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Inflation Declines To 1.5% In First Half Of 2024

Inflation in Cyprus has decreased significantly to 1.5% during the first half of 2024, marking a notable reduction from previous years. This decline is largely attributed to stabilised energy prices and effective monetary policies. The Central Bank of Cyprus reported that the deceleration in inflation was driven by a combination of reduced global energy prices and a stronger euro, which helped mitigate import costs.

Energy Prices and Economic Stability

The stabilisation of energy prices played a crucial role in the overall reduction of inflation. In previous years, fluctuations in energy prices significantly impacted the cost of living and production expenses. The recent steadiness in global energy markets has provided a respite, allowing for more predictable economic planning and reduced pressure on household budgets.

Core Inflation and Food Prices

Despite the overall reduction, core inflation—excluding volatile items like food and energy—remains a concern. Persistent price increases in food and services continue to exert upward pressure. The Central Bank has noted that food prices have been particularly resistant to decline, influenced by factors such as supply chain disruptions and increased production costs.

Monetary Policies and Economic Measures

Effective monetary policies implemented by the Central Bank of Cyprus have also contributed to the reduction in inflation. Interest rate adjustments and other monetary tools have been employed to control inflationary pressures while supporting economic growth. These measures have helped maintain a balance between curbing inflation and fostering a conducive environment for investment and consumption.

Economic Outlook

The Central Bank remains vigilant in monitoring inflation trends, aiming to sustain economic stability and growth. While the decline in inflation is a positive development, the ongoing challenges in managing core inflation and food prices require continuous attention. The economic outlook for Cyprus remains cautiously optimistic, with the expectation that stabilised inflation will support broader economic recovery and growth.

Cyprus Hits Historic Tourism Peak As Overtourism Risks Mount

Record-Breaking Performance In Tourism

Cyprus’ tourism sector achieved unprecedented success in 2025 with record-breaking arrivals and revenues. According to Eurobank analyst Konstantinos Vrachimis, the island’s performance was underpinned by solid real income growth and enhanced market diversification.

Robust Growth In Arrivals And Revenues

Total tourist arrivals reached 4.5 million in 2025, rising 12.2% from 4 million in 2024, with momentum sustained through the final quarter. Tourism receipts for the January–November period climbed to €3.6 billion, marking a 15.3% year-on-year increase that exceeded inflation. The improvement was not driven by volume alone. Average expenditure per visitor increased by 4.6%, while daily spending rose by 9.2%, indicating stronger purchasing power and higher-value tourism activity.

Economic Impact And Diversification Of Source Markets

The stronger performance translated into tangible gains for the broader services economy, lifting real tourism-related income and overall sector turnover. Demand patterns are also shifting. While the United Kingdom remains Cyprus’ largest source market, its relative share has moderated as arrivals from Israel, Germany, Italy, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, Austria, and Poland have expanded. This gradual diversification reduces dependency on a single market and strengthens resilience against external shocks.

Enhanced Air Connectivity And Seasonal Dynamics

Air connectivity has improved markedly in 2025, with flight volumes expanding substantially compared to 2019. This expansion is driven by increased airline capacity, enhanced route coverage, and more frequent flights, supporting demand during shoulder seasons and reducing overreliance on peak-month flows. Seasonal patterns remain prominent, with arrivals building through the spring and peaking in summer, thereby bolstering employment, fiscal receipts, and corporate earnings across hospitality, transport, and retail sectors.

Structural Risks And Future Considerations

Despite strong headline figures, structural challenges remain. The European Commission’s EU Tourism Dashboard highlights tourism intensity, seasonality, and market concentration as key risk indicators. Cyprus records a high ratio of overnight stays relative to its resident population, signalling potential overtourism pressures. Continued reliance on a limited group of origin markets also exposes the sector to geopolitical uncertainty and sudden demand swings. Seasonal peaks place additional strain on infrastructure, housing availability, labour supply, and natural resources, particularly water.

Strategic Investment And Market Resilience

Vrachimis concludes that sustained growth will depend on targeted investment, product upgrading, and continued market diversification. Strengthening year-round offerings, improving infrastructure capacity, and promoting higher-value experiences can help balance demand while preserving long-term competitiveness. These measures are essential not only to manage overtourism risks but also to ensure tourism remains a stable pillar of Cyprus’ economic development.

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