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Cyprus Economy: Strong Growth Ahead Despite Structural Challenges

Cyprus is poised to sustain strong economic growth in the coming years, according to a recent report from the Canadian rating agency Morningstar DBRS. The agency also predicts a steady decline in unemployment, which is expected to bolster the nation’s fiscal performance.

Despite these positive projections, the report highlights persistent hurdles facing the Cypriot economy. As a small, service-driven market, Cyprus remains highly susceptible to external shocks. Additionally, while strides have been made to reduce non-performing loans (NPLs), their levels still exceed the Eurozone average. Challenges in labour market productivity further restrict the nation’s economic potential.

On a brighter note, progress in addressing NPLs has been significant. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that NPL ratios in approved credit institutions dropped to 6.8% in August 2024, a dramatic reduction from 43.7% at the end of 2017. This improvement represents an €18.9 billion decrease in absolute terms.

Morningstar DBRS anticipates this downward trajectory to persist but acknowledges that eliminating the remaining NPLs will require time. By mid-2024, credit acquisition companies managed exposures of approximately €21 billion, with 94% classified as non-performing.

The report also notes delays faced by KEDIPES, the state-owned asset management company. Challenges such as foreclosure moratoriums, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have pushed the company’s operational deadline to 2030.

Housing prices, meanwhile, have shown sustained growth. As of Q2 2024, property prices in Cyprus rose by an annual rate of 8.0%, with house prices increasing by 6.2% and apartment prices surging by 12.0%. Most of the real estate collateral tied to NPLs consists of residential properties, with Nicosia and Limassol identified as the most stable markets on the island.

While structural vulnerabilities persist, Morningstar DBRS’s analysis underscores Cyprus’ resilience and ability to adapt. Continued efforts to address NPLs, coupled with a robust housing market and improved employment metrics, suggest the nation is on a steady path toward economic stability and growth.

Cyprus Could Tighten Short-Term Rental Rules Under New EU Housing Framework

Cyprus could gain a stronger legal basis to restrict Airbnb-style rentals in areas facing housing pressure, but any measures would need evidence showing where that pressure exists and how short-term rentals contribute to it.

The European Commission’s forthcoming Affordable Housing Act is still being drafted and would not impose an EU-wide cap or ban. Instead, it would allow authorities to identify “areas of housing stress” using public data and introduce proportionate measures, including restrictions on short-term lets, alongside policies to increase housing supply.

Cyprus’ Short-Term Rental Market Is Growing

Eurostat data shows Cyprus recorded 7.64 million guest nights booked through Airbnb, Booking and Expedia in 2025, up 24.7% from 2024. During the first quarter of 2026, platform guest nights exceeded one million, a 22.3% year-on-year increase and the EU’s fourth-fastest growth rate.

Guest-night figures measure demand rather than the number of homes used for short-term rentals, so they do not show how many properties may have left the long-term rental market.

Registration Gaps Remain

A July Audit Office report said 8,464 licensed self-service accommodation units were registered as of May 6. That compares with 492,931 housing units in the 2021 census, although the figures are not directly comparable.

An audit of 20 online listings found only six with valid licences matching state records. Ten had no registration number, while four displayed invalid or mismatched numbers. A separate review of 150 listings in Famagusta found 23 properties absent from the relevant registers.

The samples cannot establish the scale of illegal rentals nationwide, but they indicate gaps in registration and enforcement.

EU Framework Focuses On Data

Regulation 2024/1028, effective since May 20, creates a common EU framework for collecting data from hosts and platforms. Platforms can be required to display registration numbers, conduct checks and provide authorities with data on stays, nights booked and individual properties.

The regulation does not impose rental limits. It is intended to give authorities evidence for deciding whether further restrictions are justified.

Property Prices Have Other Drivers

Cyprus residential property prices rose 7.5% year on year in the first quarter of 2026, according to the Central Bank of Cyprus. Apartment prices increased 10.8%, while house prices rose 3%.

The central bank attributed the increase primarily to foreign demand, followed by domestic demand and higher construction costs. It did not identify short-term rentals as the main cause.

The European Commission’s housing assessment found short-term rental activity across the EU increased 93% between 2018 and 2024. While listings account for an estimated 1.2% of total housing stock, their share can reach 20% in some tourist centers and neighborhoods.

The Commission said high concentrations of short-term rentals do not automatically cause housing shortages or higher prices, although they can add pressure where supply is already constrained.

Local Evidence Will Shape Any Restrictions

A 2020 EU court ruling found that a shortage of long-term rental housing can justify prior-authorisation rules for short-term lets if measures are necessary, nondiscriminatory and proportionate. Airbnb has supported better data sharing while calling for targeted rather than blanket restrictions.

For Cyprus, any case for tighter rules will therefore depend on neighborhood-level evidence linking short-term rentals to local housing pressure. In 2024, 2.4% of Cyprus residents faced housing-cost overburden, compared with 8.2% across the EU, according to Eurostat.

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