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Cyprus Economy: Strong Growth Ahead Despite Structural Challenges

Cyprus is poised to sustain strong economic growth in the coming years, according to a recent report from the Canadian rating agency Morningstar DBRS. The agency also predicts a steady decline in unemployment, which is expected to bolster the nation’s fiscal performance.

Despite these positive projections, the report highlights persistent hurdles facing the Cypriot economy. As a small, service-driven market, Cyprus remains highly susceptible to external shocks. Additionally, while strides have been made to reduce non-performing loans (NPLs), their levels still exceed the Eurozone average. Challenges in labour market productivity further restrict the nation’s economic potential.

On a brighter note, progress in addressing NPLs has been significant. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that NPL ratios in approved credit institutions dropped to 6.8% in August 2024, a dramatic reduction from 43.7% at the end of 2017. This improvement represents an €18.9 billion decrease in absolute terms.

Morningstar DBRS anticipates this downward trajectory to persist but acknowledges that eliminating the remaining NPLs will require time. By mid-2024, credit acquisition companies managed exposures of approximately €21 billion, with 94% classified as non-performing.

The report also notes delays faced by KEDIPES, the state-owned asset management company. Challenges such as foreclosure moratoriums, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have pushed the company’s operational deadline to 2030.

Housing prices, meanwhile, have shown sustained growth. As of Q2 2024, property prices in Cyprus rose by an annual rate of 8.0%, with house prices increasing by 6.2% and apartment prices surging by 12.0%. Most of the real estate collateral tied to NPLs consists of residential properties, with Nicosia and Limassol identified as the most stable markets on the island.

While structural vulnerabilities persist, Morningstar DBRS’s analysis underscores Cyprus’ resilience and ability to adapt. Continued efforts to address NPLs, coupled with a robust housing market and improved employment metrics, suggest the nation is on a steady path toward economic stability and growth.

Foreign-Controlled Firms In Cyprus Punch Above Their Weight With More Than 40,000 Jobs

Foreign-controlled enterprises may represent only a modest slice of Cyprus’ business landscape, but their economic footprint is anything but small. In 2024, these firms accounted for 10% of employment in the country and generated €4.76 billion in value added, according to Eurostat.

A Small Group With Outsized Economic Impact

Eurostat’s data show that 681 foreign-controlled enterprises were operating in Cyprus across industry, construction and market services last year, employing 40,187 people. Together, they produced €4.76 billion in value added, underscoring the importance of internationally owned businesses to the Cypriot economy.

That contribution is notable precisely because of the limited number of companies involved. In structural terms, foreign-controlled firms remain a small part of the market. In economic terms, they are major employers and significant value creators.

How Cyprus Compares Across The European Union

Across the European Union, 364,308 foreign-controlled enterprises employed 25.64 million people in 2024 and generated €2.68 trillion in value added. Although they made up just 1% of all market producer enterprises, they accounted for 16% of employment and 24% of total value added.

Most of these firms were controlled by institutional units from other EU countries, which made up 59% of the total. The remaining 41% were controlled from outside the bloc.

Cyprus sits near the middle of the pack on employment share. Foreign-controlled enterprises accounted for 10% of jobs in the country, the same as Italy and above Greece, where the figure stood at 8%.

Where Foreign Ownership Matters Most

Luxembourg recorded the highest share of foreign-controlled enterprises among EU member states, with such companies making up 28% of all enterprises. Estonia followed at 12%. In every other member state, the share was 5% or less, ranging from 0.3% in Poland and Italy to 5% in Croatia.

The contribution of foreign-controlled businesses to national output also varied sharply across the bloc. Ireland led with foreign-controlled enterprises responsible for 72% of value added, followed by Luxembourg at 62% and Slovakia at 50%.

At the lower end, foreign-controlled enterprises accounted for 15% of value added in France and 18% in both Italy and Germany.

Cyprus Versus Greece

Cyprus’ 681 foreign-controlled enterprises generated €4.76 billion in value added, according to Eurostat’s table covering industry, construction and market services. By comparison, Greece had 4,548 foreign-controlled enterprises employing 281,558 people and generating €22.31 billion in value added.

The contrast illustrates a broader pattern across Europe: foreign-controlled firms often represent a small share of the total business population, yet their role in jobs, investment and economic output is disproportionate to their numbers.

The Broader Policy Lesson

For policymakers, the data reinforce a familiar but important point. Economies that attract and retain foreign-controlled firms gain more than corporate presence alone; they secure employment, capital deployment and productivity gains that can ripple through the wider business ecosystem.

In Cyprus, that dynamic is especially clear. Fewer than 700 foreign-controlled enterprises employ more than 40,000 people and contribute billions to the economy, showing how global capital can shape a small open economy far beyond its numerical footprint.

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