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Cyprus Economic Growth Outlook: 3.5% Expansion in 2025 With Steady Development in 2026

New projections for the Cyprus economy indicate a growth rate of 3.5% in 2025, slightly down from 3.9% in 2024, with expectations of stabilization throughout 2026. These figures, revised upward by 0.3 and 0.2 percentage points respectively compared to the July outlook, reflect a marked improvement in both domestic and international economic conditions.

Positive Developments And Improved Outlook

Domestically, a marked easing of inflation, strengthened economic confidence, and increased new loans driven by lower interest rates are contributing robustly to economic dynamics. Internationally, reduced trade uncertainty and decreased market volatility in the third quarter of 2025 further bolster growth prospects compared to the previous quarter.

Risks To Lower Growth

Despite these optimistic projections, significant downward risks persist. The external environment remains a concern as key trading partners may experience slower-than-expected growth amid subdued confidence indicators. Additionally, upward pressures on public spending, extreme weather events linked to climate change, and escalating geopolitical tensions could potentially impede economic momentum in Cyprus.

Inflation: Decline In 2025, Recovery In 2026

According to the Consumer Price Index, inflation is projected to decline to 0.3% in 2025, down from 1.8% in 2024, before rebounding to 2.0% in 2026. The downward revision for 2025, decreased by 0.7 percentage points compared to the July forecast, is attributed to lower inflation rates in the third quarter and a drop in international oil prices. In contrast, the upward revision for 2026 (+0.5 percentage points) is tied to the country’s strong economic performance during the initial three quarters of 2025, as reflected in quarterly and monthly data.

Cyprus-Based ASBIS Hits Record $1.05bn In Monthly Revenue, Up 216% Year On Year

The technology distributor ASBIS Group, headquartered in Limassol, has exceeded $1 billion in monthly sales for the first time in its history, reporting preliminary consolidated revenue of $1.05 billion in September 2026, more than three times the amount recorded a year earlier.

The figure represents a 216% increase from $332 million in September 2025, making it the highest-revenue month in the company’s history.

ASBIS reported its strongest sales growth in servers and server components, while CEO Serhei Kostevitch pointed to growing demand for artificial intelligence solutions and computing infrastructure as an opportunity for the business.

For a company operating across Europe, the Middle East and Africa, September marked a new sales milestone following several months of substantial year-on-year growth.

Kostevitch attributed the record performance to the group’s existing operations, highlighting its broad product portfolio, international market presence and strong relationships with manufacturers and trading partners.

“Most importantly, this result is the outcome of our regular operating activities,” he said.

The CEO also highlighted the company’s portfolio of projects as a reason for confidence in continued AI-related development.

However, the group’s growth was not limited to AI-related technologies. Smartphones also performed strongly in September, with Kostevitch stressing that “we are growing beyond the AI segment as well.”

Kazakhstan, the United Arab Emirates and Ukraine accounted for the largest shares of ASBIS’s September revenue, followed by Slovakia and Poland.

Growth Follows Record First Half

September’s results follow a period of strong financial performance for ASBIS.

In July, the company reported preliminary consolidated revenue of $531 million, an increase of 89% compared with the same month in 2025. August brought a further rise to $604 million, up 91% year on year.

September’s $1.05 billion figure represents a substantial increase on both months, although the company has not provided a detailed breakdown explaining the acceleration.

The results also follow a record first half of 2026, when ASBIS generated approximately $2.97 billion in consolidated revenue, up 76% year on year.

Net profit after tax reached $80.6 million, compared with $19.4 million in the same period in 2025.

The second quarter was particularly strong, with revenue reaching $1.69 billion, an increase of 78.7%, while quarterly net profit more than tripled to $44.3 million.

ASBIS has emphasised that its September revenue figures are preliminary estimates and may differ from the final reported results.

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