Breaking news

Cyprus’ Economic Growth: A 2025 Projection by the European Commission

The European Commission has forecasted that Cyprus will see a 3% economic growth in 2025, slightly decreasing to 2.5% in 2026. This upward trend is primarily driven by resilient domestic demand, a robust services export sector, and a strong labor market.

With a 3.4% real GDP growth recorded in 2024, Cyprus has demonstrated robust private consumption, which rose by 3.8%. Investment excluding ship registrations also increased, despite a construction strike at the end of the year.

Net exports turned positive, bolstered by tourism, ICT, and sea transport. Private consumption is expected to remain a key driver as wages rise and inflation falls, enhancing household purchasing power.

Growth Drivers and Challenges

The projection is supported by ongoing investment and structural transformation within the Cypriot economy, attracting significant investment into emerging sectors like ICT.

However, increased foreign firm activity may lead to more profit repatriation, thereby limiting gains from improved trade balances. The current account deficit is expected to shrink to 5.9% by 2026.

Potential risks include global trade disruptions, particularly impacting Cyprus’s sea transport sector. Nonetheless, Cyprus’s limited direct trade with the US minimizes its exposure to US tariffs.

Recent interest rate cuts have also stimulated loan demand, contributing to Cyprus’s financial momentum.

Favorable Fiscal Outlook

The outlook for Cyprus’ fiscal health remains positive, with a strong budget surplus and a notable decrease in the debt-to-GDP ratio, projected to be 58% in 2025.

Spending will focus on energy projects such as the LNG terminal and social schemes, with revenues anticipated to outpace expenditures due to ongoing economic strength.

Despite these commitments, Cyprus continues to attract transformational ventures, enhancing its economic landscape.

Rebuilding the U.S. Rare-Earth Supply Chain Amid Geo-Political Tensions

Rare Earths: The Cornerstone of Modern Industries

Rare earth elements, a group of 17 metals essential for advanced technologies, have become pivotal in the global race for technological supremacy. These materials, which power electric vehicles, wind turbines, defense systems, data centers, and high-tech consumer electronics, have long been at the heart of the U.S.-China trade conflict. Once leaders in production, the United States now finds itself reliant on China, which commands approximately 70% of mining and 90% of processing capacity.

China’s Market Dominance and Strategic Leverage

Industry experts emphasize China’s prolonged monopoly in rare earth production. Neha Mukherjee, Rare Earths Research Manager at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, notes that the extremely low production costs in China have effectively locked out competitors from establishing a foothold outside its borders. The situation was dramatically spotlighted when China initiated export controls in April, impacting key sectors such as the automotive industry. As Dewardric McNeal, Managing Director at Longview Global, explains, China has gradually refined its export control strategy, mirroring U.S. measures to counter perceived inequities.

Securing the U.S. Future: Strategic Investments and Partnerships

In response to growing supply vulnerabilities, the United States is now taking decisive action to develop a robust domestic rare-earth supply chain. The Department of Defense’s $400 million investment in MP Materials—the sole U.S. rare earth mining and production company located at Mountain Pass, California—signals a renewed commitment to reducing dependency on foreign sources. Bolstering this initiative, financial powerhouses Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have extended a $1 billion loan to support the expansion of MP Materials’ magnet production.

Innovative Expansion Beyond Traditional Boundaries

Innovation is not limited to MP Materials. Energy Fuels, historically known for its uranium operations, has transitioned into rare earths refinement at its White Mesa facility in Utah. The firm has already achieved commercial-scale production of neodymium-praseodymium oxide (NdPr) for manufacturing permanent magnets and is exploring the extraction of other heavy rare earths. CEO Mark Chalmers outlines ambitious plans to boost production capacity, underlining the strategic importance of diversifying rare earth outputs to meet increasing demand from government and commercial sectors.

A Path Forward in a Complex Global Environment

Despite these promising developments, breaking the long-standing dependence on China remains a significant challenge for the U.S. As domestic production scales and strategic investments continue, the evolution of the rare earth industry will be a critical barometer of broader U.S. resilience in global supply chains. The upcoming months will reveal whether these initiatives can forge a sustainable path towards energy security and technological leadership.

Uri Levine Course vertical
SWC Finals V
The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties

Become a Speaker

Become a Speaker

Become a Partner

Subscribe for our weekly newsletter