The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has announced plans to raise the countercyclical buffer rate (CCyB) from 1% to 1.5%, with the change set to take effect on 14 January 2026. The decision, disclosed on 10 January 2025, aims to strengthen the resilience of the banking sector in light of growing systemic risks.

The CCyB is a regulatory tool that requires banks to maintain additional capital during periods of heightened economic risk. This buffer helps absorb potential losses, ensuring financial stability and the continuous flow of credit to the economy during times of stress.

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Rising Risks Prompt Policy Action

The CBC’s quarterly assessment identified an uptick in systemic risks, driven by geopolitical developments, economic turbulence, and potential tail events in the global economy. Factors contributing to this heightened risk include:

• Escalation of the Middle East conflict.
• Continued globalization of the war in Ukraine.
• Growing protectionist measures led to new trade restrictions.

These risks, according to the CBC, threaten the domestic macroeconomic environment and, by extension, the stability of the banking sector.

Broader Concerns At The EU Level

The CBC’s decision aligns with concerns raised by European institutions.

• The European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) highlighted in its December 2024 press release the need for enhanced resilience across the EU financial system amid heightened political uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.
• The European Central Bank (ECB), in its Financial Stability Review, stressed the importance of ensuring banks maintain sufficient capacity to absorb losses during periods of economic stress.

Enhancing Resilience Through Increased Buffers

By raising the CCyB rate to 1.5%, the CBC aims to channel a portion of bank profits towards creating a larger buffer of loss-absorbing capital. This measure is intended to:

• Strengthen the ability of banks to withstand potential crises.
• Ensure the uninterrupted flow of credit to the real economy, even in times of economic stress.

The CBC emphasized that the previous rate of 1% was insufficient given the prevailing risk landscape and that the increased buffer will enhance the banking sector’s capacity to navigate future challenges.

This proactive adjustment reflects a broader commitment to safeguarding financial stability in Cyprus while aligning with EU-wide efforts to reinforce the financial system’s resilience.