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Cardinals Who Could Succeed Pope Francis

Shortly, the Roman Catholic Church cardinals will convene in the Sistine Chapel for a conclave, a secret ballot election, to choose a successor to Pope Francis. Among the top contenders for this sacred position are:

Leading Candidates to Succeed Pope Francis

Jean-Marc Aveline (France): The Archbishop of Marseille, elevated to cardinal in 2022, shares many of Pope Francis’s perspectives but has been cautious regarding the blessing of same-sex unions. Known for resemblance to Pope John XXIII, Aveline, at 66, might echo the past prediction of the next pope being John XXIV.

Péter Erdő (Hungary): At 71, the Archbishop of Budapest and Primate of Hungary has long been a favorite. Having chaired the European Episcopal Conferences in 2005 and 2011, Erdő’s stance against same-sex marriage and his skepticism toward welcoming migrants suggest conservative support.

Pietro Parolin (Italy): As the Vatican’s Secretary of State since 2014, 70-year-old Parolin is celebrated for his diplomacy, notably engaging in Middle East and China negotiations. However, the Vatican-China agreement of 2018 drew criticism over perceived concessions.

Marc Ouellet (Canada): The 80-year-old has repeatedly been considered for the papacy, even as recently as 2013. As a staunch conservative, Ouellet opposes same-sex marriage and female ordination even as deacon.

Luis Tagle (Philippines): Once deemed a rising star by Francis, Tagle, 67, has criticized harsh church language towards marginalized groups while promoting more inclusive church policies.

Matteo Zuppi (Italy): Known for his advocacy for the poor and migrants, Archbishop Zuppi, 69, also supports LGBTQ+ blessings, mirroring Pope Francis’s more progressive policies, yet he is against the ordination of women.

Fridolin Ambongo (Congo): At 65, the Archbishop of Kinshasa and a recent cardinal, Ambongo took a firm stand against same-sex blessings, labeling them inherently evil.

Robert Sarah (Guinea): Sarah, 79, is recognized for his devoutly conservative positions. Strongly opposing abortion and same-sex marriage, he often warns against the rise of Islam.

Mario Grech (Malta): As the Secretary-General of the Synod of Bishops, Grech, 68, has shown a shift toward inclusivity, suggesting potential openness to female deacons.

Who Else Might Succeed Pope Francis?

Speculations are rife with nearly twenty cardinals under consideration. Names like Anders Arborelius, Charles Maung Bo, François-Xavier Bustillo, Pierbattista Pizzaballa, and Juan José Omella are often mentioned among possible papabili.

How is a New Pope Elected?

In the event of the pope’s passing, cardinals younger than 80 years will gather in the Sistine Chapel to undertake the conclave process. This crucial event happens between 15 and 20 days post-death. A two-thirds majority is necessary to elect a new pope. Unsuccessful rounds are noted by black smoke, while white smoke heralds the selection of a new pope. This traditional process sometimes extends several days; however, Pope Francis was elected in less than 24 hours.

Key Context

Pope Francis, born Jorge Mario Bergoglio in Argentina, has died at 88 after pioneering a somewhat progressive papacy beginning in 2013, following Pope Benedict XVI’s historic resignation. His papal name honors St. Francis of Assisi, emulating a life dedicated to poverty.

During his tenure, Pope Francis advocated for greater acceptance of LGBTQ+ individuals and criticized abortion laws, albeit taking a conservative stance against gender theory. In 2023, the Vatican declared priests could bless same-sex couples, but Francis later nuanced this stance, emphasizing blessings for love but not recognizing same-sex unions as marriages.

With bold calls for inclusive clerical participation and immigrant support, Pope Francis’s legacy is marked by a complex interplay of traditional and progressive values as the Cardinal Conclave looms on the ecclesiastical horizon.

Cyprus Could Tighten Short-Term Rental Rules Under New EU Housing Framework

Cyprus could gain a stronger legal basis to restrict Airbnb-style rentals in areas facing housing pressure, but any measures would need evidence showing where that pressure exists and how short-term rentals contribute to it.

The European Commission’s forthcoming Affordable Housing Act is still being drafted and would not impose an EU-wide cap or ban. Instead, it would allow authorities to identify “areas of housing stress” using public data and introduce proportionate measures, including restrictions on short-term lets, alongside policies to increase housing supply.

Cyprus’ Short-Term Rental Market Is Growing

Eurostat data shows Cyprus recorded 7.64 million guest nights booked through Airbnb, Booking and Expedia in 2025, up 24.7% from 2024. During the first quarter of 2026, platform guest nights exceeded one million, a 22.3% year-on-year increase and the EU’s fourth-fastest growth rate.

Guest-night figures measure demand rather than the number of homes used for short-term rentals, so they do not show how many properties may have left the long-term rental market.

Registration Gaps Remain

A July Audit Office report said 8,464 licensed self-service accommodation units were registered as of May 6. That compares with 492,931 housing units in the 2021 census, although the figures are not directly comparable.

An audit of 20 online listings found only six with valid licences matching state records. Ten had no registration number, while four displayed invalid or mismatched numbers. A separate review of 150 listings in Famagusta found 23 properties absent from the relevant registers.

The samples cannot establish the scale of illegal rentals nationwide, but they indicate gaps in registration and enforcement.

EU Framework Focuses On Data

Regulation 2024/1028, effective since May 20, creates a common EU framework for collecting data from hosts and platforms. Platforms can be required to display registration numbers, conduct checks and provide authorities with data on stays, nights booked and individual properties.

The regulation does not impose rental limits. It is intended to give authorities evidence for deciding whether further restrictions are justified.

Property Prices Have Other Drivers

Cyprus residential property prices rose 7.5% year on year in the first quarter of 2026, according to the Central Bank of Cyprus. Apartment prices increased 10.8%, while house prices rose 3%.

The central bank attributed the increase primarily to foreign demand, followed by domestic demand and higher construction costs. It did not identify short-term rentals as the main cause.

The European Commission’s housing assessment found short-term rental activity across the EU increased 93% between 2018 and 2024. While listings account for an estimated 1.2% of total housing stock, their share can reach 20% in some tourist centers and neighborhoods.

The Commission said high concentrations of short-term rentals do not automatically cause housing shortages or higher prices, although they can add pressure where supply is already constrained.

Local Evidence Will Shape Any Restrictions

A 2020 EU court ruling found that a shortage of long-term rental housing can justify prior-authorisation rules for short-term lets if measures are necessary, nondiscriminatory and proportionate. Airbnb has supported better data sharing while calling for targeted rather than blanket restrictions.

For Cyprus, any case for tighter rules will therefore depend on neighborhood-level evidence linking short-term rentals to local housing pressure. In 2024, 2.4% of Cyprus residents faced housing-cost overburden, compared with 8.2% across the EU, according to Eurostat.

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