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Central Bank Revises Growth Forecast Amid Robust Domestic Demand in Cyprus

Revised Economic Projections and Domestic Demand

The Central Bank of Cyprus has slightly downgraded its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 3.1 per cent from its previous estimate of 3.2 per cent, alongside a marked reduction in projected inflation from 2.1 per cent to 1.5 per cent. These adjustments were made before the recent escalations in the Israel-Iran conflict, meaning any subsequent economic reverberations have not been factored into the current outlook.

Strength in Private Consumption and Investment

Underlying the forecast is a steady rise in domestic demand, powered primarily by increased private consumption due to higher real disposable incomes and a resilient labor market. Large-scale non-residential investments, strategic infrastructure projects supporting digital and green initiatives, and various reforms under the Recovery and Resilience Plan are also expected to bolster consumer spending and overall economic activity.

Inflation and Sectoral Performance

Inflationary pressures are moderating, as reflected in the drop in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices to 1.5 per cent for 2025. This decline is chiefly attributed to easing energy prices and effective monetary policies, although upward pressures are anticipated in the subsequent years due to rising energy and food costs. The role of the technology sector in enhancing net exports and the diversification of financial, professional, and shipping services further underline the economy’s adaptive strengths.

Labor Market Dynamics and Employment Trends

The robust labor market continues to play a key role in supporting the Cypriot economy. With unemployment expected to decline to 4.7 per cent in 2025, a trend corroborated by the European Commission’s Economic Sentiment Surveys, the economy is on course towards near full employment in the coming years, even as slight upward revisions in unemployment rates are noted for 2026 and 2027 due to external uncertainties.

Risks and External Uncertainties

Despite the positive domestic trends, downside risks loom amidst volatile energy prices and uncertain global trade dynamics. The potential escalation of regional conflicts and variability in external demand could temper the economic outlook. Conversely, favorable outcomes from tax reforms, robust wage growth, and a diversified export portfolio stand as key upside factors.

In summary, the central bank’s forecast reflects a cautious yet resilient economic framework for Cyprus, driven by strong private demand and strategic investments, while remaining alert to the challenges posed by global geopolitical tensions and market uncertainties.

AI Adoption Makes Employee Performance Harder To Assess, Survey Finds

Companies have rapidly adopted AI tools to improve productivity, but the technology is creating new challenges for managers, who say it is becoming harder to evaluate work, supervise teams and maintain control.

More than half of senior leaders surveyed said assessing employee performance had become more difficult since their organisations adopted AI, according to a Nielsen survey of 1,700 directors and senior managers across seven countries, commissioned by work-management software company Monday.com.

AI Makes Performance Harder To Measure

AI allows employees to produce polished work more quickly, making it harder for managers to distinguish between human effort and machine-generated output. Nearly half of respondents said they now spend more time reviewing and guiding their teams’ work.

Despite these challenges, enthusiasm remains high: 94% said they were excited about using AI to improve work.

Michal Miller Levi, head of market research and customer insights at Monday.com, said organisations were struggling to adapt their processes at the same pace as the technology.

“AI works very well for [managers] individually, but they also have a different role as managers. They need to drive the organization as well […] Their struggle is [due to] the fact that AI is just moving faster than the organizational processes,” she told TechCrunch.

Performance Reviews And AI Bias

AI is also changing how employee performance is evaluated. According to the survey, 78% of respondents had changed their performance criteria since adopting AI, placing greater emphasis on prompt-writing, deciding which tasks to delegate to AI and experimenting with new working methods.

At the same time, AI is increasingly involved in the evaluation process itself. Some 46% of managers said they use AI to inform decisions, while 39% use it to draft performance reviews.

This raises concerns about fairness and algorithmic bias. Research from the Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research found that, without clear objective standards, large language models tend to rate performance in ways that mirror human evaluators. A separate paper published in early 2025 found that AI models could exhibit biases against Black male candidates, with differences across social groups.

Levi said companies had yet to establish the right frameworks for managing these risks.

AI Adds To Managers’ Workloads

Managers are increasingly responsible for assigning tasks to AI agents, reviewing their output and intervening when systems make mistakes. This creates an additional layer of oversight, or “invisible labour”, on top of their existing responsibilities.

The software environment is also becoming more complex. Some 57% of managers said their organisations now use more tools than before AI adoption, while 51% reported greater interdependence between those tools. Only 29% described their AI infrastructure as fully optimised and centralised.

Rather than consolidating software, many companies are dealing with more applications, integrations and unauthorised AI tools used outside approved systems.

Governance Becomes The Next AI Challenge

The survey suggests that oversight will become even more important as businesses deploy increasingly autonomous AI agents. Some 58% of managers expect to oversee more AI agents than human employees within the next year, while 46% are concerned about losing control over their agents’ actions. Another 35% worry about being held responsible for decisions made by AI.

Levi said managers wanted human involvement in critical tasks and decisions, with AI supporting rather than replacing human judgement.

The findings point to a broader challenge for businesses: boosting productivity is only part of successful AI adoption. Companies also need clear processes, reliable infrastructure and accountability frameworks to ensure that faster output does not come at the expense of effective management.

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