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Cyprus Central Bank Reports Sharp Decline In New Loans For January 2026

Overview Of Lending Trends

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) reported a marked downturn in total net new loans for January 2026. The figures reveal a decline of €377.7 million in net new loans compared with the previous month, reflecting broader adjustments in both consumer and housing credit markets.

Detailed Lending Activity

Net new loans in January totaled €247.3 million, based on €495.9 million in total new lending. In December 2025, net new loans reached €625.0 million from €986.9 million in total lending. Changes were recorded across several credit categories. Net new consumer loans increased slightly to €18.9 million from €17.2 million in December. Housing loans declined to €95.7 million from €135.4 million in the previous month.

Interest Rate Movements

Interest rates for both consumer and housing loans declined slightly during the period. Consumer loan rates fell to 7.20% from 7.22%, while housing loan rates decreased to 3.70% from 3.78%. Deposit rates showed limited changes. Household term deposits remained at 1.20%, while deposits from non-financial corporations increased to 1.34% from 1.27%.

Comparative European Context

In comparison with other euro area countries, lending rates in Cyprus are close to the median for outstanding loan balances. Margins for households are around 0%, while margins for non-financial corporations stand at approximately 0.4%. The transmission of monetary policy in Cyprus broadly follows developments in the wider euro area, particularly during periods of monetary tightening or easing. However, the pass-through of rate changes to new loans, especially those issued to non-financial corporations, appears lower than in some other euro area markets.

Shifts In Borrower Behavior And Market Dynamics

The CBC report also highlights changes in borrower preferences regarding interest rate structures. The share of new housing loans with variable interest rates has declined from nearly 100% in early 2022 to 11.6%. Fixed-rate loans have become more common in new housing lending, although many of these products later transition to variable rates.

Banking Liquidity And Deposit Rates

In addition to lending trends, the Central Bank of Cyprus noted that deposit rates in Cyprus remain among the lowest in the euro area. High liquidity levels within the banking system contribute to this trend. Cypriot banks reported a liquidity coverage ratio of 319% in December 2025, compared with a euro area median of 192% and an EU average of 161%. These liquidity levels influence the pricing of deposits in the domestic market. Changes in policy interest rates have also shown limited pass-through to new deposits, reflecting the structure of Cyprus’s relatively small banking sector. The CBC report highlights ongoing developments in both lending and deposit conditions within the country’s banking system as economic conditions and borrowing preferences continue to evolve.

MENA Venture Capital Stable As International Investor Activity Shifts

A Data-Led Analysis Of Investor Behavior In A War-Affected Region

Venture capital activity in the Middle East and North Africa remained relatively stable one month after the escalation of regional conflict. Early data, however, indicate changes in investor behavior rather than immediate shifts in funding totals. Initial signals are visible in investor participation, capital allocation, and deal pipeline activity.

Venture Markets And The Lag In Response

Funding announcements reflect decisions made months earlier, meaning that today’s figures do not capture the full impact of current events. Investors typically adjust strategies gradually, signaling future shifts long before they are immediately visible in total funding numbers.

International Capital As The Key Pressure Indicator

Participation of international investors remains a key indicator across the MENA venture market. Global capital has historically accounted for a significant share of funding in the region. Following global interest rate increases, international participation declined through 2023. This shift was reflected in lower cross-border deal activity, more cautious capital deployment, and longer fundraising timelines.

Implications For The Broader Startup Ecosystem

Changes in international investor activity affect multiple parts of the startup ecosystem. A recovery in participation was recorded in 2024 and continued into 2025, supporting funding activity and cross-border investment. If uncertainty persists, potential effects include slower investment decisions, reduced cross-border engagement, and extended fundraising cycles. International capital also plays a role in supporting larger funding rounds and access to global networks.

Next Steps For Stakeholders

International capital represents one of several factors shaping venture activity in the region. Its movement often precedes changes in late-stage funding, startup formation, and exit activity. Investors, policymakers, and ecosystem participants rely on data and scenario analysis to assess these trends and adjust strategies.

For A Deeper Insight

Further analysis on venture activity, capital flows, and geopolitical impact across the region is available in the full MAGNiTT report.

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