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AI’s Economic Benefits Surpass Emissions Concerns According to IMF

by News Editor

April 27, 2025

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently highlighted the potential economic benefits of artificial intelligence (AI), projecting a global output boost of approximately 0.5% per year from 2025 to 2030. This growth is expected to surpass the environmental costs associated with higher carbon emissions from AI-driven data centers.

The report, showcased at the IMF’s spring meeting, emphasizes the need for equitable distribution of these economic gains while managing the adverse effects on our climate. The forecast indicates that AI’s contribution to GDP growth will outweigh the financial impacts of emissions, though it points out the necessity for policymakers and businesses to mitigate societal costs.

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Energy Demands and Environmental Footprint

AI is set to escalate global electricity demand, potentially reaching 1,500 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030, mirroring the energy consumption of countries like India today.

The increasing demand for data processing capacity could result in higher greenhouse gas emissions, but the AI industry aims to offset these with advancements in renewable energy technologies.

AI: A Driver for Energy Efficiency?

Analysts suggest that AI could potentially reduce carbon emissions through improved energy efficiency, fostering advancements in low-carbon technologies across sectors such as power, food, and transport. Grantham Research Institute stresses the significance of strategic action from governments and industries to facilitate this transition.

The role of AI in the global economy continues to evolve, stirring debates not only about its economic potential but also its environmental impact.

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US–Israel Confrontation With Iran To Trigger Significant Decline In Middle Eastern Tourism

Tensions linked to the confrontation between the United States, Israel and Iran are expected to affect tourism across the Middle East. According to estimates by Tourism Economics, international arrivals in the region could decline by between 11% and 27% by 2026. The projection, reported by Reuters, contrasts sharply with forecasts published in December that anticipated a 13% increase in arrivals this year.

Economic Implications Of Declining Visitor Numbers

Updated estimates indicate that the region could lose between 23 million and 38 million international visitors. Tourism-related spending may fall by $34 billion to $56 billion if the downturn materialises. Such figures illustrate how geopolitical instability can quickly influence travel demand and regional economic performance.

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Erosion Of Traveller Confidence Amid Heightened Uncertainty

Growing security concerns are already weighing on travel sentiment. Periods of geopolitical tension typically lead travellers to postpone or redirect trips, particularly to destinations located near active conflict zones. As uncertainty increases, tourism-dependent economies in the region may face additional pressure on revenues and investment.

Cyprus: An Alert Regional Hub

Cyprus is closely monitoring these developments due to its geographic proximity to the Middle East. Although the island is not directly involved in the conflict, regional instability can influence booking trends and traveller perceptions. Recent security incidents near the British base in Akrotiri have further highlighted how tensions in neighbouring areas can affect confidence across the wider Eastern Mediterranean tourism market.