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Audit Report Uncovers Regulatory Shortcomings In Cyprus Renewable Energy Projects

Audit Exposé: The Real Cost of Favoring Private Energy Developers

An audit report released on Thursday examines the development of Cyprus’ renewable energy market and raises concerns about regulatory decisions that favored private operators over the state-run Electricity Authority of Cyprus (AHK). According to the report, the Regulatory Authority for Energy in Cyprus (RAEK) granted licenses and operational advantages to five major private companies, particularly in photovoltaic projects, shaping the structure of the renewable energy sector over recent years.

Private Gains At Public Expense

The audit argues that most renewable energy capacity was allocated to private developers, while consumers did not see corresponding reductions in electricity costs despite lower production prices associated with solar energy. Between 2020 and 2024, a period marked by the rapid expansion of commercial photovoltaic systems, consumers continued to face high electricity costs, including expenses related to emission allowances estimated at nearly €1 billion over five years.

Missed Opportunities For Reduced Consumer Costs

Auditors stated that consumer electricity costs could have been reduced if a larger share of renewable capacity had been developed under AHK. Instead, regulatory decisions strengthened private-sector participation, limiting the state utility’s role in renewable generation. The report also points to delays within previous AHK administrations in expanding renewable capacity, contributing to the current imbalance.

An Imbalanced Renewable Energy Landscape

Private companies currently operate about 420 MW of photovoltaic and wind capacity, compared with roughly 20 MW managed by AHK. The report notes that much of the land suitable for photovoltaic development is now controlled by private entities, restricting the authority’s ability to expand projects. In some cases, developers who secured land and licenses but did not proceed with construction are reportedly seeking significant payments to transfer licenses to AHK.

Calls for Regulatory Overhaul

The audit recommends that RAEK review or revoke inactive licenses and consider reallocating them to AHK or other qualified operators. Auditors argue that delays in integrating renewable energy into AHK’s production mix allowed rapid private-sector expansion without delivering measurable benefits to consumers. The report also links this development to grid saturation and reduced availability of strategic land for future projects.

Key Audit Findings

The report highlights several findings:

  • AHK’s operational photovoltaic capacity stood at 20 MW across four parks as of September 2025, compared with about 420 MW installed on the national distribution network, excluding rooftop systems.

  • Fuel and emission allowance costs reached €955 million between 2020 and 2024, representing about 70% of AHK’s operating expenses.

  • Between 2022 and 2024, 384,702 customer service calls reportedly went unanswered at AHK’s call center.

  • Electricity valued at an estimated €276 million generated in uncontrolled areas between 1964 and 2022 was not billed.

  • Around 56.1% of tenders above €10,000 between 2018 and 2023 were awarded through negotiation procedures rather than open competition.

Industry Implications And The Road Ahead

General Auditor Andreas Papakostas said the liberalization of the electricity market was intended to strengthen competition while protecting consumers through lower prices and transparency. The audit argues that the current regulatory framework has primarily supported private-sector expansion, while slower renewable integration within AHK has left consumers exposed to higher fuel and emission-related costs.

Conclusion

The findings raise broader questions about how Cyprus’ renewable energy market has been structured and regulated. While private investment expanded rapidly, the report suggests that expected benefits for consumers have been limited, prompting calls for regulatory review and a reassessment of long-term energy strategy.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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