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Cyprus Economic Outlook 2026: Resilient Service Sentiment Amid Growth Uncertainty

Improved Service Sentiment Amid Persistent Economic Challenges

University of Cyprus Economics Research Centre (CypERC) reported an increase in economic sentiment in April 2026, with the Economic Sentiment Indicator rising by 2.1 points from March. The improvement reflects fewer negative assessments among services sector businesses, while overall growth expectations remain affected by higher uncertainty.

Sectoral Developments: Services, Retail, And Construction

In the services sector, including hospitality, businesses reported some improvement in turnover expectations and recent performance. At the same time, confidence levels remain below those of earlier periods. By contrast, retail trade showed weaker conditions, with firms reporting lower expectations for current and future sales. Construction activity also softened, as order book levels declined and production expectations weakened.

Rising Consumer Concerns And Economic Uncertainty

Consumer sentiment declined for a fourth consecutive month, with households reporting weaker expectations for their financial situation and reduced plans for major purchases. Although the Economic Uncertainty Indicator decreased in April, uncertainty remains elevated. Business uncertainty eased in retail and services but stayed higher in hospitality and financial services, while construction, industry, and lower-income households reported increased pressure.

Outlook: Slowing Growth Amid External Pressures

CypERC projections indicate slower economic growth in the coming years. Real GDP growth is expected to decrease from 3.8% in 2025 to 2.9% in 2026, followed by a partial increase to 3.1% in 2027. These revisions, down by 0.6 and 0.3 percentage points respectively, reflect external factors including geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, weaker external demand, and higher price pressures.

Fiscal Strength And Market Resilience

Earlier economic performance provides some support to the outlook. Growth in the fourth quarter of 2025, combined with public finances and low unemployment, continues to influence overall conditions. A budget surplus recorded in early 2026 and stable financial sector indicators, including deposit levels and non-performing loan ratios, contribute to current economic stability.

Inflationary Trends And Future Risks

Inflation is projected to increase from 0.1% in 2025 to 2.7% in 2026, before easing to 1.8% in 2027. The increase is linked to higher oil prices and rising domestic food costs. Future developments will depend on external demand, geopolitical conditions, and domestic economic activity.

Conclusion

The data indicate mixed developments across sectors, with services showing improvement while retail, construction, and consumer sentiment remain under pressure. Economic performance in the coming period will depend on the balance between external risks and domestic conditions.

Cyprus And Greece Outline Joint Tourism Plans For Summer 2026

Strategic Partnership Enhances Tourism Prospects

The Cyprus Tourism Authority (EOT Cyprus) presented proposals for summer 2026 focused on strengthening tourism cooperation between Cyprus and Greece, with joint efforts aimed at attracting visitors from long-haul markets.

Greece: The Top Destination For Cypriot Travelers

At an event on April 28, Athena Spakouri, Director of EOT Cyprus, said Greece is expected to remain the main travel destination for Cypriot residents, with plans extending beyond established locations to include lesser-known regions. This approach reflects a broader effort to diversify travel options while maintaining strong demand between the two countries.

Complementary Destinations, Unified Vision

Building on this, Spakouri noted that Cyprus and Greece offer complementary tourism experiences rather than competing directly. Joint programmes are therefore being positioned to attract visitors from markets such as the United States and China, while tourism activity continues to be assessed in the context of broader geopolitical developments.

Robust Air And Sea Connectivity

Supporting this cooperation, Konstantinos Kollias said around 600,000 Cypriots travelled to Greece in 2025. Frequent flights, short travel times, and ferry connections between Limassol and Piraeus continue to facilitate movement between the two countries and sustain travel flows.

Diverse Tourism Offerings for a New Era

Konstantinos Kollias highlighted that Greece’s tourism portfolio spans from traditional seaside holidays to sectors such as cultural, religious, gastronomic, agritourism, ecotourism, spa, conference, and medical tourism.

This range reflects the expansion of tourism offerings across different segments and travel preferences. In parallel, Joseph Iosif referred to Greece as a “second homeland” for Cypriot travellers, pointing to longstanding cultural and travel links between the two countries.

Innovative Programs And Strengthened Connections

Building on this approach, the EOT strategy includes initiatives focused on gastronomic routes, cultural trails, thematic and religious tourism, as well as curated city breaks in destinations such as Athens and Thessaloniki. These programmes were presented at the event alongside references to historical, cultural, and religious connections between Cyprus and Greece, including remarks from Bishop Gregorios of Mesaoria.

Boosting Air Connectivity And Island Accessibility

At the same time, airlines including Aegean Airlines, Sky Express, and Cyprus Airways outlined plans to expand connections between Cyprus and Greece, with a focus on increasing access to island destinations. The event also brought together stakeholders from the Deputy Ministry of Tourism, Hermes Airports, tour operators, and ACTAA, reflecting coordination across different parts of the tourism sector.

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