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Cyprus Economy: Strong Growth Ahead Despite Structural Challenges

Cyprus is poised to sustain strong economic growth in the coming years, according to a recent report from the Canadian rating agency Morningstar DBRS. The agency also predicts a steady decline in unemployment, which is expected to bolster the nation’s fiscal performance.

Despite these positive projections, the report highlights persistent hurdles facing the Cypriot economy. As a small, service-driven market, Cyprus remains highly susceptible to external shocks. Additionally, while strides have been made to reduce non-performing loans (NPLs), their levels still exceed the Eurozone average. Challenges in labour market productivity further restrict the nation’s economic potential.

On a brighter note, progress in addressing NPLs has been significant. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that NPL ratios in approved credit institutions dropped to 6.8% in August 2024, a dramatic reduction from 43.7% at the end of 2017. This improvement represents an €18.9 billion decrease in absolute terms.

Morningstar DBRS anticipates this downward trajectory to persist but acknowledges that eliminating the remaining NPLs will require time. By mid-2024, credit acquisition companies managed exposures of approximately €21 billion, with 94% classified as non-performing.

The report also notes delays faced by KEDIPES, the state-owned asset management company. Challenges such as foreclosure moratoriums, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have pushed the company’s operational deadline to 2030.

Housing prices, meanwhile, have shown sustained growth. As of Q2 2024, property prices in Cyprus rose by an annual rate of 8.0%, with house prices increasing by 6.2% and apartment prices surging by 12.0%. Most of the real estate collateral tied to NPLs consists of residential properties, with Nicosia and Limassol identified as the most stable markets on the island.

While structural vulnerabilities persist, Morningstar DBRS’s analysis underscores Cyprus’ resilience and ability to adapt. Continued efforts to address NPLs, coupled with a robust housing market and improved employment metrics, suggest the nation is on a steady path toward economic stability and growth.

Cyprus Tax Reform Ushers In Revised Deductions And Elevated Penalties

Effective January 1, Cyprus has implemented significant changes to its tax legislation. The reform adjusts rates and deductions and imposes substantially higher penalties, signaling a robust commitment to boosting compliance and deterring evasion.

Enhanced Deterrence Measures

The revised framework significantly raises administrative fines across a wide range of activities. One of the most notable changes concerns the obligation to accept credit card payments. The penalty for non-compliance has increased to €6,000, up from €4,000 previously and €2,000 when the requirement was first introduced in 2021. The rule applies across retail, services, hospitality, and leisure sectors and forms part of broader efforts to limit undeclared transactions and protect public revenue.

Adjustments To Reporting And Submission Deadlines

Penalties for failures related to tax filings and data submissions have also been tightened. The daily fine for a continuing violation has risen from €17 to €20, while the penalty for unjustifiably omitting income from a tax return now reaches €5,000, compared with €2,000 under the previous regime. Non-compliance with invoicing and receipt requirements is subject to the same ceiling, replacing the earlier fine of €450. These measures reinforce stricter expectations around accurate reporting and documentation.

Graduated Consequences For Late Payments And Serious Breaches

A tiered penalty system now applies to late submissions. Individuals face a fine of €150, small companies with a turnover below €1 million are charged €250, and larger businesses incur a fine of €500. If deadlines set by the tax commissioner are missed, the penalties escalate further to €300, €500, or €1,000, respectively. No fine is imposed, however, when an official extension is granted, and returns along with self-assessed taxes are filed within the approved timeframe, typically by July 31 or January 31.

Strict Penalties For Serious Tax Offenses

The reform also strengthens sanctions for more serious violations. Where business premises are sealed due to breaches such as failure to issue lawful receipts or outstanding tax debts, any attempt to tamper with the seal constitutes a criminal offense. Such actions may result in fines of up to €30,000 and imprisonment of up to two years. In cases of unpaid taxes, company executives, board members, or financial officers may also be held personally liable.

Penalties linked to the extraordinary defence contribution have been significantly increased. A first conviction may lead to a fine of up to €5,000, together with payment of up to double the amount owed. A second conviction carries far heavier consequences, including fines of up to €100,000, imprisonment of up to two years, and payment of up to four times the original contribution. Offences related to defence procurement or associated financial benefits are punishable by fines of up to €30,000, rising to €100,000 when a public official or person acting on behalf of the Republic is involved.

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