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Cyprus Economy Thrives: Strong Q3 GDP Growth and Retail Boom in October

Cyprus’s economic performance continues to shine, with a GDP growth rate of 3.9% in real terms for the third quarter of 2024, marking a significant increase compared to the same period in 2023. The Cyprus Statistical Service revealed the figures on Monday, noting that seasonally and working day adjusted data placed growth at a slightly lower yet solid 3.8%.

The economic expansion is fueled by notable contributions from key sectors, including Hotels and Restaurants, Construction, Information and Communication, and Wholesale and Retail Trade, including Motor Vehicle Repairs.

Retail Sector Posts Impressive Gains in October

In October 2024, retail trade recorded substantial year-over-year growth, reflecting a 4.7% rise in turnover value and a 4.6% increase in turnover volume, according to the Cyprus Statistical Service.

Specialised stores selling Food, Beverages, and Tobacco led the value index gains, while the volume index saw the largest boost from Cultural and Recreational Goods, such as books, stationery, sports equipment, and toys.

Conversely, Retail Sales Not in Stores experienced the most notable decline across both indexes.

For the first ten months of 2024, the Value Index of retail trade grew by 5.2%, with the Volume Index climbing by 4.1%, compared to the same period in 2023.

These figures underscore a vibrant and resilient economic landscape, with growth driven by diverse and dynamic sectors.

Bitcoin Surges 23% In A Week As Investor Optimism Returns

Bitcoin was on track for a weekly gain of around 23% on Friday as a series of positive macroeconomic and policy developments boosted investor sentiment.

The cryptocurrency was trading about 6% higher at roughly $77,000, up from around $62,800 at the start of the week. Crypto-related stocks also rallied, with Coinbase and Circle gaining more than 9%, while Strategy rose 7%.

Macro Factors Fuel Rally

Bitcoin’s latest surge began Wednesday after Treasury yields fell sharply following a major intervention by the U.S. Treasury in the bond market. Lower yields eased pressure on risk assets and helped trigger a broader move into cryptocurrencies.

The rally was further amplified by a major short squeeze. Around $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, according to CoinGlass.

Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said the move reflected an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts, including the Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government debt.

Clarity Act Boosts Sentiment

Investor confidence improved further on Thursday as the White House and crypto industry leaders made a final push to advance the Clarity Act in the coming weeks.

The legislation is widely viewed as a potential catalyst for the crypto market, although its chances of passing remain relatively limited.

Despite the rally, bitcoin remains well below its 2026 high of $94,820 reached in January and its all-time high of $126,198, set last October.

Analysts See More Volatility Ahead

Lucy Gazmararian, founder and managing partner at Token Bay Capital, said the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bear cycle.

She expects bitcoin could experience one more decline of around 20% before the market turns, pointing to historical cycles and the recent liquidation of heavily leveraged short positions.

Gazmararian also described bitcoin as a long-term hedge against monetary debasement, while warning that its short-term price remains highly volatile and driven by market cycles.

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