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IEA Lowers 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts Amid Energy Transition And Economic Uncertainty

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has recently revised its global oil demand forecasts downward for 2025, reflecting the complex interplay of evolving energy markets, economic conditions, and accelerating climate initiatives. This adjustment signals a significant shift in the global energy landscape, as nations and industries increasingly pivot towards more sustainable and renewable energy sources.

The ongoing global energy transition is one of the primary drivers behind the IEA’s updated forecast. As governments worldwide implement stricter environmental regulations and invest heavily in renewable energy infrastructure, the demand for fossil fuels, including oil, is expected to diminish. The push towards electrification, particularly in the transportation sector, is a key factor in reducing future oil consumption. The rise of electric vehicles (EVs) and advancements in battery technology are set to reduce reliance on traditional oil-based fuels, contributing to a slower growth rate in oil demand.

Moreover, economic factors play a crucial role in shaping the IEA’s outlook. The global economy, still recovering from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, faces new challenges, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions. These issues are creating an environment of uncertainty, dampening investment in oil-dependent industries and potentially slowing economic growth, which in turn affects oil demand.

The IEA’s revised forecast also takes into account the potential for structural changes in energy consumption patterns. As digitalisation and energy efficiency measures become more widespread, industries are likely to reduce their energy intensity, further curbing the oil demand. Additionally, the ongoing shift in consumer behaviour towards sustainability is expected to drive down demand in sectors traditionally reliant on oil.

Despite these downward revisions, the oil industry is not expected to disappear overnight. Oil will continue to play a significant role in the global energy mix for years to come, particularly in sectors where alternatives are not yet economically viable. However, the IEA’s updated forecasts highlight the need for oil producers to adapt to a rapidly changing market, where demand growth is no longer guaranteed.

Call for Reform: Cyprus Faces New Challenges with Emerging Tobacco Products

In the face of a burgeoning variety of tobacco products, existing smoking laws in Cyprus are struggling to keep pace, as highlighted by Christos Minas, the president of the Cyprus National Addictions Authority (AAEK). On World No-Tobacco Day, there was a push for legislative reforms to comprehensively cover all tobacco forms, including non-nicotine alternatives.

Addressing Rising Trends with Effective Policies

Minas emphasized the surge in popularity of e-cigarettes and flavored products, particularly among the youth. The proposed legal updates aim to enhance enforcement efficiency against these emerging trends.

In collaboration with the World Health Organization’s (WHO) framework, the AAEK has established the first set of national guidelines for smoking cessation in Cyprus, crafting prevention and treatment strategies based on robust scientific evidence.

Educating Youth and Public Awareness Initiatives

Efforts are underway to raise awareness, with informative materials distributed to secondary schools across Cyprus. A public event in Nicosia highlighted the state’s ongoing commitment, providing carbon monoxide testing and expert advice on new tobacco products.

Recent data from the Cyprus general population survey 2023 indicates that 38% of smokers have used e-cigarettes recently, and the smoking initiation age remains at 18.

A Glimpse into Youth Smoking Patterns

According to the latest European school survey, 14% of Cypriot students aged 15-16 reported smoking traditional cigarettes last month. Although this rate is declining, Cyprus still ranks high in Europe for e-cigarette and hookah use among students.

The concern is global, with WHO reports showing over 37 million children aged 13-15 engage in tobacco use, driven by aggressive marketing in loosely regulated environments.

The urgency for reform is clear: before these trends solidify, proactive measures are necessary to protect future generations from potentially hazardous habits.

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