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Cyprus Economic Sentiment Dips In January Amid Divergent Sector Performance

Overview Of January Trends

The Economic Sentiment Indicator in Cyprus experienced a modest decline of 0.2 points in January, underscoring a reduction in business confidence across key sectors. The University of Cyprus Economic Research Centre (UCY) compiled the Economic Tendency Survey, highlighting that while services improved, the setbacks in retail trade, construction, and manufacturing nearly offset these gains.

Sectoral Insights And Business Confidence

Notably, business sentiment in retail trade, construction, and manufacturing declined, although consumer confidence remained robust at levels comparable to December 2025. The survey indicated that despite the overall sectoral pressures, business optimism in services grew stronger, thanks to improved future expectations.

Uncertainty And Business Sentiment Across Sectors

The Economic Uncertainty Indicator marked its fourth consecutive monthly decline, in tandem with reduced business uncertainty across nearly every sector, except manufacturing. Consumer uncertainty held at historically low levels, notwithstanding a slight uptick in January. Business assessments revealed a nuanced picture: while financial conditions saw a marginal deterioration, turnover expectations for the next quarter rebounded after a two-month dip.

Detailed Sector Analysis

Retail Trade: Confidence in the retail sector waned, with businesses revising downward their outlook for upcoming sales and supplier orders. Although recent quarter sales levels remained stable from previous months, an increase in current stock levels and revised price expectations tempered overall sentiment.

Construction: The construction sector saw a sharper drop in confidence. Business evaluations turned more neutral as recent building activity and ongoing project reviews fell short of earlier optimism. Furthermore, the majority of firms expect stable employment levels despite ongoing challenges such as staff shortages and adverse weather conditions, which may continue to constrain productivity.

Manufacturing: In the manufacturing sphere, sentiment weakened with slightly poorer assessments of recent production activity and upward pressure in finished goods inventories. While orders held steady, future production expectations were downgraded, even as employment levels remained stable and pricing expectations unchanged.

Consumer And Service Sector Dynamics

Consumer sentiment proved resilient. Household financial perceptions stayed robust despite broader economic challenges, and expectations for household finances improved to a level not seen in 2025. However, consumers grew more cautious regarding major purchases and savings in the near term.

Capacity utilisation in service sectors such as accommodation, food services, and financial activities demonstrated stability near the highest levels reached since the pandemic, though many sectors still operate below pre-pandemic benchmarks due to recent expansions in capacity.

Conclusion

The January Economic Tendency Survey illustrates a complex economic landscape in Cyprus. Divergent sectoral performances—from the steady resilience of consumers and services to the challenges in retail, construction, and manufacturing—underscore the need for strategic adjustments. As businesses navigate these fluctuating confidence levels, policy makers and industry leaders alike will be looking for reliable indicators to steer future investments and operational shifts.

EU Services Production Grows As Information And Communication Lead

Services production continued to expand across the European Union in August 2026, with information and communication recording the strongest annual growth. However, performance varied significantly between industries and member states, while Cyprus reported a mixed picture, with business services expanding and hospitality-related activities declining.

Information And Communication Leads Sector Growth

Compared with August 2025, services production increased by 5.9% in the euro area and 5.8% across the EU in information and communication. Transportation and storage also recorded growth, rising by 2.1% and 1.9%, respectively.

Real estate activities increased by 1.6% in the euro area and 1.1% in the EU. Professional, scientific and technical activities grew by 1% in both areas, while administrative and support services advanced by 1.1% and 1.3%.

Accommodation and food services was the only major sector to record an annual decline, falling by 0.1% in both the euro area and the EU.

The monthly figures were more mixed. Information and communication remained the strongest performer, increasing by 1.2% in the euro area and 1% across the EU. Real estate activities rose by 0.4% and 0.9%, respectively, while transportation and storage edged up 0.1% in the euro area but declined by 0.2% in the EU.

Administrative and support services recorded modest gains of 0.2% in the euro area and 0.1% in the EU. Accommodation and food services fell by 0.3% and 0.4%, while professional, scientific and technical activities declined by 0.8% and 0.9%, respectively.

Slovakia And Greece Record Strongest Annual Growth

Romania recorded the largest monthly increase in services production, at 5.2%, followed by Malta at 1.8% and Portugal at 1.7%. Luxembourg experienced the steepest decline, with output falling by 5.1%, followed by Bulgaria at 2.3% and Denmark at 1.9%.

On an annual basis, Slovakia led with growth of 10%, followed by Greece at 9.3% and Malta at 7.5%. Hungary recorded the weakest performance, with services production declining by 5.6%. Denmark fell by 5.3%, while Italy recorded a smaller decrease of 0.3%.

Cyprus Sees Growth In Business Services But Weakness In Hospitality

Cyprus’ latest figures show a similar divide between expanding business services and weaker hospitality-related activities. According to the Statistical Service of Cyprus (Cystat), professional, scientific and technical activities recorded the strongest annual growth among the covered sectors in the second quarter of 2026, increasing by 3.4%.

Transportation and storage and information and communication both grew by 2.1%, while real estate activities rose by 1.6%. In contrast, accommodation and food services declined by 3.1% year on year, and administrative and support services fell by 2.2%.

First-half results were more favourable for several sectors. Between January and June, professional, scientific and technical activities grew by 3.5%, transportation and storage by 2.8%, real estate by 2.1% and information and communication by 1.3%.

Nevertheless, administrative and support services contracted by 1% over the six-month period, while accommodation and food services declined by 0.7%.

How Cyprus’ Figures Differ From Eurostat’s Data

The Eurostat and Cystat figures measure different aspects of economic activity and are not directly comparable. Eurostat’s services production index tracks changes in the volume of output, whereas Cystat’s Turnover Value Index for Services and Transport measures the value of sales at current prices.

The reporting periods also differ: Eurostat’s figures cover August, while the cited Cypriot data relate to the second quarter and first half of 2026.

Cystat transmits services production data to Eurostat but does not yet publish a separate national production index. Turnover figures therefore remain the main publicly available national indicator for the sector.

Taken together, the data point to continued growth in several of Cyprus’ business-oriented services, alongside persistent pressure on accommodation, food and administrative support activities.

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