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Cabinet approves 2025 Fiscal Programme, growth expected at 3.7% this year

The Cabinet approved the draft 2025 Fiscal Programme of the Republic, Government Spokesperson Konstantinos Letymbiotis has said, noting that growth this year is expected to reach 3.7%.

In statements after the 9 October meeting of the Cabinet, the Spokesman said that the Minister of Finance will submit the Fiscal Programme to the General Directorate of Economic and Financial Affairs of the European Commission.

He said that this is the second evaluation that takes place in the autumn of each year on the basis of plans and budget programmes submitted by the countries by October 15 each year. The evaluation, he said, concerns the revised, expected fiscal results for the current year and the revised forecasts, mainly for the next year, on the basis of the government’s budget plan for the coming year.

The Spokesperson said that the EU evaluates the plans no later than November 30 each year. Based on the main macroeconomic scenario included in the draft fiscal program 2025, he said, the Cypriot economy is expected to grow at a rate of 3.7% in 2024 in real terms.

Inflation, based on the harmonized index of consumer prices, is expected to be 2.2% in 2024 and fall further to 2% in 2025-2027, he added.

Letymbiotis noted that the fiscal balance of the general government in 2024 is expected to have a surplus of 3.9% as a percentage of GDP.

Concluding, he said that public debt for 2024 is estimated to be 68.9% of GDP, compared to 77.4% of GDP at the end of the previous year.

Bitcoin Surges 23% In A Week As Investor Optimism Returns

Bitcoin was on track for a weekly gain of around 23% on Friday as a series of positive macroeconomic and policy developments boosted investor sentiment.

The cryptocurrency was trading about 6% higher at roughly $77,000, up from around $62,800 at the start of the week. Crypto-related stocks also rallied, with Coinbase and Circle gaining more than 9%, while Strategy rose 7%.

Macro Factors Fuel Rally

Bitcoin’s latest surge began Wednesday after Treasury yields fell sharply following a major intervention by the U.S. Treasury in the bond market. Lower yields eased pressure on risk assets and helped trigger a broader move into cryptocurrencies.

The rally was further amplified by a major short squeeze. Around $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, according to CoinGlass.

Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said the move reflected an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts, including the Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government debt.

Clarity Act Boosts Sentiment

Investor confidence improved further on Thursday as the White House and crypto industry leaders made a final push to advance the Clarity Act in the coming weeks.

The legislation is widely viewed as a potential catalyst for the crypto market, although its chances of passing remain relatively limited.

Despite the rally, bitcoin remains well below its 2026 high of $94,820 reached in January and its all-time high of $126,198, set last October.

Analysts See More Volatility Ahead

Lucy Gazmararian, founder and managing partner at Token Bay Capital, said the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bear cycle.

She expects bitcoin could experience one more decline of around 20% before the market turns, pointing to historical cycles and the recent liquidation of heavily leveraged short positions.

Gazmararian also described bitcoin as a long-term hedge against monetary debasement, while warning that its short-term price remains highly volatile and driven by market cycles.

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