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Airline Supply Chain Failures Cost Industry $11 Billion, IATA Says

The global aerospace supply chain has become an increasingly significant challenge for airlines, affecting fleet expansion, maintenance operations and operating costs.

According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), persistent delays in aircraft deliveries, shortages of spare parts and limited maintenance capacity continue to disrupt airline operations, prompting the organisation to outline four priorities aimed at strengthening the aviation supply chain.

Delay And Shortage Pressure Is Spreading Across Aviation

The priorities were presented at the inaugural IATA World Maintenance and Engineering Symposium in Madrid, where the association called for stronger supply chain visibility, a more open aftermarket, greater use of data and artificial intelligence, and renewed investment in maintenance technician training.

The scale of the challenge was also highlighted during IATA’s recent Annual General Meeting. IATA Director General Willie Walsh said the aircraft order backlog had climbed to more than 18,000, while the average fleet age had reached a record 15.2 years.

Airlines were also “short over 5,000 more fuel-efficient replacement aircraft that airlines had counted on,” he said, a gap that has translated into “missed efficiency gains, not to mention higher lease rates and increased maintenance costs.”

“In total, supply chain failures cost airlines at least $11 billion in 2025. Today’s higher fuel prices will only make that worse,” Walsh said in IATA’s Report on the Air Transport Industry.

Pressure now extends well beyond aircraft deliveries, according to IATA. Engines, materials, spare parts and maintenance capacity are all under strain, creating bottlenecks across the aviation value chain.

“Alongside aircraft delivery delays, engine durability issues, shortages of materials and spare parts, and constrained maintenance capacity are disrupting airline operations,” said Stuart Fox, IATA’s Director of Flight and Technical Operations. “Addressing these challenges will require practical action and cooperation across the aviation value chain.”

Four Priorities For A Strained Supply Chain

IATA says the industry’s response should focus on four practical areas.

1. Better Supply Chain Visibility

The priority is improved visibility across the supply chain. IATA argues that airlines need earlier and more reliable information from manufacturers on delivery delays, repair turnaround times, parts availability and known bottlenecks so they can plan their networks more effectively.

2. A More Open Aftermarket

The association is also calling for a more open aftermarket, urging more manufacturers to adopt the key principles in the IATA-CFM agreement. The framework supports greater competition by strengthening access to third-party maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) services, alternative parts and approved repairs.

IATA said long-standing commercial restrictions on repair instructions, tooling, approved repair networks and spare parts distribution can limit airlines’ ability to use safe, certified alternatives. In practice, that reduces competition, extends waiting times and raises costs.

3. Smarter Use Of Data And AI

A third priority is unlocking the value of data, digitalisation and artificial intelligence. IATA said closer integration between airline maintenance systems and external market intelligence could improve inventory management, highlight material scarcity, support repair-or-replace decisions and strengthen warranty claims.

Artificial intelligence, the association added, could also help airlines forecast demand, identify shortages and reduce manual work at a time when parts availability has become harder to manage.

IATA pointed to its cooperation with the International Airlines Technical Pool (IATP) to help airlines improve visibility and access to aircraft parts, as well as its decision to make MRO SmartHub available to airlines at no cost through a data participation programme.

4. Expanding Human Capacity

The fourth priority is human capacity. IATA wants the industry to revisit recruitment, training and licensing for maintenance technicians, arguing that timelines must be shorter, access broader and careers more stable.

The need is significant. Boeing estimates that 710,000 new technicians will be required over the next 20 years. IATA said that increasing training capacity, removing unnecessary qualification bottlenecks and improving cross-border recognition of skills would help close the gap.

Safety Deadlines Must Reflect Real-World Constraints

IATA also used the symposium to argue for realistic, globally coordinated timelines for mandates requiring new aircraft equipment or avionics upgrades.

The association said compliance deadlines must account for certification requirements, equipment availability, installation capacity and broader supply chain conditions. It has raised these concerns with the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO), including requirements linked to the Global Aeronautical Distress and Safety System (GADSS), Runway Overrun Awareness and Alerting Systems (ROAAS) and Automatic Dependent Surveillance–Broadcast (ADS-B).

“This is not about delaying safety. It is about making safety deliverable,” Fox said. He added that “global safety improvements require globally coordinated implementation timelines that reflect certification, equipment availability, and installation capacity.”

A Call For Cooperation Across The Aviation Value Chain

Fox said the current pressure on the supply chain should be treated as a call to action rather than a reason for pessimism.

“These four priorities alone are not complete solutions,” he said. “But they would be an important step for OEMs, suppliers, MROs, lessors, regulators and airlines working together to achieve the resilient aerospace supply chains that global connectivity needs.”

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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