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Cyprus Economic Index Up 1.2%, extending Growth Trend

The Cyprus Composite Leading Economic Index (CCLEI), developed by the Economics Research Centre (CypERC) of the University of Cyprus, showed a year-over-year increase of 1.2% in November 2024.

This marks the third consecutive month of growth, following similar increases of 1.2% in October and 1.0% in September, based on the latest revised data.

The sustained growth of the CCLEI reflects the positive performance of its underlying components. Key drivers include improvements in the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) for both Cyprus and the eurozone, alongside a decrease in Brent crude oil prices compared to November 2023. Domestically, the CCLEI benefited from rising property sales contracts, increased tourist arrivals, growth in credit card transactions, expansion in retail sales volumes, and higher electricity production.

The CCLEI serves as a predictive tool for economic activity in Cyprus, combining various indicators to provide insights into future trends. The recent growth highlights optimism in key sectors like tourism, real estate, and retail, as well as a recovery in consumer confidence. Policymakers and investors can view this upward trend as a sign of sustained economic resilience heading into 2025.

EU Farm Output Prices Decline For The First Time In Nine Months

EU Market Adjustments Signal New Price Trends

Agricultural output prices across the European Union declined in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a shift after several quarters of increases. Data from Eurostat shows that farm gate prices fell by 1.9% compared with the same period in 2024.

Crisis of Declining Prices In Select Markets

Cyprus recorded one of the more notable decreases in agricultural input costs among EU member states, with prices falling by 2.6% compared with Q4 2024. The reduction eased cost pressures for the local agricultural sector following periods of higher prices earlier in 2025. Across the EU, prices for goods and services consumed in agriculture remained relatively stable. Non-investment inputs such as energy, fertilisers and feedingstuffs showed limited overall changes during the quarter.

Country-Specific Divergence In Price Movements

Eurostat data highlights considerable variation across member states. Fifteen EU countries recorded declines in agricultural output prices. Belgium registered the largest decrease at 12.9%, followed by Lithuania (8.2%) and Germany (6.0%). At the same time, twelve countries reported increases in output prices. Ireland recorded the strongest rise at 6.8%, followed by Slovenia (5.6%) and Malta (4.2%).

Stability In Agricultural Inputs Amid Commodity Shifts

Agricultural input prices also showed mixed developments. Eleven member states recorded declines, including Cyprus (2.6%), Belgium (2.1%) and Sweden (2.0%). Other countries experienced moderate increases, including Lithuania (4.2%), Ireland (3.3%) and Romania (2.5%). Among major agricultural commodities, milk prices declined by 4.1% while cereal prices fell by 8.9% across the EU. In contrast, fertilisers and soil improvers increased by 7.9%, reflecting continued volatility in input markets.

Outlook For EU Agriculture

The latest Eurostat data points to uneven price developments across the EU agricultural sector. While input prices remained broadly stable in many markets, movements in output prices varied significantly between member states. These trends highlight the need for farmers and policymakers to adapt to shifting commodity prices and changing cost structures across the European agricultural market.

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