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Cyprus Economy: Strong Growth Ahead Despite Structural Challenges

Cyprus is poised to sustain strong economic growth in the coming years, according to a recent report from the Canadian rating agency Morningstar DBRS. The agency also predicts a steady decline in unemployment, which is expected to bolster the nation’s fiscal performance.

Despite these positive projections, the report highlights persistent hurdles facing the Cypriot economy. As a small, service-driven market, Cyprus remains highly susceptible to external shocks. Additionally, while strides have been made to reduce non-performing loans (NPLs), their levels still exceed the Eurozone average. Challenges in labour market productivity further restrict the nation’s economic potential.

On a brighter note, progress in addressing NPLs has been significant. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that NPL ratios in approved credit institutions dropped to 6.8% in August 2024, a dramatic reduction from 43.7% at the end of 2017. This improvement represents an €18.9 billion decrease in absolute terms.

Morningstar DBRS anticipates this downward trajectory to persist but acknowledges that eliminating the remaining NPLs will require time. By mid-2024, credit acquisition companies managed exposures of approximately €21 billion, with 94% classified as non-performing.

The report also notes delays faced by KEDIPES, the state-owned asset management company. Challenges such as foreclosure moratoriums, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have pushed the company’s operational deadline to 2030.

Housing prices, meanwhile, have shown sustained growth. As of Q2 2024, property prices in Cyprus rose by an annual rate of 8.0%, with house prices increasing by 6.2% and apartment prices surging by 12.0%. Most of the real estate collateral tied to NPLs consists of residential properties, with Nicosia and Limassol identified as the most stable markets on the island.

While structural vulnerabilities persist, Morningstar DBRS’s analysis underscores Cyprus’ resilience and ability to adapt. Continued efforts to address NPLs, coupled with a robust housing market and improved employment metrics, suggest the nation is on a steady path toward economic stability and growth.

Energy Policy In Cyprus: Balancing Immediate Relief With Long-Term Strategic Investment

Cyprus is facing a key moment in its energy policy, as rising electricity costs continue to put pressure on households. Constantinos Constanti, President of the Scientific and Technical Chamber (ETEK), outlined a two-track approach combining short-term relief with longer-term structural changes.

Immediate Relief Measures

Constanti said short-term measures are needed to ease pressure on consumers. This includes adjustments in the competitive electricity market to ensure that cost benefits from renewable energy projects reach households.

He pointed to modern photovoltaic parks and private storage systems, which operate at lower cost than traditional generation. Part of these gains, he argued, should be reflected in lower electricity prices, especially as consumers continue to bear the cost of broader energy investments.

Long-Term Strategic Solutions

Beyond immediate relief, Constanti highlighted the need to review how carbon costs are calculated in the wholesale electricity market. In Cyprus, carbon costs account for around 19% of the average household electricity bill, compared to an EU average of 11%. This gap points to structural issues in the system that require policy changes. He said long-term solutions will require significant public investment to address these imbalances and support a more efficient and sustainable energy system.

Enhanced Support For Vulnerable Consumers

Constanti also called for a more structured approach to supporting vulnerable households. Current support mechanisms, which rely heavily on applications and co-financing, may not reach those most in need. He suggested creating a centralised system to identify households at risk of energy poverty and prioritise targeted measures. These could include replacing energy-intensive appliances and introducing practical efficiency upgrades that reduce costs in the short term.

Transparency in how energy-related revenues are used is also key, he added. Redirecting part of these funds back to households could help reduce costs and strengthen the social impact of energy policy.

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