Cyprus Central Bank Reports Sharp Decline In New Loans For January 2026

Overview Of Lending Trends

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) reported a marked downturn in total net new loans for January 2026. The figures reveal a decline of €377.7 million in net new loans compared with the previous month, reflecting broader adjustments in both consumer and housing credit markets.

Detailed Lending Activity

Net new loans in January totaled €247.3 million, based on €495.9 million in total new lending. In December 2025, net new loans reached €625.0 million from €986.9 million in total lending. Changes were recorded across several credit categories. Net new consumer loans increased slightly to €18.9 million from €17.2 million in December. Housing loans declined to €95.7 million from €135.4 million in the previous month.

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Interest Rate Movements

Interest rates for both consumer and housing loans declined slightly during the period. Consumer loan rates fell to 7.20% from 7.22%, while housing loan rates decreased to 3.70% from 3.78%. Deposit rates showed limited changes. Household term deposits remained at 1.20%, while deposits from non-financial corporations increased to 1.34% from 1.27%.

Comparative European Context

In comparison with other euro area countries, lending rates in Cyprus are close to the median for outstanding loan balances. Margins for households are around 0%, while margins for non-financial corporations stand at approximately 0.4%. The transmission of monetary policy in Cyprus broadly follows developments in the wider euro area, particularly during periods of monetary tightening or easing. However, the pass-through of rate changes to new loans, especially those issued to non-financial corporations, appears lower than in some other euro area markets.

Shifts In Borrower Behavior And Market Dynamics

The CBC report also highlights changes in borrower preferences regarding interest rate structures. The share of new housing loans with variable interest rates has declined from nearly 100% in early 2022 to 11.6%. Fixed-rate loans have become more common in new housing lending, although many of these products later transition to variable rates.

Banking Liquidity And Deposit Rates

In addition to lending trends, the Central Bank of Cyprus noted that deposit rates in Cyprus remain among the lowest in the euro area. High liquidity levels within the banking system contribute to this trend. Cypriot banks reported a liquidity coverage ratio of 319% in December 2025, compared with a euro area median of 192% and an EU average of 161%. These liquidity levels influence the pricing of deposits in the domestic market. Changes in policy interest rates have also shown limited pass-through to new deposits, reflecting the structure of Cyprus’s relatively small banking sector. The CBC report highlights ongoing developments in both lending and deposit conditions within the country’s banking system as economic conditions and borrowing preferences continue to evolve.

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Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

June 26, 2026

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

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Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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