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ECB’s Consultation On Internal Governance: A Strategic Shift In Banking Regulation

The European Central Bank (ECB) has launched a public consultation on a new internal governance and risk culture framework for banks, reflecting the institution’s supervisory priorities under the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM). This initiative underscores the ECB’s commitment to ensuring robust management practices within European banks, aiming to mitigate the systemic risks highlighted by the global financial crisis and subsequent bank failures.

Enhanced Governance Standards

The proposed framework replaces the 2016 SSM supervisory statement, providing a comprehensive roadmap for banks to establish more effective internal governance structures and risk cultures. It delineates supervisory expectations regarding the composition and function of banks’ management bodies and committees, the roles and responsibilities of internal control functions, and the significance of a strong risk culture.

This update incorporates the latest standards from the European Banking Authority (EBA) and showcases best practices identified by the ECB over the years. By setting clear guidelines, the ECB aims to standardise governance practices across the banking sector, fostering stability and resilience.

Addressing Governance Shortcomings

Historical shortcomings in governance and risk culture have often led to significant difficulties for banks, as evidenced during financial crises. Poor decision-making processes can result in imbalances between risk-taking and risk control, posing capital risks and undermining banks’ operational resilience. The ECB’s new guide seeks to address these issues by promoting balanced and well-informed decision-making frameworks within banks.

Ongoing Monitoring and Enforcement

Despite notable progress, the ECB stresses that banks must continue enhancing their governance standards. The central bank will intensify its supervisory scrutiny and employ all available tools to ensure compliance with the new guidelines. This proactive stance is crucial for preempting potential governance failures and maintaining the stability of the European banking sector.

Public Consultation and Stakeholder Engagement

The consultation period, which concludes on 16 October 2024, invites feedback from various stakeholders, including experts from supervised institutions. A stakeholder meeting scheduled for 26 September 2024 will facilitate direct dialogue between the ECB and banking professionals, ensuring the final framework reflects a comprehensive understanding of industry perspectives.

Bitcoin in 2025: The Boldest Predictions for a Record-Breaking Year

After an impressive 150% surge in 2024, Bitcoin has captured the attention of investors and industry experts alike. As the world’s largest cryptocurrency crosses the $100,000 mark, the stage is set for new milestones in 2025. From regulatory shifts to institutional adoption, here are the boldest forecasts shaping Bitcoin’s future:

A Year of Transformation: Bitcoin’s 2024 Journey

In December 2024, Bitcoin soared past $100,000, fuelled by regulatory advancements and political changes. The victory of Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential election brought promises of a more crypto-friendly administration, including the replacement of SEC Chairman Gary Gensler. Trump’s proposed creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve and broader deregulation sent ripples of optimism through the market.

Key events like the approval of the first U.S. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the halving cycle—a supply-reducing event occurring every four years—further bolstered Bitcoin’s rally. Despite lingering concerns from the 2023 scandals involving FTX and Binance, the cryptocurrency rebounded strongly, doubling in value.

What’s Ahead: Predictions for 2025

CoinShares: $80,000–$150,000

James Butterfield, head of research at CoinShares, anticipates Bitcoin trading between $80,000 and $150,000. The price trajectory hinges on regulatory actions under the Trump administration, which could amplify institutional interest. Butterfield notes the potential for Bitcoin to eventually reach 25% of gold’s market capitalization, aligning with a $250,000 long-term target.

Matrixport: $160,000

Crypto financial services provider Matrixport predicts Bitcoin could hit $160,000, spurred by the sustained demand for spot ETFs, favourable macroeconomic conditions, and growing global liquidity. The firm also expects Bitcoin’s notorious volatility to ease, resulting in less severe corrections compared to previous cycles.

Galaxy Digital: $185,000

Alex Thorne of Galaxy Digital sees Bitcoin surpassing $150,000 in early 2025 and closing the year at $185,000. Thorne attributes this growth to a confluence of factors, including institutional adoption, corporate integration, and even national-level investments. Galaxy Digital projects that spot Bitcoin ETFs will manage over $250 billion in assets by 2025.

Standard Chartered: $200,000

Standard Chartered’s Jeffrey Kendrick envisions Bitcoin doubling to $200,000 by the end of 2025. The prediction hinges on accelerating institutional inflows, which have already added 683,000 BTC to portfolios this year. Kendrick expects pension funds to play a pivotal role as reforms under the Trump administration facilitate broader ETF adoption.

Carol Alexander: $200,000

University of Sussex finance professor Carol Alexander shares the $200,000 forecast, though she warns that volatility will remain a challenge. While favourable regulation in the U.S. may boost prices, the unregulated nature of crypto exchanges will keep uncertainty alive.

Bit Mining: $180,000–$190,000

Yuwei Yang of Bit Mining projects Bitcoin will peak between $180,000 and $190,000, driven by lower interest rates, Trump administration policies, and increased institutional adoption. However, Yang cautions that sharp corrections could bring the price as low as $80,000.

Opportunities and Risks

While optimism reigns, experts highlight potential risks, including geopolitical tensions, market disruptions, and unexpected regulatory measures. Tightening trade relations between the U.S. and China or shifts in Federal Reserve policies could temper Bitcoin’s bullish momentum.

The Bottom Line

As Bitcoin continues its ascent, 2025 could mark a pivotal year for the cryptocurrency. Whether it’s reaching $200,000 or navigating the challenges of a rapidly evolving market, Bitcoin remains a transformative force in the financial world. Investors and enthusiasts alike are watching closely, ready for what promises to be another groundbreaking chapter.

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