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Cyprus Fuel Sales Fall In May As Government Extends Tax Relief

Cyprus’ petroleum market weakened in May 2026 despite a month-on-month recovery in fuel demand, while the government moved to extend reduced fuel duties to ease pressure on motorists.

Annual Sales Decline Despite Monthly Rebound

Total sales of petroleum products fell 5.1% year on year to 127,538 tonnes, according to figures released on Friday by the Cyprus Statistical Service (Cystat), reflecting weaker demand across most fuel categories.

The sharpest annual declines were recorded in kerosene, down 23.6%, followed by asphalt (-20.8%), heavy fuel oil (-18.2%) and marine gasoil provisions (-13.3%). Heating gasoil fell 11.5%, aviation kerosene provisions declined 7.5%, road diesel dropped 4.1%, and motor gasoline edged down 0.3%. Light fuel oil was the only category to record growth, rising 19%.

Sales through filling stations also declined, slipping 2.6% to 56,867 tonnes.

Transport Fuels Drive Month-On-Month Recovery

Compared with April, however, petroleum sales increased 7.7%, supported by stronger demand for transport fuels.

Aviation kerosene provisions rose 13.2%, road diesel sales increased 8.8%, and motor gasoline climbed 8.3%. Marine gasoil provisions, by contrast, fell 8.9% from the previous month. Petroleum stocks at the end of May were 7.1% higher than a month earlier.

Despite the weaker annual performance in May, total petroleum sales for the first five months of 2026 remained 3.4% above the same period last year.

Government Extends Fuel Tax Relief

The figures come amid continued volatility in global energy markets and renewed efforts by the Cypriot government to offset the impact on consumers.

On Thursday, the House of Representatives unanimously approved a two-month extension of reduced fuel excise duties under an emergency procedure, keeping the measure in force until August 31, 2026. The extension preserves cuts of 8.33 cents per litre on petrol and six cents per litre on diesel. The government estimates the additional cost at about €12 million. The reduced duties had been due to expire at the end of June.

Officials said the extension was still necessary because energy prices remain above normal levels despite easing from earlier highs. “Prices are still at higher levels than normal, due to geopolitical developments,” government spokesman Konstantinos Letymbiotis said.

The measure was first introduced in March as part of a broader package of cost-of-living support.

Fuel Prices Still Higher Than A Year Ago

Separate Eurostat data published earlier this month showed that fuel prices in Cyprus remained 20.5% higher in May than a year earlier, broadly in line with the EU average increase of 20.7%.

Monthly price movements were mixed. Diesel prices fell 1.5% between April and May, while petrol prices increased 2.1%. Although overall inflation eased to 2.6% in May, fuel continued to contribute to consumer price pressures.

Geopolitics Keeps Oil Markets On Edge

International oil markets remain sensitive to developments in the Middle East. A recent agreement between Iran and the United States initially pushed prices lower, but uncertainty has persisted following signs of instability in the ceasefire and Iran’s renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz over alleged violations.

Savvas Prokopiou, chairman of the Petrol Station Owners’ Association, said international oil prices had stabilised at around $78 to $80 per barrel and expressed support for extending the reduced excise duties. He said he expects further reductions in fuel prices in the coming days and argued that maintaining the measure would help motorists avoid a sudden increase of more than eight cents per litre once the temporary tax relief expires.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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