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Cyprus Economy: Strong Growth Ahead Despite Structural Challenges

Cyprus is poised to sustain strong economic growth in the coming years, according to a recent report from the Canadian rating agency Morningstar DBRS. The agency also predicts a steady decline in unemployment, which is expected to bolster the nation’s fiscal performance.

Despite these positive projections, the report highlights persistent hurdles facing the Cypriot economy. As a small, service-driven market, Cyprus remains highly susceptible to external shocks. Additionally, while strides have been made to reduce non-performing loans (NPLs), their levels still exceed the Eurozone average. Challenges in labour market productivity further restrict the nation’s economic potential.

On a brighter note, progress in addressing NPLs has been significant. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that NPL ratios in approved credit institutions dropped to 6.8% in August 2024, a dramatic reduction from 43.7% at the end of 2017. This improvement represents an €18.9 billion decrease in absolute terms.

Morningstar DBRS anticipates this downward trajectory to persist but acknowledges that eliminating the remaining NPLs will require time. By mid-2024, credit acquisition companies managed exposures of approximately €21 billion, with 94% classified as non-performing.

The report also notes delays faced by KEDIPES, the state-owned asset management company. Challenges such as foreclosure moratoriums, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have pushed the company’s operational deadline to 2030.

Housing prices, meanwhile, have shown sustained growth. As of Q2 2024, property prices in Cyprus rose by an annual rate of 8.0%, with house prices increasing by 6.2% and apartment prices surging by 12.0%. Most of the real estate collateral tied to NPLs consists of residential properties, with Nicosia and Limassol identified as the most stable markets on the island.

While structural vulnerabilities persist, Morningstar DBRS’s analysis underscores Cyprus’ resilience and ability to adapt. Continued efforts to address NPLs, coupled with a robust housing market and improved employment metrics, suggest the nation is on a steady path toward economic stability and growth.

AI Is Everywhere, But Consumers Are Growing More Skeptical

AI is advancing rapidly, but public enthusiasm is moving in the opposite direction. Recent surveys show that more Americans are becoming concerned about the technology, while growing opposition to data centers is turning AI’s social acceptance into a business and political challenge.

A Pew Research study found that 52% of Americans are now “more concerned than excited” about the growing use of AI in daily life, up from 37% in 2021. A May Economist/YouGov poll also found that more than 70% believe AI is developing too quickly.

The political backlash is becoming harder to ignore. Axios reported that the National Republican Senatorial Committee warned major AI companies that data center projects could hurt Republican candidates in a key Ohio election.

AI’s Growing Reputation Problem

Public concern is also showing up among younger Americans. A CNBC poll found that most respondents aged 18 to 34 did not trust nine leading AI executives to act responsibly on AI.

For many consumers, AI is increasingly associated with chatbots, AI-powered search and features appearing inside everyday products, rather than with major improvements to their lives. Google has transformed Search with AI, while companies are adding AI to products ranging from email to televisions.

At the same time, people are hearing about AI being used by students to cheat, while companies face disputes over copyrighted material used to train models and generate art, music, video and writing.

That combination is creating a difficult perception: consumers are being asked to accept the disruption caused by AI without necessarily seeing enough personal benefit in return.

Data Centers Add To The Backlash

The problem extends beyond software. Tech companies are spending enormous sums building AI data centers, but communities are increasingly pushing back over issues including electricity demand, water use and infrastructure.

According to The Wall Street Journal, companies are responding with additional incentives such as employment commitments and investments in local infrastructure. One Louisiana project even included $50,000 bonuses for teachers.

Meanwhile, some consumers are gravitating toward technology that feels deliberately less connected. Young people are showing renewed interest in dumbphones, point-and-shoot cameras, cassette players and CD players. AI-free classic iPods are also attracting attention, while offline hobbies and in-person activities are gaining popularity.

The Industry Is Starting To Take Notice

Some technology executives believe the backlash is partly a communication problem. Others are increasingly acknowledging that consumers may understand AI perfectly well but simply don’t consider its current benefits worth the trade-offs.

Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky recently said on a podcast that the industry needs to build products that ordinary people genuinely value, rather than focusing primarily on AI itself.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei similarly described negative perceptions of AI as a “big problem” and a “crisis of trust” in a post on X. In his view, the strongest response would be for AI companies to actually deliver on their biggest promises, including breakthroughs that could significantly improve people’s lives.

For an industry that has attracted hundreds of billions of dollars on the expectation that AI will transform everyday life, technological progress alone may no longer be enough. The bigger challenge could be convincing people that they are actually better off because of it.

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