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Samsung’s Q4 Earnings Miss Expectations Amid Mounting Chip Challenges

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

January 11, 2025

Samsung Electronics reported a disappointing preliminary operating profit for the fourth quarter of 2024, falling significantly short of market estimates. The South Korean tech giant’s struggles to ramp up advanced chip production for Nvidia, coupled with sluggish demand for traditional memory chips, took a toll on its earnings.

The company expects an operating profit of 6.5 trillion won ($4.5 billion) for the quarter, well below analysts’ SmartEstimate of 7.7 trillion won. While the figure represents a 131% increase compared to the same period last year, it is a sharp 29% drop from the prior quarter. Preliminary revenue came in at 75 trillion won, slightly under expectations.

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Chip Woes Weigh Heavily

Samsung’s focus on manufacturing high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips for Nvidia’s artificial intelligence GPUs has proven costly. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently acknowledged the company’s efforts, stating that Samsung needs to “engineer a new design” to meet Nvidia’s requirements, but he expressed confidence in their progress.

Rising research and development expenses and underutilised factory capacities in the logic chip division further dragged profits. Analysts estimate losses in this segment may have widened to $1.5 billion during the quarter, up from $960 million in Q3.

Market Rivalry Intensifies

As Samsung struggled, rival SK Hynix—Nvidia’s main HBM chip supplier—reported strong performance and record earnings, with its stock surging 23% last year. Samsung’s own shares dropped 32% over the same period, significantly underperforming South Korea’s broader market.

Despite these challenges, some analysts believe Samsung’s chip business may have reached its lowest point. “There are concerns about Samsung’s major businesses continuing to lose competitiveness. But chip demand may have bottomed out,” said Lee Min-hee of BNK Investment & Securities.

Device Business Under Pressure

Samsung’s devices division, which includes smartphones, TVs, and appliances, also saw earnings decline due to slower demand and rising competition. Sales of premium foldable smartphones were particularly disappointing.

The division’s struggles were compounded by the South Korean won’s depreciation to a 15-year low, driven by domestic political instability and global trade tensions. While a weaker won typically boosts overseas revenue, it wasn’t enough to offset waning demand.

Looking Ahead

Despite the challenges, Samsung ended the trading session 3.4% higher, as investors viewed the weak results as already priced into the stock. With detailed Q4 results expected on January 31, analysts will be closely watching for updates on Samsung’s progress in advanced chip manufacturing and recovery in its mobile and device businesses.

The tech giant faces a pivotal moment as it navigates intensifying competition, rising costs, and shifting market dynamics in the global semiconductor industry.

The Decline Of Smartwatches: A Turning Point In The Wearable Tech Industry

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

March 13, 2025

For the first time in history, the smartwatch market is facing a significant downturn. Shipments are expected to drop by 7% in 2024, marking a major shift in a segment that has been growing steadily for over a decade. A report by Counterpoint reveals that while Apple still holds the top spot, its dominance is being challenged by a surge from Chinese brands like Huawei, Xiaomi, and BBK. Even as the overall market struggles, some companies are thriving.

The Big Picture: Why Smartwatches Are Slowing Down

Apple’s flagship products have long been the driving force in the smartwatch market, but even the tech giant is feeling the pressure. The company’s shipments are projected to fall by 19% this year, though it will remain the market leader. Meanwhile, brands from China are capitalizing on the shift, with Huawei showing an impressive 35% growth in sales, driven by the booming domestic market and a broad range of offerings, including smartwatches for kids.

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Xiaomi, too, is experiencing remarkable success, with a staggering 135% increase in sales. In contrast, Samsung is seeing more modest growth, up 3%, thanks to its latest Galaxy Watch 7 and Galaxy Watch Ultra series.

While some companies are succeeding, the broader market is facing headwinds. The biggest factor behind the overall decline is the slowdown in India, where consumer demand for smartwatches has stagnated. The segment is suffering from a lack of innovation and fresh updates, leaving many consumers with little incentive to upgrade their devices. Add to that market saturation, and it’s clear why many users are content with their current models. The Chinese market, however, is bucking the trend, showing 6% growth in 2024.

A Glimpse Into The Future

Looking ahead, the smartwatch market may begin to recover in 2025, driven by the increasing integration of AI and advanced health monitoring tools. As these technologies evolve, the industry could see a resurgence in demand.

Huawei’s Remarkable Comeback

Huawei’s impressive performance in the smartwatch space signals a broader recovery for the company, which has been hit hard by US sanctions. Once the world’s largest smartphone maker, Huawei’s business was decimated when it lost access to advanced chips and Google’s Android operating system in 2019. But in China, Huawei has maintained its dominance, with its market share growing to 17% in 2024.

This resurgence was partly driven by the launch of the Mate 60 Pro, a smartphone featuring a 7-nanometer chip developed in China. Despite US sanctions, the device surprised many with its capabilities, a testament to China’s rising investment in domestic semiconductor production.

In February, Huawei also unveiled its Mate XT foldable smartphone, the world’s first device to fold in three directions. Running on HarmonyOS 4.2, Huawei’s proprietary operating system, the phone further demonstrates the company’s resilience and ability to innovate despite international challenges.

Huawei’s smartwatch offerings are also catching attention, particularly the Huawei Watch GT 5 Pro, which launched in September of last year. With a premium titanium alloy design, a high-resolution AMOLED display, and impressive health tracking features, the GT 5 Pro has become a standout in the market, available to both Android and iOS users.

A Brief History Of The Smartwatch Revolution

The smartwatch market has had its fair share of milestones, but the real breakthrough came in 2012 with the Pebble, a Kickstarter-funded project that raised over $10 million. Pebble introduced the world to smartphone integration, app downloads, and long battery life, becoming the first truly mass-market smartwatch.

In 2013, Samsung entered the game with the Galaxy Gear, marking its first attempt at wearable tech. But it was Apple’s entry in 2014 that truly set the industry on fire. The Apple Watch’s sleek design, integration with iOS, and emphasis on health and fitness catapulted it to the top of the market, establishing a standard that many other brands would try to follow.

By 2021, the smartwatch industry had grown to over $30 billion in revenue, with annual growth reaching 20%. Yet now, it finds itself at a crossroads, with innovation stagnating and market saturation taking a toll.