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AI’s Economic Benefits Surpass Emissions Concerns According to IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently highlighted the potential economic benefits of artificial intelligence (AI), projecting a global output boost of approximately 0.5% per year from 2025 to 2030. This growth is expected to surpass the environmental costs associated with higher carbon emissions from AI-driven data centers.

The report, showcased at the IMF’s spring meeting, emphasizes the need for equitable distribution of these economic gains while managing the adverse effects on our climate. The forecast indicates that AI’s contribution to GDP growth will outweigh the financial impacts of emissions, though it points out the necessity for policymakers and businesses to mitigate societal costs.

Energy Demands and Environmental Footprint

AI is set to escalate global electricity demand, potentially reaching 1,500 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030, mirroring the energy consumption of countries like India today.

The increasing demand for data processing capacity could result in higher greenhouse gas emissions, but the AI industry aims to offset these with advancements in renewable energy technologies.

AI: A Driver for Energy Efficiency?

Analysts suggest that AI could potentially reduce carbon emissions through improved energy efficiency, fostering advancements in low-carbon technologies across sectors such as power, food, and transport. Grantham Research Institute stresses the significance of strategic action from governments and industries to facilitate this transition.

The role of AI in the global economy continues to evolve, stirring debates not only about its economic potential but also its environmental impact.

Energy Policy In Cyprus: Balancing Immediate Relief With Long-Term Strategic Investment

Cyprus is facing a key moment in its energy policy, as rising electricity costs continue to put pressure on households. Constantinos Constanti, President of the Scientific and Technical Chamber (ETEK), outlined a two-track approach combining short-term relief with longer-term structural changes.

Immediate Relief Measures

Constanti said short-term measures are needed to ease pressure on consumers. This includes adjustments in the competitive electricity market to ensure that cost benefits from renewable energy projects reach households.

He pointed to modern photovoltaic parks and private storage systems, which operate at lower cost than traditional generation. Part of these gains, he argued, should be reflected in lower electricity prices, especially as consumers continue to bear the cost of broader energy investments.

Long-Term Strategic Solutions

Beyond immediate relief, Constanti highlighted the need to review how carbon costs are calculated in the wholesale electricity market. In Cyprus, carbon costs account for around 19% of the average household electricity bill, compared to an EU average of 11%. This gap points to structural issues in the system that require policy changes. He said long-term solutions will require significant public investment to address these imbalances and support a more efficient and sustainable energy system.

Enhanced Support For Vulnerable Consumers

Constanti also called for a more structured approach to supporting vulnerable households. Current support mechanisms, which rely heavily on applications and co-financing, may not reach those most in need. He suggested creating a centralised system to identify households at risk of energy poverty and prioritise targeted measures. These could include replacing energy-intensive appliances and introducing practical efficiency upgrades that reduce costs in the short term.

Transparency in how energy-related revenues are used is also key, he added. Redirecting part of these funds back to households could help reduce costs and strengthen the social impact of energy policy.

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