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CΙ Rating Agency upgrades Cyprus’ Long-term rating to “BBB” with positive outlook

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

September 30, 2024

Rating Agency Capital Intelligence Ratings (CI) has upgraded Cyprus’ Long-Term Foreign Currency Rating (LT FCR) and Short-Term FCR (ST FCR) to ‘BBB’ and ‘A2’, respectively, from ‘BBB-’ and ‘A3’, maintaining a positive outlook.

The Limassol-based regional rating agency cites the continued improvement in the island’s public finances, persistent budget surpluses and rapid decline of public debt.

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“The upgrade reflects the continued improvement in the public finances, including persistent budget surpluses and a rapid decline in general government debt, with the debt to GDP ratio projected to drop below 60% in 2026,” CI ratings said.

According to the agency, the government continues to manage its debt maturity profile in order to reduce refinancing risks while maintaining an increasing cash buffer to counter short-term shocks and external adversities.

“The upgrade takes into consideration the significant decline in macro-financial imbalances, with the size of the banking sector declining to around 200% of GDP, and the cumulative debt overhang in the non-financial corporate and household sectors halving in recent years,” CI added.

The agency also highlighted “the demonstrated resilience of the Cypriot economy against increasing geopolitical risk factors, as well as the significant progress made in strengthening bank balance sheets by clearing up non-performing loans (NPLs) and reducing reliance on wholesale and cross-border funding.”

“As a result, government contingent liabilities from the banking sector have declined markedly in recent years,” CI said.

Furthermore, CI views that the targets outlined in the government’s medium-term debt strategy for 2024-26 are attainable and continue to ensure debt sustainability.

According to the agency, the general government budget performance remained very strong in the first seven months of 2024, with the budget position (on a cash basis) posting a higher than projected overall surplus of 2.2% of GDP (compared to 1.2% in 2023).

“As a result, CI expects the general government budget position to post a surplus of 2.9% of GDP in 2024, despite the adjustment of public sector wages,” the agency said.

Noting that short-term refinancing risks continue to decline, CI said that this is due to the government’s sound fiscal management, favourable debt maturity structure, and low gross financing needs (3.7% of GDP in 2024), as well as the prudent building of cash buffers of almost 10% of GDP that cover over 200% of gross financing needs for at least the next 12 months.”

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Cyprus Emerges As A Leading Household Consumer In The European Union

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

June 30, 2025

Overview Of Eurostat Findings

A recent Eurostat survey, which adjusts real consumption per capita using purchasing power standards (PPS), has positioned Cyprus among the highest household consumers in the European Union. In 2024, Cyprus recorded a per capita expenditure of 21,879 PPS, a figure that underscores the country’s robust material well-being relative to other member states.

Comparative Consumption Analysis

Luxembourg claimed the top spot with an impressive 28,731 PPS per inhabitant. Trailing closely were Ireland (23,534 PPS), Belgium (23,437 PPS), Germany (23,333 PPS), Austria (23,094 PPS), the Netherlands (22,805 PPS), Denmark (22,078 PPS), and Italy (21,986 PPS), with Cyprus rounding out this elite group at 21,879 PPS. These figures not only highlight the high expenditure across these nations but also reflect differences in purchasing power and living standards across the region.

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Contrasting Trends In Household Spending

The survey also shed light on countries with lower household spending levels. Hungary and Bulgaria reported the smallest average expenditures, at 14,621 PPS and 15,025 PPS respectively. Meanwhile, Greece and Portugal recorded 18,752 PPS and 19,328 PPS, respectively. Noteworthy figures from France (20,462 PPS), Finland (20,158 PPS), Lithuania (19,261 PPS), Malta (19,622 PPS), Slovenia (18,269 PPS), Slovakia (17,233 PPS), Latvia (16,461 PPS), Estonia (16,209 PPS), and the Czech Republic (16,757 PPS) further illustrate the disparate economic landscapes within the EU. Spain’s figure, however, was an outlier at 10,899 PPS, suggesting the need for further data clarification.

Growth Trends And Economic Implications

Eurostat’s longitudinal analysis from 2019 to 2024 revealed that Croatia, Bulgaria, and Romania experienced the fastest annual increases in real consumer spending, each growing by at least 3.8%. In contrast, five member states, with the Czech Republic experiencing the largest drop at an average annual decline of 1.3%, indicate a varied economic recovery narrative across the continent.

This comprehensive survey not only provides valuable insights into current household consumption patterns but also offers a robust framework for policymakers and business leaders to understand economic shifts across the EU. Such data is integral for strategic decision-making in markets that are increasingly defined by evolving consumer behavior and regional economic resilience.