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Cyprus Economy: Strong Growth Ahead Despite Structural Challenges

Cyprus is poised to sustain strong economic growth in the coming years, according to a recent report from the Canadian rating agency Morningstar DBRS. The agency also predicts a steady decline in unemployment, which is expected to bolster the nation’s fiscal performance.

Despite these positive projections, the report highlights persistent hurdles facing the Cypriot economy. As a small, service-driven market, Cyprus remains highly susceptible to external shocks. Additionally, while strides have been made to reduce non-performing loans (NPLs), their levels still exceed the Eurozone average. Challenges in labour market productivity further restrict the nation’s economic potential.

On a brighter note, progress in addressing NPLs has been significant. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that NPL ratios in approved credit institutions dropped to 6.8% in August 2024, a dramatic reduction from 43.7% at the end of 2017. This improvement represents an €18.9 billion decrease in absolute terms.

Morningstar DBRS anticipates this downward trajectory to persist but acknowledges that eliminating the remaining NPLs will require time. By mid-2024, credit acquisition companies managed exposures of approximately €21 billion, with 94% classified as non-performing.

The report also notes delays faced by KEDIPES, the state-owned asset management company. Challenges such as foreclosure moratoriums, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have pushed the company’s operational deadline to 2030.

Housing prices, meanwhile, have shown sustained growth. As of Q2 2024, property prices in Cyprus rose by an annual rate of 8.0%, with house prices increasing by 6.2% and apartment prices surging by 12.0%. Most of the real estate collateral tied to NPLs consists of residential properties, with Nicosia and Limassol identified as the most stable markets on the island.

While structural vulnerabilities persist, Morningstar DBRS’s analysis underscores Cyprus’ resilience and ability to adapt. Continued efforts to address NPLs, coupled with a robust housing market and improved employment metrics, suggest the nation is on a steady path toward economic stability and growth.

Tourism Recovery And Expansion: Larnaca Poised For New Growth

Strong Momentum Ahead Under Cyprus EU Presidency

Larnaca celebrated its most successful tourism season in recent years and is gearing up to build on that success in the coming year. With the added advantage of Cyprus holding the EU Council Presidency during the first half of the year, industry leaders are confident that the city’s tourism performance will soar even higher.

Robust International Inflows and Market Shifts

Marios Polyviou, Chairman of PASYXE Larnaca, highlighted notable increases in visitor arrivals from Israel, Poland, and Germany, while growth from the United Kingdom remained more modest. “Early indicators for this year are positive, with progressive booking trends that suggest 2026 will also mark another successful tourism season,” Polyviou noted. His remarks underscore strong optimism within the local industry, laying the groundwork for a continued upward trajectory in visitor numbers.

Impressive December Performance and Strategic Outreach

Following the trend of recent years, December saw hotel occupancy rates climb to approximately 70%, a significant performance boost over 2024. The sustained uptick in demand was evident in the days leading up to the New Year, with both international and local tourists—particularly Cypriot visitors drawn by attractive hotel offers—bolstering occupancy figures. Leading markets include not only Germany and Israel but also the Scandinavian countries and the United Kingdom.

International Promotions and Forthcoming Exhibitions

Local tourism authorities are currently focused on the international stage, preparing for participation in major tourism exhibitions. PASYXE and ETAP Larnaca will showcase Larnaca’s offerings at the upcoming Berlin exhibition, one of the largest alongside London’s event. This campaign will be further amplified through targeted social media outreach, reinforcing the city’s reputation as a top tourism destination.

Ambitious Hotel Developments Fueling Future Growth

Looking ahead to 2026, two significant hotel projects are set to transform Larnaca’s hospitality landscape. One is a boutique hotel in the heart of the city’s Agios Lazarou district, and the other is the luxurious Palm Beach development, valued at €100 million and scheduled for completion by October 2026. This mixed-use project will encompass a five-star hotel with 164 rooms, upscale ground-floor residences, a tower of apartments, diverse dining and entertainment facilities, a wellness center, modern conference spaces, and underground parking. The portfolio also includes the Waterfront Residence—a four-story building with 20 apartments—as well as the Seabreeze Tower, a ten-floor residential building behind the hotel, and The Beach House Residences featuring luxury villas.

Expanding Hospitality Offerings

According to data from the Larnaca Regional Administration Authority processed by ETAP Larnaca, an additional 27 tourism units, predominantly through the conversion of existing buildings, are expected in the coming years. When combined with the two new hotel projects, these developments will contribute nearly 900 additional beds to the region’s portfolio, reinforcing Larnaca’s position as a burgeoning tourism hotspot.

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