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Trump Escalates Trade War With Sweeping Tariffs: What’s at Stake?

President Donald Trump has unveiled a sweeping set of reciprocal tariffs, hitting imports from dozens of countries with higher duties and upending global trade dynamics. Markets are already reacting, and world leaders are preparing countermeasures. Here’s what you need to know.

Key Facts

  • The U.S. will impose a universal 10% tariff on all imports starting April 5.
  • The average tariff rate on imports will skyrocket from 2.5% to 22%, a level unseen since the early 20th century.
  • Higher tariffs will apply to 60 countries deemed to have harmed U.S. trade interests, effective April 9.
  • China faces the steepest penalties, with a 54% tariff on all imports into the U.S., up from the current 20% rate.
  • The administration is closing the “de minimis” loophole, which allowed duty-free shipping for items under $800. The move is aimed at curbing fentanyl imports from China, though Beijing denies involvement.
  • Additional tariffs include: 24% on Japan, 20% on the EU, 10% on the UK, 46% on Vietnam, 49% on Cambodia, 26% on India, and 36% on Thailand, 31% on Switzerland, while Mexico and Canada remain unaffected.
  • Certain critical imports—such as copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, lumber, gold, and some minerals—are exempt from the new tariffs.
  • A 25% tariff on car imports to the U.S. will take effect immediately.

The Global Response

The European Union swiftly condemned the move, calling it a “serious blow to the global economy.” European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen signaled that Brussels is finalizing retaliatory tariffs, warning that if negotiations fail, the EU will escalate its response.

China, facing some of the harshest duties, has vowed to retaliate, potentially restricting U.S. companies from operating in its vast market. While American tariffs will hit Chinese manufacturers hard, Beijing’s response could disrupt supply chains and increase costs for U.S. firms reliant on Chinese goods.

Market Impact

The financial world is feeling the heat.

  • Asian markets reacted immediately, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 plunging nearly 3%, while South Korea’s Kospi fell 0.8%.
  • In China, the Shanghai Composite dropped 0.5%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng sank 1.6%.
  • U.S. futures tumbled: Dow Jones futures fell over 800 points (2%), while S&P 500 futures slipped 2.7%, and Nasdaq 100 futures plunged 3.2%.
  • Gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, climbed to $3,118 per ounce, reflecting investor anxiety over geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

What’s Next?

The move signals a dramatic escalation in protectionist trade policies, potentially dismantling decades of globalization.

“Trump’s tariffs risk destroying the global free trade order that Washington has maintained since World War II,” warns Takahide Kiuchi, executive economist at Nomura Research Institute.

As retaliation looms, the world watches to see whether the U.S. can strong-arm its trade partners—or whether this latest move will backfire, triggering economic turmoil instead of dominance.

Cyprus’ Economic Resilience Affirmed: Fitch Confirms ‘A-‘ Rating Amid Fiscal Strength


Strong Fiscal Fundamentals and Robust Economic Growth

The international credit ratings agency Fitch has affirmed Cyprus’ long-term rating at A- with a stable outlook. This decision reflects the nation’s strong public finances, a significant reduction in debt levels, and steady economic growth. Officials at the finance ministry welcomed the move, describing it as a robust vote of confidence in the government’s prudent economic policies.

Notable Budget Surpluses and Debt Reduction

Fitch highlights Cyprus’ high primary budget surplus, projected at 4.3% of GDP for 2024, alongside a dramatic drop in public debt from 73.6% of GDP in 2023 to 65.3% by year-end. The surplus soared to 5.6%, marking the highest level in nearly two decades, largely due to rising revenues and disciplined spending. The agency forecasts continuous improvement with debt falling further to 52.6% of GDP in 2026 and potentially nearing 45% by 2030, assuming current trends persist.

Economic Performance and Labor Market Strength

Cyprus’ economy is projected to grow at 3% for both 2025 and 2026, following a 3.4% expansion in 2024. A robust services sector and a healthy labor market are propelling this growth, with employment rising by 2% in 2024 and unemployment declining to 4.5%, close to record lows.

Market Vulnerabilities and External Challenges

Despite these positive developments, Fitch underscored persistent vulnerabilities, including a high current account deficit — estimated at around 7% of GDP over the coming years. This deficit, among the highest in the EU, is offset by sustained foreign direct investment (FDI) flowing into a diverse range of sectors. Additionally, while Cyprus’ banking system remains stable with a top-tier CET1 ratio of 24.5% and declining non-performing loans, long-term risks persist due to governance issues relative to other A-rated peers and exposure to regional geopolitical tensions.

Outlook and Policy Implications

Although Fitch’s model initially rated Cyprus at A, external risks necessitated a one-notch reduction. Future upgrades will hinge on continued debt reduction and narrowing the external deficit. Conversely, a downturn in public finances or a severe external shock could precipitate a downgrade. The finance ministry stated that the report is a testament to Cyprus’ steady economic trajectory, highlighting the ongoing commitment to responsible fiscal management as essential for bolstering both competitiveness and stability.

In conclusion, the agency’s assessment reinforces Cyprus’ sound economic fundamentals, while also flagging areas that require ongoing vigilance. As the government continues to implement strategic economic reforms, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic amid the broader global economic uncertainties.


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