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Cyprus Poverty Risk Holds At 17.1% As Older Population Remains Most Exposed

Overview Of Arope Findings In Cyprus

Around 167,000 people in Cyprus, or 17.1% of the population, were at risk of poverty or social exclusion in 2025, according to data from the Cyprus Statistical Service. The figure is based on the EU’s AROPE indicator and remains broadly stable compared to the previous year.

Disparities Across Gender And Economic Factors

The indicator covers households below the poverty threshold, those facing severe material and social deprivation, and those with very low work intensity. While the overall rate has not changed significantly, differences across groups remain.

Women recorded a higher risk rate at 18.7%, compared to 15.5% for men. At the same time, the poverty risk indicator increased slightly to 14.9% from 14.6%, while the share of households with very low work intensity remained at 4.2%. Severe material and social deprivation declined to 2.2% from 2.5%.

Income Threshold Adjustments And Social Transfers

Income thresholds increased, reaching €13,240 for single-person households and €27,803 for two adults with two children under 14, up 6.8% compared to 2024. Median disposable income for single-person households also rose, from €20,667 to €22,067. Social transfers continue to play a key role. Once pensions and benefits are included, the poverty rate decreases by 18.7 percentage points.

Comparative Analysis With EU And Local Context

The EU average AROPE rate stood at 21% in 2024, placing Cyprus below the EU level overall. Lower risk levels were recorded among younger and working-age populations, with 14.8% for those under 18 and 13.8% for those aged 18 to 64. However, the picture differs for older groups. In Cyprus, 31.5% of people over 64 are at risk, compared to an EU average of 19.2%.

Regional Comparisons And Policy Implications

In Greece, 27.5% of the population was at risk in 2025, an increase of 0.6 percentage points, driven mainly by higher material and social deprivation. The rate among children reached 29.6%. Despite lower income thresholds, social transfers reduced the theoretical poverty rate in Greece from 43.9% to 19.6%.

The Imperative For Targeted Social Policies

The data show that overall poverty risk in Cyprus remains stable but uneven across groups, with older populations facing higher exposure. Addressing early-stage poverty remains a key focus for policymakers, particularly in efforts to reduce long-term vulnerability.

S&P Affirms Cyprus At A- With Positive Outlook

S&P Global Ratings confirmed Cyprus’s sovereign rating at A- with a positive outlook on March 20, 2026, according to the Ministry of Finance. This decision reflects stable economic performance despite ongoing external pressures, including geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Steady Economic Growth Amid Geopolitical Pressures

S&P expects economic growth to continue at around 3%, slightly lower than in previous years but still above the pace seen in many European economies. Fiscal surpluses are also expected to continue, supporting overall stability.

Robust Debt Management And Fiscal Discipline

Public debt has declined in recent years, supported by strong fiscal performance and higher service exports. Improvements in the banking sector, including lower non-performing loans and stable credit growth, have also contributed to a stronger economic position.

Impact Of The Middle East Conflict

Conflict in the Middle East remains the main external risk. However, the positive outlook indicates that Cyprus is considered capable of managing potential shocks. Future rating changes will depend on public finances, economic performance and foreign investment flows.

Government Policy And Economic Management

According to the Ministry of Finance, the rating reflects continued fiscal discipline and economic management. Recent performance has been supported by the handling of earlier shocks, including the pandemic and the impact of the war in Ukraine.

Industry And Sectoral Insights

S&P noted that key sectors remain stable, despite potential pressure from tourism and energy costs. In particular, the banking sector continues to show strong profitability, capital levels and liquidity.

Energy Security And Future Prospects

Energy remains a key challenge, with costs among the highest in the EU. Plans to develop LNG infrastructure and explore natural gas resources are expected to support supply in the medium term.  Regional energy projects continue to face geopolitical constraints.

Outlook

S&P expects GDP growth to average around 2.8% between 2026 and 2029, while public debt is projected to decline further. Finance Minister Makis Keravnos said the rating confirms the government’s economic policy and supports Cyprus’s position as a stable European economy.

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