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Cyprus Economy: Strong Growth Ahead Despite Structural Challenges

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

Cyprus is poised to sustain strong economic growth in the coming years, according to a recent report from the Canadian rating agency Morningstar DBRS. The agency also predicts a steady decline in unemployment, which is expected to bolster the nation’s fiscal performance.

Despite these positive projections, the report highlights persistent hurdles facing the Cypriot economy. As a small, service-driven market, Cyprus remains highly susceptible to external shocks. Additionally, while strides have been made to reduce non-performing loans (NPLs), their levels still exceed the Eurozone average. Challenges in labour market productivity further restrict the nation’s economic potential.

On a brighter note, progress in addressing NPLs has been significant. Data from the Central Bank of Cyprus show that NPL ratios in approved credit institutions dropped to 6.8% in August 2024, a dramatic reduction from 43.7% at the end of 2017. This improvement represents an €18.9 billion decrease in absolute terms.

Morningstar DBRS anticipates this downward trajectory to persist but acknowledges that eliminating the remaining NPLs will require time. By mid-2024, credit acquisition companies managed exposures of approximately €21 billion, with 94% classified as non-performing.

The report also notes delays faced by KEDIPES, the state-owned asset management company. Challenges such as foreclosure moratoriums, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have pushed the company’s operational deadline to 2030.

Housing prices, meanwhile, have shown sustained growth. As of Q2 2024, property prices in Cyprus rose by an annual rate of 8.0%, with house prices increasing by 6.2% and apartment prices surging by 12.0%. Most of the real estate collateral tied to NPLs consists of residential properties, with Nicosia and Limassol identified as the most stable markets on the island.

While structural vulnerabilities persist, Morningstar DBRS’s analysis underscores Cyprus’ resilience and ability to adapt. Continued efforts to address NPLs, coupled with a robust housing market and improved employment metrics, suggest the nation is on a steady path toward economic stability and growth.

Delayed Cyprus Fuel Terminal Adds €1.67 Million To 2026 Budget Allocation

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

A delay in completing Cyprus’ strategic petroleum-products terminal has shifted €1.67 million in expected payments into the 2026 budget, prompting a revised budget allocation for the state’s fuel-storage organization, CODAP. The project was completed on June 30, 2026, later than the December 2025 handover originally anticipated.

The change in timing has altered the project’s payment schedule, but it will not increase CODAP’s overall 2026 budget of €111.3 million. After contractual deductions for the delay, payments to the contractor are expected to total €48.2 million, compared with the original contract value of €51 million.

Why The Budget Is Being Revised

When CODAP prepared its 2026 budget in June 2025, it expected construction to finish by the end of that year. The organization therefore forecast that the main payments to the contractor would be made during 2025 and included lower construction funding in its 2026 budget.

But delays by the contractor pushed completion to June 30, 2026. As a result, payments that had been expected earlier must now be covered through a budget amendment. The revised allocation will be discussed by Parliament’s Finance Committee on Friday.

Of the €1.67 million adjustment, €1.27 million relates to the first half of the contractor’s retention payment, which is payable upon handover under the contract. The remaining half is due 24 months after delivery.

A further €250,000 is set aside for work that has not yet been certified. The contractor is expected to complete these non-critical items during 2026. Another €150,000 covers payments to the project’s engineering consultants, whose fees are linked to construction progress and completion.

Contractual Deductions Reduce The Final Cost

CODAP withheld €1.27 million from the contractor in 2025 because of the late delivery. The deduction represents the maximum penalty stipulated in the contract: 2.5% of the contract value, applied in response to the delay against the agreed construction period of 24 months.

After accounting for that deduction and the scheduled retention payment, the total amount expected to be paid to the contractor is €48.2 million—below the original €51 million contract price.

A Critical Part Of Cyprus’ Fuel Reserves

The terminal is located at the Vasilikos Energy Centre and has seven petroleum-product storage tanks. It holds most of Cyprus’ fuel reserves, which are intended to help protect the country against supply disruptions.

Countries are required to maintain fuel stocks equivalent to 90 days of consumption. Those reserves must remain available for release to the market if supply problems arise, making the terminal a key part of Cyprus’ energy-security infrastructure.

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