Robust European Banking Framework
The European Banking Authority (EBA) said the EU and EEA banking sectors remain stable despite rising geopolitical tensions linked to the conflict in the Middle East. Data from the Q4 2025 risk dashboard, alongside new CRR3 and CRD6 regulations, show that banks continue to operate with strong capital, liquidity and asset quality.
Navigating Geopolitical Turbulence
Direct exposure of European banks to the Middle East is estimated at €132 billion, including €47 billion in loans to financial institutions and €33 billion to non-financial companies. These exposures account for less than 0.5% of total assets, limiting immediate systemic risk. However, indirect effects remain a concern. Higher energy prices, inflation and supply chain disruptions could affect sectors such as transport, construction and manufacturing.
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Financial Strength And Stability
Risk-weighted assets increased slightly to €10.2 trillion, while the common equity tier 1 ratio stood at 16.3%. Profitability also remained stable, with return on equity at 10.4% and net interest margin at 1.6%. At the same time, operating costs have risen, pushing cost-to-income ratios to their highest levels since March 2023.
Cyprus Banking Sector: Stability Amid Transition
The banking sector in Cyprus shows a similar pattern. According to the Central Bank of Cyprus, profitability declined by 13.9% in 2025, mainly due to lower net interest income. At the same time, total assets increased by 6.6% to €69.96 billion, while capital levels remain strong. The CET1 ratio reached 25.8%, well above the European average. Central Bank Governor Christodoulos Patsalides said these indicators show that the sector can absorb external shocks.
Looking Ahead
Geopolitical risks, including energy prices and inflation, remain key factors for the sector. Even so, capital and liquidity levels across Europe and Cyprus provide a buffer against potential shocks. The EBA expects no major capital shortfalls before 2030, supporting a stable outlook for the banking system.







