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Cyprus Economy In 2024: Growth In Key Sectors, But Trade Faces Challenges

Cyprus experienced notable economic growth in 2024, driven by increases in construction, manufacturing, tourism, and vehicle registrations. However, trade performance weakened, with both imports and exports declining. The latest data from CySTAT provides a comprehensive overview of these trends.

Key Figures

  • Construction Growth: Building permits reached 1.72 million square meters (January–August 2024), an 18% increase compared to the same period in 2023.
  • Manufacturing Expansion: Industrial production rose 1.8% from January to November 2024, reflecting steady growth in the sector.
  • Increase in Vehicle Registrations: Total vehicle registrations grew 9.1%, reaching 49,616; Private saloon car registrations increased 11.2%, while light goods vehicle sales surged 36.1%.
  • Consumer Price Index: Inflation remained moderate, with the CPI rising 1.8% for the year.
  • Tourism Growth: Tourist arrivals reached 4,040,200, marking a 5.1% increase compared to 2023.
  • Decline in Trade Performance: Imports fell 7%, totaling €12.26 billion; Exports declined 12.5%, amounting to €4.12 billion.

The data highlights strong domestic economic activity but also signals potential challenges in external trade.

A New Era in US Tariffs: How American Consumers Will Feel the Impact

Many Americans are now experiencing the direct effects of broad tariffs that earlier seemed distant. This shift stems from the recent expiration of the de minimis exemption, which had allowed goods valued at $800 or less to enter the US without duty. This exemption was a critical factor that enabled budget-friendly e-commerce platforms like Shein, Temu, and AliExpress to thrive in American households.

As this tax relief disappears, social media has been abuzz over the imminent increase in costs, with tariffs on Chinese imports possibly soaring up to 145%. This could lead to prices doubling for savvy shoppers previously reliant on low-cost imports.

Major shipping companies, including UPS and DHL, have stated their readiness to adapt to these changes, assuring customers of continued service despite the policy shifts.

From E-commerce Convenience to Tangible Trade Effects

The disappearance of the de minimis exemption will transform elaborate trade policy into a straightforward receipt, impacting consumer wallets directly. The initial phase of this policy change had already caused turmoil earlier this year when restrictions on imports from Hong Kong and China were implemented.

The issue of volume is significant, with congressional studies showing that 80% of all US e-commerce shipments in 2022 originated from China. Customs and Border Protection processes nearly 4 million of these shipments daily.

Consumer Reactions and Economic Impact

Low-income groups are expected to feel the most severe financial impact, as a significant portion of de minimis packages were destined for poorer areas. This trend sparks concerns about consumer spending and access to affordable goods.

Retailers are bracing for incremental price hikes, and some, including Shein and Temu, are adjusting business models to increase local fulfillment and minimize consumer impact. However, reports from platform users suggest that these efforts might not fully shield consumers from the fallout.

Despite preparations by major shippers, DHL has increased staffing to handle the anticipated surge in package clearances. Overall, goods shipped from China now face a baseline tariff increase, further constraining consumer options.

For American consumers, dealing with the end of de minimis exemptions means navigating higher prices, reflecting the broader complexities of global trade wars. As national policies shift, the challenge remains in balancing economic policy impacts with everyday consumer needs.

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