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Cyprus Inflation Trends: Steady Uptick Amid Moderate Price Growth

Cyprus Statistical Service data show that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Cyprus rose to 101.07 points in March 2026 from 99.86 in February. The increase of 1.21 points reflects continued movement in consumer prices across key categories.

National Inflation Dynamics

Cystat reported an annual inflation rate of 1.2% in March 2026, indicating moderate price growth. Agricultural products recorded an annual increase of 13.3%, while electricity and water prices declined by 12.9%. Monthly, petroleum products showed the largest increase at 9.1%, reflecting changes in energy prices.

European Outlook And Comparative Analysis

Eurostat estimated annual inflation in Cyprus at 1.5%, with a monthly increase of 1% based on the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP). Across the euro area, inflation reached 2.5% in March, influenced by a 4.9% increase in energy prices.

Sectoral Drivers And Economic Implications

Food and non-alcoholic beverages recorded an annual increase of 6.2%, while clothing and footwear declined by 5.8% year on year. Positive contributions to the CPI also came from restaurants and accommodation services, as well as recreation and culture. Declines in health services and information and communication helped offset upward pressure on overall prices.

Conclusion: A Balanced Economic View

While consumer prices increased in March 2026, inflation remains below the 2.1% level recorded in March 2025. Current data show varying trends across sectors, with energy, food, and services contributing differently to overall price dynamics.

Comparisons with Eurostat data indicate that both local and broader European factors continue to influence inflation levels. These developments remain relevant for policymakers and businesses assessing economic conditions, particularly in relation to pricing, investment planning, and fiscal policy decisions in the coming months.

Greek And Cypriot Banks Propel Economic Growth With Aggressive Credit Expansion

Robust Q1 Growth Sets The Stage

Banks in Greece and Cyprus are accelerating lending activity, with total credit expansion projected to approach or exceed €15 billion in 2026. The increase is reinforcing the banking sector’s role in supporting profitability and broader economic growth across the region.

Targeted Lending Initiatives And Sector Performance

According to reports by Greek business outlet Newmoney, banks are increasingly relying on credit expansion to sustain earnings growth as interest rate dynamics shift across Europe. First-quarter results already point to strong momentum in lending activity.

Eurobank has set a target of €3.8 billion in credit expansion this year. National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank are each targeting €3 billion, while Alpha Bank aims for €3.5 billion. Smaller lenders are also expanding aggressively, with CrediaBank targeting €1.2 billion and Optima Bank aiming for €1.1 billion.

Notable Banking Results Across Markets

First-quarter results underline the scale of the lending rebound. Banks that have reported Q1 figures recorded cumulative credit expansion of €4.7 billion. Piraeus Bank increased its loan portfolio to €38.6 billion, while net credit expansion reached €1.3 billion across major business segments. At National Bank of Greece, new loan disbursements rose 50%, contributing to net credit expansion of €500 million.

Meanwhile, Eurobank reported a 9.8% increase in net credit expansion to €1.1 billion. In Cyprus, Bank of Cyprus recorded Q1 lending of €829 million, up 9% compared with the end of 2025, while Optima Bank posted a 27% year-on-year increase in loan disbursements to €1 billion.

Sectoral Dynamics And Asset Quality Improvements

A recent report from UBS showed that business lending remained the strongest growth driver in March, increasing 10.9% year-on-year. Consumer lending rose 7.7%, while housing loans increased 1.1%. Asset quality also continued to improve. Non-performing loans declined to 3.3% in Q4 2025, down 30 basis points from the previous quarter, reflecting the sector’s ongoing balance-sheet clean-up.

Despite the strong lending momentum, profitability remained broadly stable in the first quarter. Combined net profits at major banks, including National Bank of Greece, Piraeus Bank, Eurobank, Optima Bank and Bank of Cyprus, totaled €1.12 billion, representing a marginal year-on-year decline of 0.27%.

Profitability And Revenue Breakdown

Profit trends varied across institutions during the quarter. Net profit at National Bank of Greece declined 9.9%, while Piraeus Bank reported a 1.42% decrease. By contrast, Eurobank increased profitability by 5.3%. In Cyprus, Bank of Cyprus reported a 3% increase in profit, while Optima Bank posted a 22% rise. Across the sector, net interest income increased 1.4% to €1.93 billion, although performance differed among individual banks. Fee income recorded stronger growth, rising 20% year-on-year to €590 million.

Long-Term Trends And Strategic Impact

Over the past year, listed banks in Greece and Cyprus generated combined post-tax profits of €5.458 billion, up 15.4% from the previous year. During the same period, net interest income declined 4.2% to €9.307 billion, reflecting pressure from changing rate conditions.

Balance-sheet quality continued to strengthen as non-performing loans fell to €5.7 billion, down 5.2% compared with December 2024. Since March 2016, banks in the two markets have reduced non-performing exposures by an estimated €101.5 billion, equivalent to a cumulative decline of 94.7%.

The sustained improvement in asset quality, combined with expanding loan portfolios, is reinforcing the sector’s role in financing business activity and economic recovery across Greece and Cyprus.


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