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Deceleration In Cyprus Residential Property Price Index

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) recently reported a deceleration in the Residential Property Price Index (RPPI) for Q1 2024. This trend highlights a noteworthy shift in the property market, attributed to a normalisation in demand coupled with increased supply and elevated interest rates. Such factors are pivotal in understanding the dynamics of the current real estate landscape in Cyprus.

Quarterly and Annual Trends

The RPPI, which tracks changes in property prices across flats and houses, increased by 1.6% in Q1 2024, following a 2.3% rise in the previous quarter. Specifically, house prices rose by 0.8%, while flat prices surged by 3.4%. On an annual basis, the RPPI saw a 7.8% increase compared to Q1 2023, with flat prices up by 13.9% and house prices by 4.7%.

District-Specific Changes

The deceleration was not uniform across Cyprus. Pafos and Famagusta districts experienced accelerated house price increases of 3.1% and 4.4% quarterly, and 11.2% and 11.8% annually, respectively. In contrast, Nicosia, Limassol, and Larnaca saw slower quarterly growth of 0.2%, 1.5%, and 2.2%, respectively, with annual increases of 4%, 9.2%, and 10.7%.

Flat prices exhibited a similar pattern. Quarterly, Nicosia recorded a 0.8% rise, Limassol 3.7%, Larnaca 4.3%, Pafos 3.5%, and Famagusta 10.7%. Annually, Limassol, Larnaca, and Famagusta showed significant increases of 16.5%, 18.1%, and 16.5%, while Nicosia and Pafos noted more moderate rises of 5.1% and 21.4%.

Economic Implications

This deceleration signals a potential shift towards a more balanced market. The combination of stabilised demand, increased supply, and the high cost of borrowing due to rising interest rates are crucial factors. Additionally, the minor reduction in construction material costs, despite remaining high, impacts overall market dynamics.

Looking Ahead

The CBC’s caution about future deceleration reflects broader economic concerns. As interest rates continue to rise, the affordability of mortgages may further influence demand. Additionally, the construction sector’s response to material costs will be critical in shaping future supply levels.

Competition Authority Launches Comprehensive Review of ExxonMobil Cyprus Acquisition

Investigation Initiated Over Strategic Acquisition

The Competition Protection Authority has commenced a thorough investigation into the acquisition of ExxonMobil Cyprus Limited’s share capital by Petrolina Holdings Public Ltd through Med Energywise Ltd. This inquiry was formally initiated following a session held on 10 September 2025, after an in-depth review of the pertinent report by the Authority’s Service.

Concerns Over Market Compatibility

Authorities have expressed serious concerns regarding the compatibility of the transaction with established competitive practices. The review indicates that the acquisition may affect several critical petroleum markets, both horizontally and vertically, thereby raising the potential for adverse impacts on market dynamics.

Horizontal Market Dynamics

On the horizontal front, potential effects have been identified in the import market for petroleum products, as well as in both wholesale and retail distribution channels of these products. The consolidation is believed to increase the risk of price rises and coordinated actions, given the direct competitive proximity between Petrolina and ExxonMobil.

Vertical and Adjacent Market Implications

Vertical aspects of the merger are also under close scrutiny. The new entity could restrict competitors’ access to critical infrastructure such as storage facilities, supply channels, and customer bases. These restrictions could further affect the onshore distribution of fuels, the wholesale market for lubricants, and specialized technical services connected with fuel station operations.

Local Market Considerations

Particular attention is being paid to the potential concentration in the retail fuel market. The investigation suggests that a reduced competitive landscape within a four-kilometer radius of the companies’ fuel stations could lead to diminished local competition, adversely impacting consumer prices and options.

Next Steps and Industry Impact

The Competition Protection Authority, which reached a unanimous decision to pursue a full investigation, remains open to submissions from parties that might be affected by this transaction, as mandated by current legislation. A final decision is expected within four months upon receipt of all necessary evidence, potentially setting a significant precedent for future market consolidation cases in the energy sector.

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