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ECB Weighs Doubling Bank Reserve Requirements To Reduce Interest Costs

The European Central Bank is weighing a significant change to the way it manages liquidity across the euro area, with policymakers discussing a proposal to double the minimum reserves banks must hold from 1% to 2%, according to six sources cited by Reuters. If adopted, the move would reduce the ECB’s interest costs, absorb excess liquidity from the financial system and mark another step in the gradual unwinding of the extraordinary stimulus introduced over the past decade.

A Shift In The ECB’s Liquidity Strategy

Discussions are taking place as part of a broader review of the ECB’s operating framework, although the proposal has not yet been formally presented to the Governing Council. According to Reuters’ sources, deliberations remain at an early stage and a decision is unlikely before the autumn.

For the ECB and the euro area’s national central banks, raising the reserve requirement would serve two objectives. Increasing the amount of deposits banks must hold without earning interest would reduce the Eurosystem’s interest expenses while absorbing part of the excess liquidity created through years of large-scale bond purchases. Much of that surplus liquidity remains concentrated in countries such as Germany, where central banks have incurred sizeable losses from paying interest on deposits held above the required reserve level.

Billions In Potential Savings

At the current deposit rate of 2.25%, the ECB and the euro area’s 21 national central banks are paying interest on roughly €2.16 trillion of excess liquidity, equivalent to around €48.7 billion a year, according to Reuters calculations.

Doubling mandatory reserves from their current level of €173.56 billion would reduce that annual interest bill by almost €4 billion. Pressure on central bank finances has intensified since this month’s increase in the ECB’s deposit rate from 2% to 2.25%, a move intended to contain inflationary pressures linked to the war in the Middle East that also lifted the annual cost of excess liquidity by an estimated €5.4 billion.

Why Reserve Requirements Matter Again

Minimum reserve requirements were last reduced in 2012, when the ECB cut them from 2% to 1% at the height of the eurozone sovereign debt crisis to support lending and stabilise the banking system.

More than a decade later, policymakers face a very different environment. Banks have reported record profits, liquidity remains abundant, and the financial system no longer depends on the same level of extraordinary central bank support. Against that backdrop, increasing reserve requirements has become part of a broader discussion about how quickly the ECB should normalise its balance sheet.

Implications extend well beyond the central bank itself. Persistent losses reduce the profits national central banks can distribute to governments and, in more extreme cases, may require additional public capital. Institutions such as Germany’s Bundesbank have already spread those losses over several years after the ECB’s deposit rate reached as high as 4% in 2023 while excess liquidity remained at historically elevated levels.

Part Of A Broader Normalisation Process

Beyond the immediate savings, the discussion reflects a wider reassessment of the ECB’s monetary policy framework as crisis-era support measures continue to be unwound.

An increase in reserve requirements would signal that policymakers are looking beyond inflation alone and placing greater emphasis on the long-term costs of maintaining large volumes of idle liquidity in the financial system. It would also shift a greater share of that burden back to commercial banks while giving the ECB more control over the size and cost of its balance sheet.

Bitcoin Surges 23% In A Week As Investor Optimism Returns

Bitcoin was on track for a weekly gain of around 23% on Friday as a series of positive macroeconomic and policy developments boosted investor sentiment.

The cryptocurrency was trading about 6% higher at roughly $77,000, up from around $62,800 at the start of the week. Crypto-related stocks also rallied, with Coinbase and Circle gaining more than 9%, while Strategy rose 7%.

Macro Factors Fuel Rally

Bitcoin’s latest surge began Wednesday after Treasury yields fell sharply following a major intervention by the U.S. Treasury in the bond market. Lower yields eased pressure on risk assets and helped trigger a broader move into cryptocurrencies.

The rally was further amplified by a major short squeeze. Around $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, according to CoinGlass.

Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said the move reflected an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts, including the Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government debt.

Clarity Act Boosts Sentiment

Investor confidence improved further on Thursday as the White House and crypto industry leaders made a final push to advance the Clarity Act in the coming weeks.

The legislation is widely viewed as a potential catalyst for the crypto market, although its chances of passing remain relatively limited.

Despite the rally, bitcoin remains well below its 2026 high of $94,820 reached in January and its all-time high of $126,198, set last October.

Analysts See More Volatility Ahead

Lucy Gazmararian, founder and managing partner at Token Bay Capital, said the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bear cycle.

She expects bitcoin could experience one more decline of around 20% before the market turns, pointing to historical cycles and the recent liquidation of heavily leveraged short positions.

Gazmararian also described bitcoin as a long-term hedge against monetary debasement, while warning that its short-term price remains highly volatile and driven by market cycles.

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