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Cyprus Economy: Strong Growth Ahead Despite Structural Challenges

Cyprus is poised to sustain strong economic growth in the coming years, according to a recent report from the Canadian rating agency Morningstar DBRS. The agency also predicts a steady decline in unemployment, which is expected to bolster the nation’s fiscal performance.

Despite these positive projections, the report highlights persistent hurdles facing the Cypriot economy. As a small, service-driven market, Cyprus remains highly susceptible to external shocks. Additionally, while strides have been made to reduce non-performing loans (NPLs), their levels still exceed the Eurozone average. Challenges in labour market productivity further restrict the nation’s economic potential.

On a brighter note, progress in addressing NPLs has been significant. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that NPL ratios in approved credit institutions dropped to 6.8% in August 2024, a dramatic reduction from 43.7% at the end of 2017. This improvement represents an €18.9 billion decrease in absolute terms.

Morningstar DBRS anticipates this downward trajectory to persist but acknowledges that eliminating the remaining NPLs will require time. By mid-2024, credit acquisition companies managed exposures of approximately €21 billion, with 94% classified as non-performing.

The report also notes delays faced by KEDIPES, the state-owned asset management company. Challenges such as foreclosure moratoriums, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have pushed the company’s operational deadline to 2030.

Housing prices, meanwhile, have shown sustained growth. As of Q2 2024, property prices in Cyprus rose by an annual rate of 8.0%, with house prices increasing by 6.2% and apartment prices surging by 12.0%. Most of the real estate collateral tied to NPLs consists of residential properties, with Nicosia and Limassol identified as the most stable markets on the island.

While structural vulnerabilities persist, Morningstar DBRS’s analysis underscores Cyprus’ resilience and ability to adapt. Continued efforts to address NPLs, coupled with a robust housing market and improved employment metrics, suggest the nation is on a steady path toward economic stability and growth.

EBA Tightens Focus On High-Risk Third-Party Arrangements To Streamline Banking Oversight

The European Banking Authority has issued new guidelines designed to sharpen supervision of third-party arrangements linked to critical functions, in a move intended to simplify parts of the EU banking regulatory framework while preserving robust risk controls.

A More Proportionate Supervisory Model

The new approach concentrates attention on arrangements whose disruption could materially affect a financial institution’s operations. By doing so, regulators and firms can direct resources toward higher-risk dependencies rather than spreading oversight too thinly across lower-risk service relationships.

In practice, the framework aims to reduce unnecessary operational and supervisory burdens associated with less material third-party arrangements, while maintaining strong standards for governance, resilience and risk management.

Covering The Full Third-Party Lifecycle

The guidelines apply to both ICT and non-ICT services, reflecting the increasingly interconnected nature of modern financial operations. Rather than treating technology risk in isolation, the EBA has adopted a more holistic approach to third-party risk management.

The framework spans the entire lifecycle of an arrangement, including risk assessment, due diligence, contracting, subcontracting, ongoing monitoring, documentation and exit planning. That breadth is significant: in financial services, risk does not end at onboarding. It evolves as dependencies deepen, services change, and counterparties expand their own supplier chains.

Feedback From Industry And International Standards

The EBA said the final version incorporates feedback from a public consultation, together with input gathered through targeted outreach. It also takes account of international standards, including the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision’s Principles for the Sound Management of Third-Party Risk.

That alignment matters. As banks and investment firms operate across jurisdictions and through increasingly complex vendor ecosystems, regulatory convergence helps reduce fragmentation and supports more consistent control frameworks.

A Transitional Period For Implementation

To support adoption, the EBA has предусмотрed a two-year transitional period, giving institutions and supervisors time to adapt to the new requirements in a proportionate and orderly way. The phased approach should help firms recalibrate internal policies, renegotiate contracts where needed and strengthen oversight of the most material external dependencies.

Broader Legal And Regulatory Context

The guidelines were developed under Directive 2013/36/EU, which requires the EBA to further harmonise governance arrangements, processes and mechanisms across EU institutions. In shaping the final text, the authority also considered several other key pieces of EU legislation, including the second Payment Services Directive, the Investment Firms Directive, the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive and the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation.

The regulation establishing the EBA was also taken into account, underscoring the breadth of the legal foundation behind the new framework.

What The New Rules Mean For Institutions

For banks, investment firms and other financial entities, the message is clear: not every outsourced service warrants the same level of regulatory attention. The new guidelines are designed to ensure that oversight is proportionate to the potential impact of failure, with greater scrutiny reserved for arrangements supporting functions that could seriously disrupt operations if compromised.

In a sector where resilience has become a board-level priority, the EBA’s move reflects a broader regulatory trend: fewer blanket requirements, more risk-based judgment and a sharper focus on material exposures.

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