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Cyprus’ Economic Growth: A 2025 Projection by the European Commission

The European Commission has forecasted that Cyprus will see a 3% economic growth in 2025, slightly decreasing to 2.5% in 2026. This upward trend is primarily driven by resilient domestic demand, a robust services export sector, and a strong labor market.

With a 3.4% real GDP growth recorded in 2024, Cyprus has demonstrated robust private consumption, which rose by 3.8%. Investment excluding ship registrations also increased, despite a construction strike at the end of the year.

Net exports turned positive, bolstered by tourism, ICT, and sea transport. Private consumption is expected to remain a key driver as wages rise and inflation falls, enhancing household purchasing power.

Growth Drivers and Challenges

The projection is supported by ongoing investment and structural transformation within the Cypriot economy, attracting significant investment into emerging sectors like ICT.

However, increased foreign firm activity may lead to more profit repatriation, thereby limiting gains from improved trade balances. The current account deficit is expected to shrink to 5.9% by 2026.

Potential risks include global trade disruptions, particularly impacting Cyprus’s sea transport sector. Nonetheless, Cyprus’s limited direct trade with the US minimizes its exposure to US tariffs.

Recent interest rate cuts have also stimulated loan demand, contributing to Cyprus’s financial momentum.

Favorable Fiscal Outlook

The outlook for Cyprus’ fiscal health remains positive, with a strong budget surplus and a notable decrease in the debt-to-GDP ratio, projected to be 58% in 2025.

Spending will focus on energy projects such as the LNG terminal and social schemes, with revenues anticipated to outpace expenditures due to ongoing economic strength.

Despite these commitments, Cyprus continues to attract transformational ventures, enhancing its economic landscape.

Greek Tankers Transit Hormuz As Shipping Risks Rise In Gulf And Black Sea

Two tankers linked to George Prokopiou passed through the Strait of Hormuz as regional tensions continue to affect shipping routes in the Gulf.

Safe Passage Through Hormuz

The tanker Smyrni, operated by Dynacom Tankers Management, was observed off the coast of Mumbai on Saturday morning after its earlier positioning in the Persian Gulf. The vessel, like its predecessor Shenlong, temporarily disabled its transponder during transit, a common practice in these narrow channels under uncertain conditions.

Robust Market Commitments

Despite reduced shipping traffic through the strait, Dynacom has continued expanding its fleet. The company recently ordered four additional VLCC tankers from Hengli Heavy Industry. Each vessel will have a capacity of 300,000 deadweight tonnes. With the new order, Dynacom’s VLCC program in Chinese shipyards now totals 16 vessels.

Security Incident In The Black Sea

In a separate incident, the Greek-flagged tanker Maran Homer sustained minor damage near Novorossiysk in the Black Sea. The vessel is operated by Maran Tankers Management, part of the shipping group controlled by Maria Angelicoussis.

Reports indicated the ship was struck by a missile or drone about 14 nautical miles from the port. The crew of 24, including Greek, Filipino and Romanian sailors, was not injured. The vessel, which was not carrying cargo, continued sailing under its own power.

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