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China Launches Antitrust Probe Into Nvidia, Escalating US-China Chip Tensions

China has initiated an investigation into Nvidia, a move widely viewed as retaliation against recent US chip restrictions on the Chinese semiconductor sector. The State Administration for Market Regulation announced the probe on Monday, citing potential violations of China’s anti-monopoly law. The investigation also examines Nvidia’s adherence to commitments made during its acquisition of Israeli chip designer Mellanox Technologies in 2020.

Although the exact nature of the violations remains unclear, the investigation signals a further escalation in the ongoing trade war between the US and China, as both nations compete for dominance in technology. The announcement follows a coordinated statement from four major Chinese industry associations warning local companies to be cautious when purchasing US-made chips, advising them to seek domestic alternatives instead.

Nvidia’s shares fell by 2.5% following the news. A company spokesperson stated that Nvidia is committed to providing the best products globally and is prepared to address any questions from regulators regarding its business operations.

Impact on Nvidia and the Semiconductor Industry

Bob O’Donnell, Chief Analyst at TECHnalysis Research, suggested that the probe will likely have minimal immediate impact on Nvidia. This is because most of Nvidia’s cutting-edge chips are already restricted from being sold in China due to US sanctions. These sanctions have targeted Nvidia’s A100 and H100 AI chips since 2022, forcing the company to develop modified versions of these products for the Chinese market. However, these versions were also restricted in October 2023, prompting Nvidia to release another set of modified chips specifically for China.

Despite these challenges, Nvidia has maintained a dominant position in the Chinese AI chip market, holding over 90% market share prior to the US sanctions. However, competition from domestic rivals, particularly Huawei, has been increasing. China accounted for about 17% of Nvidia’s revenue in the year ending January 2024, a sharp decline from 26% just two years earlier.

Growing US-China Tensions in the Semiconductor Sector

The investigation into Nvidia comes after the United States imposed its third crackdown on China’s semiconductor industry in three years, curbing exports to 140 companies, including chip equipment manufacturers. In response, China banned the export of key minerals, including gallium, germanium, and antimony, to the US.

Nvidia’s acquisition of Mellanox Technologies in 2020 was approved by China under certain conditions, which aimed to ensure fair and non-discriminatory access to the Chinese market for both Nvidia’s GPU accelerators and Mellanox’s networking equipment. These conditions included providing customers the ability to purchase up to one year’s worth of inventory and prohibiting unfair product bundling or trading terms.

The last time China initiated an anti-monopoly investigation into a major foreign tech company was in 2013 when Qualcomm was scrutinized for overcharging and abusing its market position in wireless communications. Qualcomm later paid a $975 million fine, the largest China had imposed on a company at that time.

As tensions between the US and China continue to rise, the future of global semiconductor supply chains remains uncertain, with companies like Nvidia caught in the crossfire of geopolitical struggles.

Cyprus Holds Its Appeal For Investors Despite Energy And Financing Headwinds

Cyprus continues to stand out as one of Europe’s more resilient investment destinations. According to the latest EY Cyprus Attractiveness Survey 2026, 83 per cent of international investors still regard the island as attractive for foreign direct investment, even as concerns over energy costs, access to finance and bureaucracy persist.

Presented by Stelios Demetriou, EY Cyprus Head of Strategy and Transactions and M&A Leader for Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe & Central Asia, the report estimates Cyprus’ FDI stock at roughly €82 billion in 2025. Investment remains concentrated in financial services, real estate and information and communications technology.

Investor Confidence Remains Broadly Intact

The survey shows a market that continues to command credibility among global capital allocators. Of the respondents, 56 per cent described Cyprus as definitely attractive and another 27 per cent as fairly attractive. A further 13 per cent were neutral, while only 4 per cent considered the island unattractive.

The findings are based on responses from 80 foreign investors across 23 countries and 11 sectors. Senior executives and investment decision-makers took part, and around 92 per cent of respondents already have business operations in Cyprus.

