Fitch Upgrades Bank Of Cyprus And Hellenic Bank

In a notable endorsement of Cyprus’ financial system, Fitch Ratings has upgraded the ratings of Bank of Cyprus and Hellenic Bank. The Bank of Cyprus has been raised to ‘BB+’ with a positive outlook, highlighting improved operational conditions, strong capitalisation, and asset quality. Simultaneously, Hellenic Bank’s long-term issuer default rating has been elevated to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘BB+’, reflecting its sustained profitability, capital accumulation, and solid asset quality post-cleanup of old exposures. This confidence boost underscores the stability and resilience of Cyprus’ banking sector.

Economic Stability and Growth

The upgrades signify a robust endorsement of Cyprus’ economic and financial environment. Bank of Cyprus’ elevation by one notch, now one step below investment grade, acknowledges its improved operational landscape and strong capital base. The continuous enhancement in asset quality further strengthens its position.

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Hellenic Bank’s Strong Performance

Hellenic Bank’s rating upgrade to ‘BBB-‘ with a stable outlook showcases its consistent record of healthy profitability, effective capital accumulation, and solid asset quality. These improvements follow the successful resolution of legacy exposures, positioning the bank for sustainable growth.

Implications for the Financial Sector

These upgrades reflect the ongoing recovery and stability of Cyprus’ financial sector. They indicate increased investor confidence and are likely to positively influence the broader economic landscape. The ratings also suggest that the Cypriot banking system is well-equipped to handle potential economic challenges and leverage growth opportunities.

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Cyprus Hits Historic Tourism Peak As Overtourism Risks Mount

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

February 13, 2026

Record-Breaking Performance In Tourism

Cyprus’ tourism sector achieved unprecedented success in 2025 with record-breaking arrivals and revenues. According to Eurobank analyst Konstantinos Vrachimis, the island’s performance was underpinned by solid real income growth and enhanced market diversification.

Robust Growth In Arrivals And Revenues

Total tourist arrivals reached 4.5 million in 2025, rising 12.2% from 4 million in 2024, with momentum sustained through the final quarter. Tourism receipts for the January–November period climbed to €3.6 billion, marking a 15.3% year-on-year increase that exceeded inflation. The improvement was not driven by volume alone. Average expenditure per visitor increased by 4.6%, while daily spending rose by 9.2%, indicating stronger purchasing power and higher-value tourism activity.

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Economic Impact And Diversification Of Source Markets

The stronger performance translated into tangible gains for the broader services economy, lifting real tourism-related income and overall sector turnover. Demand patterns are also shifting. While the United Kingdom remains Cyprus’ largest source market, its relative share has moderated as arrivals from Israel, Germany, Italy, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, Austria, and Poland have expanded. This gradual diversification reduces dependency on a single market and strengthens resilience against external shocks.

Enhanced Air Connectivity And Seasonal Dynamics

Air connectivity has improved markedly in 2025, with flight volumes expanding substantially compared to 2019. This expansion is driven by increased airline capacity, enhanced route coverage, and more frequent flights, supporting demand during shoulder seasons and reducing overreliance on peak-month flows. Seasonal patterns remain prominent, with arrivals building through the spring and peaking in summer, thereby bolstering employment, fiscal receipts, and corporate earnings across hospitality, transport, and retail sectors.

Structural Risks And Future Considerations

Despite strong headline figures, structural challenges remain. The European Commission’s EU Tourism Dashboard highlights tourism intensity, seasonality, and market concentration as key risk indicators. Cyprus records a high ratio of overnight stays relative to its resident population, signalling potential overtourism pressures. Continued reliance on a limited group of origin markets also exposes the sector to geopolitical uncertainty and sudden demand swings. Seasonal peaks place additional strain on infrastructure, housing availability, labour supply, and natural resources, particularly water.

Strategic Investment And Market Resilience

Vrachimis concludes that sustained growth will depend on targeted investment, product upgrading, and continued market diversification. Strengthening year-round offerings, improving infrastructure capacity, and promoting higher-value experiences can help balance demand while preserving long-term competitiveness. These measures are essential not only to manage overtourism risks but also to ensure tourism remains a stable pillar of Cyprus’ economic development.

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