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Cyprus Central Bank Reports Q3 Housing Price Uptick Amid Robust Demand and Credit Expansion

Overview of Q3 Housing Market Trends

The Central Bank of Cyprus (Central Bank of Cyprus) has recorded a new rise in the House Price Index for the third quarter of 2025. This uptick highlights a dynamic market where apartment prices have accelerated while house prices demonstrate a notable slowdown. The overall picture is one of robust demand, a steady increase in supply, and continued credit expansion.

Differentiated Price Movements: Apartments Versus Houses

The House Price Index grew 5% year-over-year—up from 4.7% in the previous quarter—with a quarterly increase of 1.2% compared to 1.5% before. Detailed analysis reveals that apartment prices climbed by 1.7% quarter-over-quarter and 6.4% year-over-year, whereas house prices saw a modest rise of 0.4% quarterly and 2.6% annually. Regional variations further underscore market heterogeneity:

  • Limassol: 7.1% increase in the overall index.
  • Larnaca: 7.3% increase.
  • Paphos: 8.9% increase, though at a slower pace.
  • Nicosia: A slight decline of 0.5%.
  • Ammochostos: A decrease of 0.3%.

Notably, Nicosia has experienced its fourth consecutive annual decline in house prices (-2.7%), with Ammochostos also recording a drop (-1.6%). Conversely, apartment prices have risen in every region except Nicosia—with quarterly gains of 5% in Limassol, 9.6% in Larnaca, 10.5% in Paphos, and 5.9% in Ammochostos.

Demand Dynamics and the Role of Foreign Buyers

Data from the Department of Cadastre and Cadastral Measurement indicate that official property sale documents surged by 8.9% in the third quarter of 2025, rising from 4,081 to 4,444 transactions compared to the same period last year. Domestic buyer transactions increased by 8.6% while foreign buyer purchases grew by 9.3%. Regional transaction volumes were as follows:

  • Limassol: 1,431 transactions.
  • Nicosia: 981 transactions.
  • Larnaca: 921 transactions.
  • Paphos: 878 transactions (with 68% of buyers being foreign nationals).
  • Ammochostos: 233 transactions.

Credit Expansion Fueling Market Activity

The housing market is further buoyed by an impressive increase in new mortgage lending, reaching €972 million between January and September 2025—a 22% increase compared to the previous year. Concurrently, the average mortgage interest rate fell sharply to 3.03% in September 2025 from 4.27% a year earlier. Financial institutions anticipate a rise in net demand in the upcoming fourth quarter, even as lending criteria remain stringent yet consistent.

Supply Side Developments: Building Permits and Construction Activity

On the supply front, positive developments are measured by a 4.6% increase in building permits issued from January through July 2025 and a record of eight consecutive quarters of positive construction activity. The index of construction material prices saw a modest rise of 1.3%. However, expectations for future price increases have moderated, as evidenced by a significant decline in the European Union’s price expectation index—from 56.2 to 25.5 over the past year—indicating a more tempered outlook on future price surges.

Overall, these developments underscore a resilient and evolving real estate market in Cyprus, where strategic credit expansion and active buyer participation—both domestic and international—are reshaping market dynamics in the face of variable regional trends.

Euro Area Trade Surplus Squeezed In November 2025 As Machinery Exports Slide

The euro area recorded a €9.90 billion surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in November 2025, marking a notable decline from the €15.40 billion surplus in November 2024. Eurostat’s latest data points to a cooling in international trade activity, driven primarily by weaker exports of manufactured goods, despite improvements in the energy sector.

Declining Exports And Imports

In November 2025, the euro area’s exports fell to €240.20 billion, a 3.4 percent drop from €248.70 billion a year earlier. Imports declined by 1.3 percent to €230.30 billion, compared with €233.30 billion in November 2024. This contraction in trade was mainly due to reduced activity in the manufacturing sector, which was only partially offset by gains in energy.

Sectoral Shifts: Improvement In Energy Performance

Among the notable shifts, the energy sector showed substantial improvement. The energy deficit was narrowed significantly, decreasing from a minus €24.30 billion in November 2024 to minus €17.60 billion in November 2025. This improvement underscores strategic adjustments in energy-related policies and investments aimed at mitigating broader economic challenges.

Year-To-Date Performance And Trends

For the first 11 months of 2025, the euro area achieved a total surplus of €152.70 billion, a decrease from €156.80 billion in the same period of 2024. During this period, exports to the rest of the world increased by 2.3 percent to €2.70 trillion, while imports edged up by 2.6 percent to €2.55 trillion. Intra-euro area trade also grew by 1.6 percent, reaching €2.42 trillion, reflecting steady domestic market activities within the single currency bloc.

European Union Trade Outlook

Across the wider European Union, the trade surplus in November 2025 stood at €8.10 billion, compared with €11.80 billion in November 2024. EU exports fell by 4.4 percent to €213.80 billion, while imports declined by 2.9 percent to €205.70 billion. Although the energy deficit improved, shrinking from €28.20 billion to €20.40 billion, weaker performance in key manufacturing segments, particularly machinery and vehicles, weighed on the overall balance.

Over the first 11 months of 2025, the EU recorded a trade surplus of €122.40 billion, down from €128.00 billion in the same period of 2024. Exports and imports increased by 2 percent and 2.3 percent respectively, while intra-EU trade grew by 2.2 percent to €3.82 trillion. The data points to mixed trends across EU trade rather than a uniform pattern of expansion or contraction.

Seasonally Adjusted Insights

On a seasonally adjusted month-to-month basis, figures for November 2025 show that euro area exports increased by 1.1 percent and imports by 2.5 percent, resulting in a surplus of €10.70 billion. In the European Union, exports rose by 2 percent and imports by 3.5 percent, yielding a seasonally adjusted surplus of €8.80 billion.

During the three months from September to November 2025, trade with non-euro and non-EU partners revealed divergent trends. Manufactured goods continued to face challenges, while energy-related trade showed relative strength.

Uol
The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties
Aretilaw firm
eCredo

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