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AI’s Economic Benefits Surpass Emissions Concerns According to IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently highlighted the potential economic benefits of artificial intelligence (AI), projecting a global output boost of approximately 0.5% per year from 2025 to 2030. This growth is expected to surpass the environmental costs associated with higher carbon emissions from AI-driven data centers.

The report, showcased at the IMF’s spring meeting, emphasizes the need for equitable distribution of these economic gains while managing the adverse effects on our climate. The forecast indicates that AI’s contribution to GDP growth will outweigh the financial impacts of emissions, though it points out the necessity for policymakers and businesses to mitigate societal costs.

Energy Demands and Environmental Footprint

AI is set to escalate global electricity demand, potentially reaching 1,500 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030, mirroring the energy consumption of countries like India today.

The increasing demand for data processing capacity could result in higher greenhouse gas emissions, but the AI industry aims to offset these with advancements in renewable energy technologies.

AI: A Driver for Energy Efficiency?

Analysts suggest that AI could potentially reduce carbon emissions through improved energy efficiency, fostering advancements in low-carbon technologies across sectors such as power, food, and transport. Grantham Research Institute stresses the significance of strategic action from governments and industries to facilitate this transition.

The role of AI in the global economy continues to evolve, stirring debates not only about its economic potential but also its environmental impact.

Cyprus’s AI Strategy 2032: The Real Test Is Not Adoption, But Measurable Impact

Cyprus has moved from debating whether to adopt artificial intelligence to deciding how to turn it into measurable economic value.

The National AI Strategy 2032 sets priorities for AI across government, business and the wider economy, with goals including higher productivity, better public services and stronger companies.

From Strategy To Implementation

The strategy builds on existing work in digital transformation, infrastructure, research and innovation. Cyprus also has universities and research centers, a growing technology sector, professional services expertise and access to European infrastructure and computing resources.

Implementation is now the central challenge. High-value use cases can be launched, measured and expanded without waiting for every system to be fully developed.

Its ApplyAI gates framework assesses use cases for value, technical feasibility, readiness, risk and compliance. Testbeds and sandboxes can provide controlled environments for experimentation.

Shared Infrastructure Could Support Public Sector

The Government Innovation Hub can help public institutions with co-design, prototyping and testing before wider adoption or procurement.

Meanwhile, the Common Platform and National API Grid could provide reusable services and secure data exchange, reducing the risk of fragmented systems across government.

Cyprus’ small size may also allow faster coordination between government, businesses, universities and research centers. Applications can be tested locally before those that deliver measurable results are expanded.

AI Opportunities Span Several Sectors

The strategy identifies potential applications in shipping, healthcare, tourism and financial and professional services.

Shipping projects include Blue Intelligence, an Intelligent Maritime Orchestrator, digital twins and predictive maintenance. Healthcare applications include a Virtual Patient Coordinator and digital twins, while tourism can use living labs to test new services.

Financial and professional services could apply AI to fraud detection, risk modeling, document intelligence and agentic workflows. Each use case will require separate assessment because sectors differ in their data, risks and operating requirements.

Cyprus also does not need to develop a frontier AI model to benefit from the technology. Global systems can be combined with local expertise, specialized applications, intellectual property and products in areas where Cyprus has an advantage.

Adoption Remains Below EU Levels

In 2025, 9.27% of businesses in Cyprus used AI, compared with about 20% across the EU. Malta, another small economy, had reached 21.4%.

Closing that gap will require both specialized AI talent and broader workforce training. Initiatives such as the Skills Gap Atlas, NASQ and FutureAI CY are designed to identify skills shortages and support training and microcredentials.

Accountants, lawyers, teachers, bankers and tourism professionals will not need to become machine-learning engineers, but they will increasingly need to use AI in their existing roles.

Measuring The Economic Return

The strategy’s progress will need to be measured through productivity, time and cost savings, service quality, workforce adoption and economic value.

Technological sovereignty can also be approached through a combination of global access and domestic capability. For Cyprus, that could mean relying on leading technologies while developing national capacity in critical data, infrastructure, computing, applications and intellectual property.

The National AI Strategy 2032 provides the framework. Its economic impact will depend on which applications are implemented, how quickly they are scaled and whether they produce measurable results.

Conversation with Panayiotis Dionysiou, AI professional and founder of Quantum AI Ltd, a company focused on artificial intelligence and quantum technology.

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