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CBC publishes credit institutions’ interest rates for July 2024

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has released its latest report on the interest rates offered by credit institutions across the country for July 2024, shedding light on the economic landscape in a period marked by evolving global financial conditions. With interest rates playing a critical role in shaping the borrowing and investment behaviour of businesses and individuals, these figures offer valuable insights into the health of the Cypriot economy.

According to the CBC’s data, interest rates on deposits remained relatively stable compared to previous months. The interest rate for new deposits with a maturity of up to one year held at an average of 0.82%, while overnight deposits for households saw a marginal decline, reaching 0.04%. This slight decrease in overnight deposit rates reflects the broader market’s conservative approach to short-term liquidity, a common trend as economic uncertainty continues to weigh on the eurozone.

For businesses, the rates on overnight deposits remained flat, standing at 0.00%, underscoring the low-yield environment that has persisted for much of the year. This pattern aligns with European Central Bank (ECB) policies, which have kept interest rates subdued to manage inflationary pressures while stimulating investment. As a result, businesses and investors are navigating a challenging environment where low interest rates offer limited returns on traditional savings, potentially pushing them toward riskier, higher-yield investments.

On the lending side, the CBC’s report highlights a slight increase in interest rates for new loans. The interest rate for loans to households for consumer credit increased to 5.80%, up from the previous month’s figure of 5.69%. Meanwhile, loans for house purchases were offered at an average rate of 4.34%, a modest rise compared to June. This uptick, while not dramatic, signals potential concerns around inflationary trends and the cost of borrowing for households.

For businesses, the lending environment remained dynamic, with rates for loans up to €1 million rising to 5.74%. This upward movement reflects broader economic shifts, as businesses face higher borrowing costs in the wake of inflation and tightening global financial conditions.

Bitcoin Surges 23% In A Week As Investor Optimism Returns

Bitcoin was on track for a weekly gain of around 23% on Friday as a series of positive macroeconomic and policy developments boosted investor sentiment.

The cryptocurrency was trading about 6% higher at roughly $77,000, up from around $62,800 at the start of the week. Crypto-related stocks also rallied, with Coinbase and Circle gaining more than 9%, while Strategy rose 7%.

Macro Factors Fuel Rally

Bitcoin’s latest surge began Wednesday after Treasury yields fell sharply following a major intervention by the U.S. Treasury in the bond market. Lower yields eased pressure on risk assets and helped trigger a broader move into cryptocurrencies.

The rally was further amplified by a major short squeeze. Around $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, according to CoinGlass.

Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said the move reflected an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts, including the Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government debt.

Clarity Act Boosts Sentiment

Investor confidence improved further on Thursday as the White House and crypto industry leaders made a final push to advance the Clarity Act in the coming weeks.

The legislation is widely viewed as a potential catalyst for the crypto market, although its chances of passing remain relatively limited.

Despite the rally, bitcoin remains well below its 2026 high of $94,820 reached in January and its all-time high of $126,198, set last October.

Analysts See More Volatility Ahead

Lucy Gazmararian, founder and managing partner at Token Bay Capital, said the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bear cycle.

She expects bitcoin could experience one more decline of around 20% before the market turns, pointing to historical cycles and the recent liquidation of heavily leveraged short positions.

Gazmararian also described bitcoin as a long-term hedge against monetary debasement, while warning that its short-term price remains highly volatile and driven by market cycles.

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