Cyprus Central Bank Revises GDP Growth Projections Upward

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

December 20, 2024

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2024, increasing it by 0.2 percentage points to 3.7%. This adjustment reflects stronger domestic demand, with private consumption playing a pivotal role, supported by the continued resilience of the Cypriot economy.

However, forecasts for 2025-2026 have been slightly downgraded due to the impact of rising imports needed to meet elevated domestic demand. While exports, particularly non-tourism services, remain a growth driver, they are not sufficient to fully offset the increase in imports.

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Labor Market Nearing Full Employment

The labor market in Cyprus continues to strengthen, with unemployment expected to fall to 5% in 2024, down from 5.8% in 2023. This trend is forecast to continue, with unemployment rates projected to drop to 4.9% in 2025, 4.7% in 2026, and 4.6% in 2027, approaching conditions of full employment.

The improved GDP outlook has led to a downward revision of the 2024 unemployment forecast by 0.1 percentage points. The sustained growth momentum of the economy is seen as the key factor driving this positive trend.

Inflation Stabilizing Towards Target Levels

Inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP), is expected to decline to 2.2% in 2024 from 3.9% in 2023, moving closer to the medium-term target of 2%. This stabilization is attributed to easing external inflationary pressures, including a reduction in energy and raw material prices, as well as the lagged effects of eurozone monetary policy, which continues to temper inflation.

Wage growth is anticipated to remain moderate, helping to limit inflationary pressures. However, the gradual introduction of a green carbon tax from 2025 may result in modest fuel price increases.

The normalization of inflation for industrial goods (excluding energy) is also expected between 2025 and 2027, following the high levels seen in 2022-2023. Core inflation—excluding energy and food—is forecast to decline from 3.8% in 2023 to 2.6% in 2024, 2.0% in 2025, 1.9% in 2026, and 2.0% in 2027. Service price inflation is expected to decelerate during the 2025-2027 period.

The 2024 inflation forecast was revised upward by 0.1 percentage points compared to September 2024 projections, reflecting higher-than-expected service price inflation.

Risks And Prospects

The economic outlook for 2024 is balanced, while projections for 2025-2027 suggest a slight increase in downside risks.

Key downside risks include ongoing geopolitical tensions and weaker-than-expected external demand amid heightened global trade uncertainty. Domestically, the introduction of new taxes on multinational corporate profits could negatively impact economic performance, although the extent of this effect is uncertain. Slower-than-expected easing of financing conditions may also curb domestic demand.

On the upside, stronger-than-anticipated private consumption, driven by lower household savings rates, could boost economic performance.

Inflation risks for 2024 are balanced, while those for 2025-2027 lean slightly upward. Upside risks include potential geopolitical escalations, trade policy uncertainties (such as new US tariffs and EU retaliatory measures), and climate-related impacts like extreme weather events and the implementation of green taxation. Wage growth exceeding expectations and higher corporate profit margins could also contribute to inflationary pressures.

Conversely, inflation could underperform baseline projections if financing conditions ease more slowly than expected or if heightened geopolitical tensions unexpectedly weaken the global economic environment.

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Cloudflare Sets New Default To Separate Search Crawlers From AI Bots

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

July 2, 2026

Cloudflare has drawn a sharper line between traditional search and artificial intelligence.

Beginning September 15, 2026, the company will change its default settings to block so-called mixed-use crawlers from pages that run ads, unless a site owner chooses otherwise. The policy applies to new Cloudflare customers, new sites created by existing customers, and all current free customers.

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A Clearer Divide In Web Access

The shift could materially reshape how AI companies collect web data for model training and agentic products. Cloudflare’s central argument is straightforward: most publishers want their content to remain visible in search and accessible through certain AI services, but they do not want that same material repurposed without compensation.

In Cloudflare’s view, the problem is not crawling itself. It is the blending of three different functions: search, agentic use, and training into a single bot that makes it difficult for website owners to set meaningful boundaries.

The Google Question

Cloudflare pointedly referenced the “world’s largest search engine,” an unmistakable nod to Google, arguing that it has access to roughly twice as much information as rival AI companies because it makes it harder for customers to stay discoverable without also being used for AI.

Google has disputed that framing. The company offers Google Extended, a crawler setting that lets publishers opt out of having content used for training and AI products such as Gemini apps and Vertex AI, without affecting visibility in Google Search. At the same time, Googlebot still crawls for Search and for AI-powered features such as AI Overviews and AI Mode.

Publishers Want Reach, Not Exploitation

Matthew Prince, Cloudflare’s co-founder and chief executive, said the company is moving quickly because the internet is now dominated by machine traffic.

“Now that the majority of traffic on the Internet is non-human, we must go further and act faster so that a sustainable ecosystem can emerge,” Prince said, referring to the recent milestone in which bots surpassed human traffic online sooner than expected.

Prince added that Cloudflare’s tools and partnerships are designed to give publishers more visibility and commercial leverage, while also rewarding AI companies that are transparent about how they use content.

From Pay Per Crawl To Pay Per Use

Cloudflare has increasingly positioned itself as a gatekeeper for publishers looking to assert control in the AI era. The company already offers tools to block AI bots, along with a marketplace called Pay Per Crawl, which lets websites charge AI systems for scraping.

That framework is now expanding into Pay Per Use, which Cloudflare says will allow publishers to charge AI companies when content creates value, not merely when it is fetched. In practical terms, that shifts the economics from extraction to monetization.

Cloudflare says the move may also reduce waste. Its data suggests more than half of crawl traffic from AI bots is spent revisiting pages that have not changed, consuming bandwidth and compute without adding fresh value for either side.

Early Partners Signal The Commercial Model

To launch the new system, Cloudflare is working with Ceramic.ai and You.com. Under the opt-in model, publishers can be paid when their content appears in Ceramic’s AI search results or when You.com accesses premium material.

Cloudflare says other AI companies can adapt the model to fit their own products. The broader message is clear: the era of unrestricted crawling is giving way to one in which access, attribution, and compensation are increasingly negotiated rather than assumed.

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