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CΙ Rating Agency upgrades Cyprus’ Long-term rating to “BBB” with positive outlook

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

September 30, 2024

Rating Agency Capital Intelligence Ratings (CI) has upgraded Cyprus’ Long-Term Foreign Currency Rating (LT FCR) and Short-Term FCR (ST FCR) to ‘BBB’ and ‘A2’, respectively, from ‘BBB-’ and ‘A3’, maintaining a positive outlook.

The Limassol-based regional rating agency cites the continued improvement in the island’s public finances, persistent budget surpluses and rapid decline of public debt.

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“The upgrade reflects the continued improvement in the public finances, including persistent budget surpluses and a rapid decline in general government debt, with the debt to GDP ratio projected to drop below 60% in 2026,” CI ratings said.

According to the agency, the government continues to manage its debt maturity profile in order to reduce refinancing risks while maintaining an increasing cash buffer to counter short-term shocks and external adversities.

“The upgrade takes into consideration the significant decline in macro-financial imbalances, with the size of the banking sector declining to around 200% of GDP, and the cumulative debt overhang in the non-financial corporate and household sectors halving in recent years,” CI added.

The agency also highlighted “the demonstrated resilience of the Cypriot economy against increasing geopolitical risk factors, as well as the significant progress made in strengthening bank balance sheets by clearing up non-performing loans (NPLs) and reducing reliance on wholesale and cross-border funding.”

“As a result, government contingent liabilities from the banking sector have declined markedly in recent years,” CI said.

Furthermore, CI views that the targets outlined in the government’s medium-term debt strategy for 2024-26 are attainable and continue to ensure debt sustainability.

According to the agency, the general government budget performance remained very strong in the first seven months of 2024, with the budget position (on a cash basis) posting a higher than projected overall surplus of 2.2% of GDP (compared to 1.2% in 2023).

“As a result, CI expects the general government budget position to post a surplus of 2.9% of GDP in 2024, despite the adjustment of public sector wages,” the agency said.

Noting that short-term refinancing risks continue to decline, CI said that this is due to the government’s sound fiscal management, favourable debt maturity structure, and low gross financing needs (3.7% of GDP in 2024), as well as the prudent building of cash buffers of almost 10% of GDP that cover over 200% of gross financing needs for at least the next 12 months.”

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Only 1% Of Cyprus Farms Use Precision Farming Technologies

Cyprus remains one of the European Union’s least digitised agricultural economies, with just 1% of farms using precision farming technologies in 2023, according to Eurostat.

The findings come as the EU continues to encourage the adoption of digital tools aimed at improving agricultural productivity, efficiency and sustainability.

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Internet Access Expands, But Digital Uptake Lags

Internet access has improved across the bloc, although adoption remains uneven. Eurostat found that 43% of EU farms had internet access in 2023, with northern and central European countries leading the way.

Denmark, Germany, Slovakia, Latvia, the Czech Republic and Austria all reported internet access rates above 90%.

Greater connectivity, however, has not translated into widespread digital adoption. Farm management information systems, which help farmers manage day-to-day operations, were used by only about 11% of EU farms. France was a notable exception, with around 60% of farms using the technology.

Precision Farming Concentrated In Larger Operations

Robotics adoption also remained relatively limited, with only about 7% of EU farms using robotic technologies. Overall, around 18% of farms with utilised agricultural area employed at least one precision farming technology or practice in 2023.

These included robotics for plant protection, band spraying, variable-rate application, precision crop monitoring and soil analysis. Despite representing fewer than one in five farms, these holdings accounted for around 44% of the EU’s utilised agricultural area.

The figures suggest that precision farming remains concentrated among larger agricultural businesses, where investment in digital technologies is typically easier to support.

Cyprus Lags Behind EU Leaders

Luxembourg, Finland and Estonia recorded the highest shares of utilised agricultural area managed by farms using precision farming technologies, each exceeding 75%.

At the other end of the ranking, Cyprus recorded just 1%, while Greece and Romania reported between 10% and 15%. The results indicate that Cyprus remains at an early stage of digital adoption in agriculture, even as precision farming becomes more widespread across parts of the European Union.