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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Cyprus Reduces Fuel Tax By 8.33 Cents As Prices Continue To Rise

The latest surge in fuel prices is putting unprecedented pressure on consumer purchasing power, forcing government intervention amid volatile global energy markets. Historic highs at the pump have compelled officials to enact further consumption tax cuts in a bid to stabilize household budgets while international trends remain unpredictable.

Government Intervention And Policy Measures

Authorities plan to approve an 8.33 cent per liter reduction in consumption tax on premium unleaded gasoline and diesel, effective from April 2026. This will be the third intervention since 2022, when fuel prices rose following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and after a further adjustment in November 2023.

Historical Context And Comparative Analysis

Fuel prices have increased over recent years. In March 2022, premium unleaded stood at €1.442 per liter and diesel at €1.500. By November 2023, prices rose to €1.550 for gasoline and €1.709 for diesel. As of March 2026, gasoline reached €1.571 per liter and diesel €1.819. Compared with 2023 levels, gasoline prices increased by 1.8 cents per liter, while diesel rose by 10.9 cents.

Global Market Dynamics Impacting Local Prices

International benchmarks continue to influence domestic fuel prices. Brent crude remains above $100 per barrel, while the price of heavy Brent oil has increased by about 58% since February 2026. Market indicators such as the Platts Basis Italy index show increases of 52% for gasoline, 89% for diesel, and 88% for heating oil. These trends affect import costs and pricing across the local market.

Consumer Concerns And The Search For Relief

The planned tax reduction may provide short-term relief for transport fuels. Heating oil prices remain higher, reaching about €1.30 per liter, approximately 6 cents above previous levels. No tax reduction has been announced for heating fuel. According to Konstantinos Karagiorgis, reliance on private vehicles increases the impact of fuel price changes on households, given limited public transport options.

Outlook And Future Considerations

The tax reduction is expected to offset part of the recent increase in fuel costs. Consumer groups, including the Cyprus Consumer Association, have called for similar measures on heating oil. Further developments will depend on global energy prices and geopolitical conditions.

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