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EU Car Trade Surplus Hits €89.3 Billion In 2024 Amid Shifting Market Dynamics

The European Union’s car trade landscape has undergone significant shifts in recent years. In 2024, the EU exported 5.4 million cars and imported 4.0 million, marking a 13.2% drop in exports and a 3.0% decline in imports compared to 2019. Despite the decrease in volume, the value of trade has surged, reflecting rising car prices.

In monetary terms, the EU exported €165.2 billion worth of cars while importing €75.9 billion, generating a trade surplus of €89.3 billion. This represents a 17.7% increase in export value (+€24.8 billion) and a 20.0% rise in imports (+€12.7 billion) over five years.

Key Trade Partners: U.S. And U.K. Drive Exports, China Leads In Imports

The United States (€38.9 billion) and the United Kingdom (€34.3 billion) remained the top destinations for EU car exports in 2024, followed by China (€14.5 billion), Türkiye (€12.0 billion), and Switzerland (€8.5 billion). However, trade patterns have shifted dramatically since 2019:

  • Exports to Türkiye soared by 364.1%, marking the most significant increase.
  • Exports to China dropped by 22.3%, highlighting changing demand in the region.

On the import side, China (€12.7 billion) and Japan (€12.3 billion) were the EU’s largest car suppliers, followed by the U.K. (€11.0 billion), Türkiye (€9.1 billion), and the U.S. (€8.4 billion). The most striking trend:

  • Imports from China skyrocketed by 1591.3%, reflecting the country’s growing footprint in the European auto market.
  • Imports from the U.K. declined by 17.1%, signaling a shift in post-Brexit trade flows.

What’s Driving The Shift?

The stark contrast between the declining number of cars traded and the rising overall value points to inflation, higher production costs, and a shift toward premium and electric vehicles. With global trade tensions, evolving consumer preferences, and regulatory changes, the EU’s car market continues to evolve—raising questions about how the industry will navigate the next five years.

Electric Vehicle Leaders Urge EU To Maintain 2035 Zero Emission Mandate

Industry Voices Emphasize the Importance of Commitment

Over 150 key figures from Europe’s electric car sector, including executives from Volvo Cars and Polestar, have signed a letter urging the European Union to adhere to its ambitious 2035 zero emission goal for cars and vans. These industry leaders warn that any deviation could hamper the progress of Europe’s burgeoning EV market, inadvertently strengthen global competitors, and weaken investor confidence.

Evolving Perspectives Within the Automotive Community

This call comes in the wake of a contrasting appeal issued at the end of August by heads of European automobile manufacturers’ and automotive suppliers’ associations. That letter, endorsed by the CEO of Mercedes-Benz, Ola Kaellenius, argued that a 100 percent emission reduction target may no longer be practical for cars by 2035.

Discussion With EU Leadership on The Horizon

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is scheduled to meet with automotive industry leaders on September 12 to deliberate the future of the sector. Facing stiff challenges such as the rise of Chinese competition and the implications of US tariffs, the stakes for the EU’s policy decisions have never been higher.

Potential Risks of Eroding Ambitious Targets

Industry leaders like Michael Lohscheller, CEO of Polestar, caution that any weakening of the targets could undermine climate objectives and compromise Europe’s competitive edge in the global market. Michiel Langzaal, chief executive of EU charging provider Fastned, further highlighted that investments in charging infrastructure and software development are predicated on the certainty of these targets.

Regulatory Compliance And The Mercedes-Benz Exception

A report from transport research and campaign group T&E indicates that nearly all European carmakers, with the exception of Mercedes-Benz, are positioned to meet CO₂ regulation requirements for the 2025-2027 period. To avoid potential penalties, Mercedes must now explore cooperation with partners such as Volvo Cars and Polestar.

Conclusion

The industry’s unified stance underscores the critical balance between environmental aspirations and maintaining competitive advantage. With high-level discussions imminent, the EU’s forthcoming decisions will be pivotal in shaping not only the future of the continent’s automotive sector but also its global positioning in the race towards sustainable mobility.

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