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Cyprus Economic Outlook Strengthens With Revised Growth Projections

The European Commission’s latest economic forecast has raised Cyprus’ growth projection for 2025 to 3.4 per cent, a revision that reflects the enduring resilience and dynamic progress of the island nation even amid persistent geopolitical challenges. Finance Minister Makis Keravnos hailed the findings as a testament to Cyprus’ steady economic advancement and the strength of its fundamentals.

Robust Policy and Strategic Reforms

In an official statement, Keravnos emphasized that the upward revision by 0.4 percentage points from the spring forecast is especially encouraging. The Finance Minister pointed to the government’s consistent economic policy, which is paving the way for a sustainable, outward-looking, and socially inclusive growth model. The report also noted a modest upward adjustment for 2026—now forecast at 2.6 per cent—positioning Cyprus third in the Eurozone behind Ireland and Malta.

Foundations of Stable Growth

The revised projections underscore a broader vote of confidence in Cyprus’ economic strategy. Keravnos highlighted that the steady progress is driven by a measured and responsible fiscal approach, with ongoing reforms such as an anticipated tax overhaul aimed at boosting incomes, attracting high-quality investments, and fortifying the economy’s competitive edge. This aligns with the government’s commitment to stability, planning, and fiscal prudence.

Wider Economic Landscape

The comprehensive outlook from the European Commission projects domestic demand as the primary engine for growth, with household consumption moderating as real wage growth decelerates. Meanwhile, increased investment backed by the completion of projects under the Recovery and Resilience Plan (RRP) is expected to propel economic activity in 2026. Services exports are anticipated to remain robust, bolstering the overall growth narrative.

Inflation, Labour Market And Public Finances

Inflation is projected to ease, with headline rates falling to 0.9 per cent in 2025 before gradually rising to 1.9 per cent by 2027. Although core inflation will remain slightly elevated, medium-term expectations suggest it will stabilize slightly below 2 per cent. Labour market indicators remain strong, with unemployment expected to stabilize at 4.7 per cent in 2025 before easing further in subsequent years. Additionally, public finances are on a firm footing, with the government balance forecast to be in surplus at 3.3 per cent of GDP in 2025 and with public debt decreasing steadily to 45.7 per cent of GDP by 2027.

Conclusion

The upgraded economic forecast not only reinforces the confidence of European institutions in Cyprus but also validates the government’s strategic initiatives and reforms. As the island economy continues on its resilient path, stakeholders can look forward to a period of stable growth, sound fiscal management, and progressive economic transformation.

Copyright Law Struggles To Keep Up With AI Training

Courts Are Still Applying Old Copyright Rules To AI

AI companies train models on enormous amounts of published material, including books, articles and academic research. Whether using that content without authors’ permission violates copyright law remains unresolved.

Much of the debate centres on fair use, which allows copyrighted material to be used without permission in certain circumstances. Courts consider factors such as the purpose of the use, how much material was involved and its impact on the original market.

Anthropic Case Sets An Important Precedent

A major case involving Anthropic and a group of authors provided one of the clearest rulings so far. Judge William Alsup found that using copyrighted books to train AI models was lawful, comparing the process to people reading and studying literature before creating something new.

Anthropic was nevertheless ordered to pay $1.5 billion in a settlement. The penalty concerned books the company had obtained from illegal online libraries rather than the AI training itself.

For AI companies, that distinction could prove significant because it separates studying copyrighted material from directly copying it.

Competition Could Be The Key Issue

A case involving Thomson Reuters and Ross Intelligence offers a different perspective. A court ruled that Ross could not claim fair use after using Reuters’ copyrighted material to develop a competing AI-powered legal research platform.

The decision suggests courts may be less willing to consider AI training fair use when copyrighted content is used to build a product that directly competes with the original.

For authors, an unresolved question is whether AI-generated content should be considered competition for the works used to train these models.

The Law Has Yet To Catch Up

US copyright law predates generative AI by decades, leaving courts to apply old principles to new technology. Questions also remain over copyright protection for AI-generated works. In Thaler v. Perlmutter, a court ruled that material created entirely by AI cannot receive copyright protection.

Major AI companies remain involved in copyright litigation, and different courts could reach different conclusions. For now, there is no universal rule: the legality of AI training will depend on the circumstances of each case and how courts ultimately interpret copyright and fair use.

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