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Cyprus’ Economic Growth: A 2025 Projection by the European Commission

The European Commission has forecasted that Cyprus will see a 3% economic growth in 2025, slightly decreasing to 2.5% in 2026. This upward trend is primarily driven by resilient domestic demand, a robust services export sector, and a strong labor market.

With a 3.4% real GDP growth recorded in 2024, Cyprus has demonstrated robust private consumption, which rose by 3.8%. Investment excluding ship registrations also increased, despite a construction strike at the end of the year.

Net exports turned positive, bolstered by tourism, ICT, and sea transport. Private consumption is expected to remain a key driver as wages rise and inflation falls, enhancing household purchasing power.

Growth Drivers and Challenges

The projection is supported by ongoing investment and structural transformation within the Cypriot economy, attracting significant investment into emerging sectors like ICT.

However, increased foreign firm activity may lead to more profit repatriation, thereby limiting gains from improved trade balances. The current account deficit is expected to shrink to 5.9% by 2026.

Potential risks include global trade disruptions, particularly impacting Cyprus’s sea transport sector. Nonetheless, Cyprus’s limited direct trade with the US minimizes its exposure to US tariffs.

Recent interest rate cuts have also stimulated loan demand, contributing to Cyprus’s financial momentum.

Favorable Fiscal Outlook

The outlook for Cyprus’ fiscal health remains positive, with a strong budget surplus and a notable decrease in the debt-to-GDP ratio, projected to be 58% in 2025.

Spending will focus on energy projects such as the LNG terminal and social schemes, with revenues anticipated to outpace expenditures due to ongoing economic strength.

Despite these commitments, Cyprus continues to attract transformational ventures, enhancing its economic landscape.

EU Farm Output Prices Decline For The First Time In Nine Months

EU Market Adjustments Signal New Price Trends

Agricultural output prices across the European Union declined in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a shift after several quarters of increases. Data from Eurostat shows that farm gate prices fell by 1.9% compared with the same period in 2024.

Crisis of Declining Prices In Select Markets

Cyprus recorded one of the more notable decreases in agricultural input costs among EU member states, with prices falling by 2.6% compared with Q4 2024. The reduction eased cost pressures for the local agricultural sector following periods of higher prices earlier in 2025. Across the EU, prices for goods and services consumed in agriculture remained relatively stable. Non-investment inputs such as energy, fertilisers and feedingstuffs showed limited overall changes during the quarter.

Country-Specific Divergence In Price Movements

Eurostat data highlights considerable variation across member states. Fifteen EU countries recorded declines in agricultural output prices. Belgium registered the largest decrease at 12.9%, followed by Lithuania (8.2%) and Germany (6.0%). At the same time, twelve countries reported increases in output prices. Ireland recorded the strongest rise at 6.8%, followed by Slovenia (5.6%) and Malta (4.2%).

Stability In Agricultural Inputs Amid Commodity Shifts

Agricultural input prices also showed mixed developments. Eleven member states recorded declines, including Cyprus (2.6%), Belgium (2.1%) and Sweden (2.0%). Other countries experienced moderate increases, including Lithuania (4.2%), Ireland (3.3%) and Romania (2.5%). Among major agricultural commodities, milk prices declined by 4.1% while cereal prices fell by 8.9% across the EU. In contrast, fertilisers and soil improvers increased by 7.9%, reflecting continued volatility in input markets.

Outlook For EU Agriculture

The latest Eurostat data points to uneven price developments across the EU agricultural sector. While input prices remained broadly stable in many markets, movements in output prices varied significantly between member states. These trends highlight the need for farmers and policymakers to adapt to shifting commodity prices and changing cost structures across the European agricultural market.

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