases, down from 21.4% in 2011. Among the upper income class, only 3% experienced delays, compared to 9.9% previously.

This detailed analysis underscores shifts in income distribution and repayment behavior across Cyprus, reflecting broader economic trends that are critical for policymakers and investors to consider as they navigate the evolving financial landscape.

Breaking news