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Cyprus Achieves Record-Low Inflation Amid Eurozone Adjustments

Cyprus Posts Minimal Inflation Figures

Preliminary data released by Eurostat reveals that Cyprus recorded the lowest inflation rate in the eurozone for December, with consumer prices rising by a mere 0.1 percent on a year‐on‐year basis—unchanged from November. This outcome sharply contrasts with broader euro area dynamics.

Stabilizing Eurozone Figures

Across the eurozone, annual inflation is expected to have eased to 2 percent in December, down slightly from 2.1 percent the previous month. Major economies exhibit varied trends: Germany’s inflation held at 2.8 percent, Spain at 3.1 percent, and France at 3.7 percent, while Italy notably recorded an exceptionally low rate of 0.7 percent. These figures underscore the disparate inflationary pressures across regions.

Sectoral Performance: Services and Consumer Goods

Services continued to drive the euro area inflation narrative, maintaining an annual rate of 3.4 percent in December after recording 3.5 percent in November. Similarly, the inflation trajectory for food, alcoholic beverages, and tobacco saw slight fluctuations—easing from 3 percent in September to 2.5 percent in October, then incrementally rising to 2.6 percent in December compared with 2.4 percent in November.

Declining Price Pressures in Industrial Goods and Energy

Non-energy industrial goods experienced diminished price pressures, with inflation slowing from 0.8 percent in September to 0.6 percent in October, and then to 0.4 percent in December following 0.5 percent the month earlier. In stark contrast, energy prices experienced a more pronounced decline, with a year‐on‐year drop of 1.9 percent in December following a 0.5 percent decline in November. This divergence illustrates the varied impact of external factors on different sectors of the economy.

Outlook

The data, while preliminary, provides significant insights into how disparate economic forces are shaping inflation across the eurozone. As policymakers and market participants continuously monitor these trends, further analysis will be critical in navigating the economic landscape in the coming months.

Cyprus Hits Historic Tourism Peak As Overtourism Risks Mount

Record-Breaking Performance In Tourism

Cyprus’ tourism sector achieved unprecedented success in 2025 with record-breaking arrivals and revenues. According to Eurobank analyst Konstantinos Vrachimis, the island’s performance was underpinned by solid real income growth and enhanced market diversification.

Robust Growth In Arrivals And Revenues

Total tourist arrivals reached 4.5 million in 2025, rising 12.2% from 4 million in 2024, with momentum sustained through the final quarter. Tourism receipts for the January–November period climbed to €3.6 billion, marking a 15.3% year-on-year increase that exceeded inflation. The improvement was not driven by volume alone. Average expenditure per visitor increased by 4.6%, while daily spending rose by 9.2%, indicating stronger purchasing power and higher-value tourism activity.

Economic Impact And Diversification Of Source Markets

The stronger performance translated into tangible gains for the broader services economy, lifting real tourism-related income and overall sector turnover. Demand patterns are also shifting. While the United Kingdom remains Cyprus’ largest source market, its relative share has moderated as arrivals from Israel, Germany, Italy, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, Austria, and Poland have expanded. This gradual diversification reduces dependency on a single market and strengthens resilience against external shocks.

Enhanced Air Connectivity And Seasonal Dynamics

Air connectivity has improved markedly in 2025, with flight volumes expanding substantially compared to 2019. This expansion is driven by increased airline capacity, enhanced route coverage, and more frequent flights, supporting demand during shoulder seasons and reducing overreliance on peak-month flows. Seasonal patterns remain prominent, with arrivals building through the spring and peaking in summer, thereby bolstering employment, fiscal receipts, and corporate earnings across hospitality, transport, and retail sectors.

Structural Risks And Future Considerations

Despite strong headline figures, structural challenges remain. The European Commission’s EU Tourism Dashboard highlights tourism intensity, seasonality, and market concentration as key risk indicators. Cyprus records a high ratio of overnight stays relative to its resident population, signalling potential overtourism pressures. Continued reliance on a limited group of origin markets also exposes the sector to geopolitical uncertainty and sudden demand swings. Seasonal peaks place additional strain on infrastructure, housing availability, labour supply, and natural resources, particularly water.

Strategic Investment And Market Resilience

Vrachimis concludes that sustained growth will depend on targeted investment, product upgrading, and continued market diversification. Strengthening year-round offerings, improving infrastructure capacity, and promoting higher-value experiences can help balance demand while preserving long-term competitiveness. These measures are essential not only to manage overtourism risks but also to ensure tourism remains a stable pillar of Cyprus’ economic development.

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