EU Farm Output Prices Decline For The First Time In Nine Months

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

March 12, 2026

EU Market Adjustments Signal New Price Trends

Agricultural output prices across the European Union declined in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a shift after several quarters of increases. Data from Eurostat shows that farm gate prices fell by 1.9% compared with the same period in 2024.

Crisis of Declining Prices In Select Markets

Cyprus recorded one of the more notable decreases in agricultural input costs among EU member states, with prices falling by 2.6% compared with Q4 2024. The reduction eased cost pressures for the local agricultural sector following periods of higher prices earlier in 2025. Across the EU, prices for goods and services consumed in agriculture remained relatively stable. Non-investment inputs such as energy, fertilisers and feedingstuffs showed limited overall changes during the quarter.

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Country-Specific Divergence In Price Movements

Eurostat data highlights considerable variation across member states. Fifteen EU countries recorded declines in agricultural output prices. Belgium registered the largest decrease at 12.9%, followed by Lithuania (8.2%) and Germany (6.0%). At the same time, twelve countries reported increases in output prices. Ireland recorded the strongest rise at 6.8%, followed by Slovenia (5.6%) and Malta (4.2%).

Stability In Agricultural Inputs Amid Commodity Shifts

Agricultural input prices also showed mixed developments. Eleven member states recorded declines, including Cyprus (2.6%), Belgium (2.1%) and Sweden (2.0%). Other countries experienced moderate increases, including Lithuania (4.2%), Ireland (3.3%) and Romania (2.5%). Among major agricultural commodities, milk prices declined by 4.1% while cereal prices fell by 8.9% across the EU. In contrast, fertilisers and soil improvers increased by 7.9%, reflecting continued volatility in input markets.

Outlook For EU Agriculture

The latest Eurostat data points to uneven price developments across the EU agricultural sector. While input prices remained broadly stable in many markets, movements in output prices varied significantly between member states. These trends highlight the need for farmers and policymakers to adapt to shifting commodity prices and changing cost structures across the European agricultural market.

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Drought And Rising Temperatures Pose Long-Term Risk To Cyprus Growth

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

August 25, 2026

More frequent droughts and extreme heat are creating economic risks across Europe, with Cyprus particularly exposed because of its limited water resources and dependence on climate-sensitive sectors. Morningstar DBRS said successive heatwaves and below-average rainfall during the summer of 2026 had worsened drought conditions across parts of Europe, affecting agriculture, inland transport, industry and power generation.

Climate Risks Are Increasing Economic Costs

Droughts are becoming more frequent and severe worldwide, according to Morningstar DBRS. While the impact on the creditworthiness of most sovereigns remains limited for now, the agency said long-term economic effects will depend on how effectively countries adapt to more frequent and costly weather events.

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“As climate risks accumulate and droughts become more frequent and costly, it is critical to assess the various economic impacts,” said Adriana Alvarado, senior vice-president in Morningstar DBRS’ Sovereign Ratings Group. The agency considers whether extreme weather could damage national wealth, weaken financial systems or disrupt economic activity when assessing sovereign creditworthiness.

Cyprus Faces Exposure Across Several Sectors

Cyprus is particularly exposed through water availability, agriculture and tourism. A study by the Economics Research Centre of the University of Cyprus estimated that cumulative discounted GDP losses under a business-as-usual climate scenario could reach about €29 billion by 2050 and €162 billion by 2100, with tourism, financial services and agriculture among the most vulnerable sectors.

Under the same scenario, tourism losses were projected at about €3.8 billion by 2050, while agriculture could face GDP losses of €500 million. Both figures were lower under scenarios involving stronger climate action.

Water And Tourism Face Direct Pressure

Limited water resources and prolonged hot, dry periods can reduce agricultural output and increase pressure on water infrastructure. Tourism is also exposed as rising temperatures and extreme heat affect the traditional summer season.

“Climate, quality and digital data will determine tourism development over the next five years,” said Nejc Jus, research director at the World Travel and Tourism Council. He said destinations may need to extend shoulder seasons as hotter conditions affect visitor demand.

Climate Investment Remains A Concern

Cyprus’ Fiscal Council has warned that investment in climate adaptation and mitigation remains below the level required by the island’s exposure to physical climate risks. The council said those risks could increasingly affect public finances, households and businesses, while higher climate-related financial risks could influence borrowing costs and sovereign credit ratings.

Cyprus has also sought greater regional cooperation on climate adaptation. At an international climate conference in Nicosia earlier this year, the government called for closer coordination across the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East.

The Morningstar DBRS assessment comes as Cyprus continues to face drought, water shortages and rising temperatures. Those risks affect several parts of the economy, particularly agriculture and tourism.

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