That established presence is translating into stronger intent. Sixty-seven per cent of respondents said they plan either to enter the Cypriot market or expand existing operations, up from 57 per cent in 2024 and just 29 per cent in 2022.

Among companies already operating on the island, 62 per cent expect to expand over the next 12 months, while 29 per cent intend to maintain current activity levels. Half of those without an existing footprint said they are considering entry into the market.

Tax Still Anchors The Investment Proposition

Tax remains Cyprus’ most powerful competitive advantage. Ninety per cent of respondents rated the country’s corporate tax regime and broader tax framework as attractive. Quality of life followed at 82 per cent, while political and social stability scored 65 per cent.

Investor confidence in the local workforce was also notable, with 58 per cent citing skills as a strength. Nearly half, 49 per cent, pointed to the country’s growth prospects.

The emphasis on taxation carries added significance after Cyprus raised its corporate income tax rate from 12.5 per cent to 15 per cent at the start of 2026 as part of wider tax reform. The European Commission has noted that corporate income tax still plays an unusually large role in Cyprus’ public finances, accounting for about 20 per cent of tax revenues, more than twice the EU average.

Energy, Finance And Red Tape Remain The Pressure Points

For all the optimism, investors were clear about where Cyprus must improve to sustain momentum.

Energy costs were the most frequently cited weakness, mentioned by 50 per cent of respondents. Access to finance and capital followed at 38 per cent, while the bureaucratic and administrative environment was flagged by 35 per cent. Transport and logistics infrastructure was cited by 33 per cent, and the availability of investment opportunities by 31 per cent.

These concerns extend beyond the EY survey. The European Commission has also identified access to finance and the business environment as areas requiring further reform, while calling for faster progress on renewables, electricity grids and storage to ease energy costs.

Energy has become an even more important issue in 2026. The Commission expects Cyprus inflation to rise to 3.6 per cent next year, largely because of higher energy prices linked to the Middle East conflict, even as it forecasts economic growth of 2.3 per cent this year and 2.7 per cent in 2027.

Geopolitics Is Rising On The Risk Agenda

Geopolitical uncertainty is now firmly in investors’ line of sight. Seventy-four per cent of respondents identified geopolitical tensions and conflicts as a potential threat to Cyprus’ attractiveness over the next three years.

That concern ranked well ahead of low connectivity, adverse reputation and a heavier regulatory burden, each cited by 29 per cent. Tight labour market conditions followed at 27 per cent, while volatile energy prices and supply problems were noted by 26 per cent.

Beyond The Core Economy, New Growth Areas Are Emerging

Despite the risks, investors are looking beyond Cyprus’ traditional strengths. While 48 per cent said future investment would focus on the sale of products and services, 21 per cent identified research and development, and 19 per cent pointed to business support services. Continued interest in regional headquartering also signals the island’s evolving role as a corporate base for wider markets.

Looking ahead, 60 per cent of respondents expect Cyprus to become more attractive for FDI over the next three years, including 9 per cent who anticipate a significant improvement. Another 24 per cent expect little change, while 6 per cent foresee deterioration.

Real estate, infrastructure and construction were seen as the sectors most likely to drive longer-term growth, cited by 23 per cent of investors. Tourism and leisure, as well as ICT and telecommunications, followed at 14 per cent each, with payments and fintech at 11 per cent.

A Stronger Outlook Than The Wider European Market

Cyprus’ relative resilience comes at a time when Europe’s broader investment environment remains under pressure. EY recorded 5,026 foreign investment projects across Europe in 2025, down 7 per cent from the previous year. Even so, 60 per cent of businesses surveyed across Europe still expect the region’s attractiveness to improve over the next three years.

For Cyprus, the message is clear: the island retains powerful structural advantages, but preserving investor confidence will depend on reducing costs, improving financing conditions and cutting the friction that still slows business activity.

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