The oil market has hit a one-month low, with concerns about global demand re-emerging and taking precedence over fears of escalating conflict in the Middle East.
Brent crude futures saw a slight rise of 0.65% to reach $71.58 per barrel, while U.S. light crude followed suit with an increase of 0.77%, reaching $67.73 per barrel. However, these gains did not recover the losses from the previous two sessions.
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The primary factor driving these price movements is the potential for a truce between Israel and Hezbollah, the Lebanese group backed by Iran. Such an agreement could ease recent supply chain concerns that have supported the oil market, shifting attention back to weaker global demand.
Market Drivers
OPEC+ has plans to increase production by 180,000 barrels per day in December, which has raised fears of oversupply by year’s end amid already low demand. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil and fuel inventories saw a decrease last week. The American Petroleum Institute reported that, for the week ending October 25, crude stocks fell by 573,000 barrels.
Investors are also closely monitoring fuel demand in China, where economic challenges continue to persist. The Chinese government is expected to announce further measures to stimulate the economy, which could influence global oil demand.